Sean Sullivan

Weekly Picks

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Sean's Super Subs - GW25

Friday, February 10, 2017



This column serves the purpose of providing you with weekly waiver-wire adds for Togga’s season long draft leagues.  Each week I will recommend players—based on availability, current form or matchups—that should be added or started.  These weekly picks are meant to grab your attention, limit the often-fatal last minute lineup tinker, and help you maintain a superior squad throughout what can be a grueling FPL campaign.  

 

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Week 25 Focus 

 

Before we get to this week’s column, below are some fantasy figures for each match this round.

 

Arsenal vs. Hull City

  • Shkodran Mustafi (ARS) has averaged 13.1 points the last three matches.
  • Eldin Jakupovic (HUL) is coming off clean sheets against Manchester United and Liverpool.

Stoke City vs. Crystal Palace

Manchester United vs. Watford

  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan (MUN) had his best fantasy performance of the season during GW24, scoring 30.5 points during against Leicester City.
  • Troy Deeney (WAT) has scored in three consecutive matches. 

Middlesbrough vs. Everton

  • Gaston Ramirez (MID) is set to make his return from a knee injury.
  • Romelu Lukaku (EVE) is coming off a four-goal performance against Bournemouth.

West Ham vs. West Brom

  • Andy Carroll (WHU) has scored five goals in his last four matches.
  • Chris Brunt (WBA) has averaged 14.67 points over the course of the last three games.

Sunderland vs. Southampton

  • Jermain Defoe (SUN) has scored six goals in 14 career appearances against the Saints.
  • Manolo Gabbiadini (SOU) scored on his debut against West Ham during GW24.

Liverpool vs. Tottenham

  • Liverpool hasn’t won a league match in 2017.
  • Son Heung-Min (TOT) has a goal and an assists in last three appearances 

Burnley FC vs. Chelsea

  • Michael Keane (BRN) has scored a combined total of 45.75 points in his last two appearances.
  • Marcos Alonso (CHE) is averaging 14.9 per match this season.

Swansea City vs. Leicester City

  • Lukasz Fabianski (SWA) hasn’t scored in double-digits since GW15.
  • Jamie Vardy (LEI) is goalless since his hat trick against Manchester City back in December.

Bournemouth vs. Manchester City

  • Artur Boruc (BOU) has conceded 16 goals in his last five matches.
  • Manchester City has scored 10 goals since losing 4-0 at Everton during GW21.

 

Time to get down to business, here are this week’s Super Subs.


 

Goalkeeper

 

Darren Randolph (West Ham): If West Ham puts together another performance like GW24, Randolph should be a top-five goalkeeper for the second week in a row. The Republic of Ireland international could do nothing to stop Manolo Gabbiadini’s early thunderbolt but recovered effectively with six saves to help the Hammers earn all three points.  The victory comes after a pair of brutal outing against Manchester City and Middlesbrough that saw him score a total of -7.50 fantasy points.  Why mention this?  In the six matches prior, Randolph saved 21 of the 25 shots on target and averaged 10.5 points per match.  He’s a leading streaming option for this weekend, as he’ll face a West Brom side that’s scored just three goals in their last five away matches.

  


 

Defenders

  

Ben Davies (Tottenham):  The case with Tottenham defenders is this: Davies and Kieran Trippier are handcuffs for Danny Rose and Kyle Walker, and should be started when either starter is sidelined.  With Rose held out with a knee injury against Middlesbrough, Davies stepped into the starting XI and helped keep a clean sheet at White Hart Lane.  The 23-year-old scored nine points—two tackles, an aerial duel and recorded four clearances—and received a six-point boost courtesy of Hugo Lloris’s third clean sheet in the last four matches. Davies is likely to make another start against Liverpool as it appears Rose’s return won’t come this weekend.  He’s a good add in 10-team leagues and a fringe starter in 12-team-or-deeper. 

 

Calum Chambers (Middlesbrough):  Chambers’ stock has risen after being a top-15 defender during three of his last four appearances.  The Arsenal loanee returned from a foot injury against Tottenham and scored 17.5 points during Middlesbrough’s 1-0 loss at White Hart Lane.  And the match saw the 22-year-old score across the board—six tackles, four aerials, 12 clearances, two chances created and two successful take-ons.  Averaging 12.95 points over the course of his last five appearances, I find it somewhat surprising Chamber is owned in only 34% of leagues.  Based on his form, he’s an above-average streaming option in 10 team leagues.

