Anthony O'Shea

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Stag's Take - Gameweek 11

Thursday, November 2, 2017


Stag’s Take – Gameweek 11

 

 

After Gameweek 10’s defeat at the hands of Darth Vader José Mourinho and his dark-arts embracing Manchester United side, FPL managers could have been forgiven for thinking that Pep Guardiola’s assessment of Tottenham was correct – that they’re nothing without Harry Kane. However, the midweek win over Real Madrid at Wembley, with Kane present, granted, showed that there is a world class team there and not just a marquee striker. Their energy in attack and in the press, their well-rehearsed balls to get out of defence, their poise in front of goal... was mesmerising. The win which, as Poch said, makes Spurs “more visible”, was the Galactico’s first defeat in the Champions League Group Stage in 5 years. It also further emphasizes what many thought – Spurs can beat any team on their day.

 

 

Dele Alli’s brace in that game meant he has now scored four times in four games, that’s more goals than his previous 9 appearances. With Spurs about to enter a period with a good set of fixtures, he could be a great differential to have in your side as many active teams will have lost patience with him after three blanks in his last four PL outings and just 3 showings with returns at all in the 2017/18 edition of the Premier League. Christian Eriksen got amongst the goals again at Wembley on Wednesday, scoring his 4th of the season to add to the same number of assists in 14 appearances. The Dane is always a good shout in FPL and has myself and many other Irishmen quaking in our boots ahead of our crucial World Cup Play-Off with his nation in the international break which follows Gameweek 10.

 

  

 

Wilfried Zaha

 

 

Yes, yes, Crystal Palace v Spurs is a bit of a mismatch but Palace’s chances of scoring are helped hugely be the news that Hugo Lloris and Toby Aldeweireld are ruled out of this tie. We can also expect a bit of defensive rotation from Poch to give his wing-backs a chance to recharge – Trippier and Ben Davies are again under threat from Rose and Aurier. Perhaps Wilfried Zaha with 2 goals in his last 3 and dazzling performances to boot should be considered for your side because if anyone from Palace is likely to capitalise or cause indecision amongst those Spurs defenders, it’s him.

 

 

 

Late injury news can wreck your weekend

 

 

I write this column on a Thursday evening. It’s a tactical decision for all involved as it means that I have as of a good balance of injury news available to me versus time for you to read this ahead of the coming Gameweek. However, that doesn’t mean I know all the injury news as many press conferences are held on Friday. Ahead of Gameweek 10 came the late news that Harry Kane was unable to play at Old Trafford. Cue a mass fire-sale of the consecutive golden boot winner who, as it transpired, was even fit to play a handful of days later. Some people sold Kane who had brought him in already that week, thus taking a hit! Some took a hit because they had made their free transfer(s) already earlier in the week elsewhere in their team – I thought it was all ludicrous. If it’s a must-own player and you can’t be 100% certain that they will miss more than just one gameweek, I don’t think it’s wise to sell that player for a hit. You need whichever forward you bring in to get more than the two points for playing over 60 minutes AND a goal or assist to pay off that transfer – that’s asking a lot of someone. Last week, you probably would have gone for Jesus or Aguero if you were making that transfer and it would have backfired. Think clinically before you make a move for a hit!

 

 

Speaking of Aguero, his car crash in September was similarly timed to the news about Kane’s injury – ie. we found out on a Friday. Both injuries were seismic events in FPL for the given gameweek and show the importance of holding off using your transfer until late in the week if you can – Be patient!

 

 

 

A few notes about defences

 

 

I got curious and decided to do a bit of research on the most basic measures of teams’ clean sheet potential – I looked at goals conceded, shots conceded, shots on target and broke those into home and away just to see if I learnt anything. Some of these are basic facts which one could observe looking at the table but maybe others could be useful to you:

 

 

  • Burnley have conceded more shots (180) to their opponents than any side. They’ve conceded exactly twice as many on the road compared to at Turf Moor.
  • West Ham have allowed the fourth least shots on their goal at home (38) though granted they are the only side to have played just 4 games at their home ground.
  • Everton have conceded 141 shots (5th worst) but they are balanced pretty evenly between home and away – equally mediocre?
  • Bournemouth, Chelsea, Man City, Newcastle, Southampton, Stoke, and Watford have all conceded more shots at home than away – trying too hard to please the crowd and compromising on defence at home?
  • Take what you want from this given that Roy Hodgson will slowly bring more defensive solidity to the Eagles with time, but it seems they have been unfortunate in that they have conceded very little shots compared to other struggling teams (125, 10th worst) but 54 of those have gone on target – more than any other side.
  • Watford and Bournemouth have conceded the most efforts on their goal on their travels – 73. Next come Everton on 67.
  • Liverpool lead the way as the worst defence in the league away from home with 15 – thanks Pep.
  • It comes as no surprise given that West Ham have played 6 games away, the only team to has such a misfortune, that they have the second worst away defence with the ball flying past Joe Hart 13 times.
  • Some of these stats are completely skewed by Man City going on a rampage against a given side – as I said, take what you will from them!

 

 

Captaincy Corner

 

 

Harry Kane (Crystal Palace H)

 

Crystal Palace have conceded more goals than any other team (21). 12 of those came away from Selhurst Park. They have conceded the joint-most big chances too (26) along with Stoke City.

 

Harry Kane has the most shots of any player in the PL (57), 20 more than second placed Romelu Lukaku. 38 of those have come from inside the box, also the highest tally. After a barren August, Kane has caught up with his rivals for the golden boot and has 8 goals in the league, one more than a trio of pretenders in 2nd on 7. If he continues as is he will win the golden boot again. Are you really going to bet against him in Gameweek 11?

 

 

Mo Salah (West Ham A)

 

Salah is an obscenely goal-oriented player and that’s just what you want in a midfielder in FPL. He has 34 shots to his name thus far in 2017/18, with 29 of those coming from inside the box. He barely ever looks to pass such is his desire to score though it seems as though Liverpool are designed to encourage this. Unfortunately, the Egyptian’s finishing is prone to letting him down on occasion and thus his 5 goals doesn’t match up to the 7 xG which he has amassed. It was unfortunate too that he missed his spot-kick last weekend, preventing him from becoming perhaps the most sought after player in FPL! Salah scored during the week against Maribor though, as per usual with Mo, he should probably have finished a few more chances which came his way too. He’ll travel to London with confidence that he’ll find the net again.

 

West Ham have dug Slaven Bilic out of a hole twice with a win over Spurs in the Carabao Cup and then a good performance last weekend against Palace where they threw away three points six minutes into injury time – frankly it’s hard to see how they will be able to pull another performance out of the bag when they need it against the Reds. With more goal involvements than any other Liverpool player this season, 13, Salah is your best bet.

 

 

Tammy Abraham (Brighton H)

 

No player has contributed to a higher percentage of his team’s goals than Tammy Abraham at Swansea this season. His 4 goals and 1 assist means he has been involved in five of the Welsh clubs seven PL goals. Now, seven goals is certainly not an encouraging tally for a whole team, but four isn’t a bad for a player playing in that team who host Brighton, who haven’t been as good on the road as they’d have hoped with just one win and one draw. The caveat is that the Swans have been poor at home and perhaps can’t be trusted. If you’re willing to take a punt on the twenty year-old forward, what better week to do it than the one where he’s celebrating getting his first England call-up?

 

 

Follow the entire Rotoworld Premier League team on Twitter: Neal | Steve | Andrew | Sean | Stag (me) | Ben | Galin | Nik |

 

Stag has been providing #FPL Tips since July 2015 and has been a contributor for Rotoworld.com since August 2016. He is a self-proclaimed wannabe fantasy football genius, a student, and die-hard tea enthusiast.

 

 

 

 








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