 

Bryan Oviedo (Sunderland):  Last week I talked about Lamine Koné who, scored 30.25 points against Crystal Palace, ended GW24 as the second highest scoring defender.  This week, my focus shifts to Oviedo.  The Costa Rican enjoyed a successful debut during Sunderland’s 4-0 win over Palace, as he won nine tackles and put in four crosses.  While it was just one performance, Oviedo has emerged as the top candidate to take over the starting left back role.  He’s owned in just 2 percent of leagues and has offensive upside considering David Moyes allows his fullbacks to push into advanced positions.  

 


 

Midfielders

 

James Morrison (West Brom):  Another match, another goal for Morrison.  The Baggies midfielder followed up his sweat volley from GW23 with a well-taken, left-footed strike in the fifth minute during last weekend’s 1-1 draw with Stoke City. Morrison has a low floor but high ceiling in fantasy because he’s goal dependent, reflected by his three percent ownership.  However, he’s scored his last three shots on target.  Morrison should be considered as a streaming option in deeper leagues.   

 

Tom Cleverley (Watford):  Watford needed to add a creator in the midfield during the transfer window and so far that’s exactly what Cleverley has been.  The former Manchester United midfielder has recorded two assists and created eight scoring chances in three starts since arriving on loan from Everton.  Cleverley’s offensive upside in fantasy seems sustainable considering his role in the Hornet’s midfield and the attacking options that moved to Vicarage in January.  The 27-year-old is allowed to move forward freely in order to link with Troy Deeney and pick out the probing runs of M’Baye Niang down the channels, while his value is boosted being a primary taker of corners.  Compared to all other midfielders that are owned in less than 10 percent of leagues, Cleverley has the best long-term potential.   

 

Joey Barton (Burnley):  If you value midfielders that take set pieces in scoring positions, Barton should be in the conversation.  The 34-year-old came on a substitute and scored a lovely free kick on his debut at Turf Moor during GW21, and has averaged 12.75 points per match in his last two starts. If your considering adding Barton, who is owned in nine percent of leagues, you should note his next three opponents—vs. Chelsea, @Hull City and @Swansea City.  He’s a deeper league consideration because his fantasy production is balanced between tackles won, interceptions and shots on targets.

 

Pedro Obiang (West Ham):  Obiang is owned in less than one percent of leagues but makes this column after a huge, seemingly out of nowhere performance.  Prior to scoring a goal and grabbing an assist against Southampton, the defensive midfielder had taken just one shot and created four scoring chances in 17 appearances this season.  Don’t expect him to repeat this caliber of a performance with regularity, but his long-range strike and nine tackles over his last three matches are worth noting.  Obiang is averaging 6.85 points per match this and should score around this total against West Brom this weekend. 

 

Kamil Grosicki (Hull City):  I decided to include Grosicki at the expense of excluding Lazar Markovic for a couple reasons.  The primary reason I did so is on a hunch that Grosicki, who signed a on three-year-deal from Ligue 1 outfit Rennes, has been brought in by manager Marco Silva as a replacement for Robert Snodgrass.  While I don’t think he’ll be as reliable as Snodgrass on a weekly basis, the Polish international delivered a fine corner that produced the first goal against Liverpool.  On his debut the winger also won three tackles and recorded two successful take-ons.  I currently see the 28-year-old, who is owned in just two percent of leagues, as the better pick up in deeper leagues. 

 


 

Forwards

 

M’Baye Niang (Watford):  When I wrote about Niang last week I labeled him as the Hornets' attacker to own, outside of Troy DeeneyWhy does he make this list again? Because I’m 100% buying his performance from GW24.  Niang had a brilliant match against Burnley, assisting via a beautiful cross on Deeney’s diving header before scoring his own just before halftime.  The AC Milan loanee put three successful crosses in from his starting position on the right wing and looked equally as sharp when he cut inside, registering three shots on target.  I expect Niang’s ownership to rise again after GW25, which is why I would add him this week rather then waiting till GW26. 

 

Jordan Ayew (Swansea City):  Ayew joined Swansea City from Aston Villa on Deadline Day and could make his debut this weekend against Leicester City.  The younger brother of West Ham’s Andre Ayew, Jordan scored seven goals for Villa in their relegation campaign last season.  Ayew is a useful front player that can play on the wings or through the middle, having averaged 2.3 successful take-ons and 2.3 shots per match during 21 Championship appearances this season.  His fantasy value will remain speculative until his role becomes clearer, but the Ghanaian has the potential to see significant time at his new club.

 

 

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