Andrew Gastelum

Weekly Picks

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The Bargain Hunter - Week 14

Monday, November 27, 2017


With such a quick turnaround and the flood of Rotoworld content this week, let’s just get straight into business ahead of the midweek games with an abridged version of The Bargain Hunter. Just remember the theme of the week: rotation.

 

Last week seemed like a pretty balanced week of picks: Will Hughes scored a goal, DeAndre Yedlin scored an own goal, and everyone else just did alright. However, my recent picks fared well with Xherdan Shaqiri scoring another goal, Richarlison adding an assist and Steve Cook and Charlie Daniels recording clean sheets.

 

Without further delay, here are the bargain hits and misses ahead of Gameweek 14. I’m welcoming all suggestions and debates on Twitter (@gastelumEPL) and hopefully I can include your thoughts here in this column.

 

All of the stats used in this column come straight from the Premier League on a weekly basis. Our friends at FPL.com take the data from a thousand private leagues, all of which consist of eight teams, in order to minimize the impact of data from public leagues where autopick drafting is more prevalent. Of course, it’s just a sample size, so it’s not hard and fast; but it should give us a good idea of the tendencies of FPL Draft leagues and managers. Remember, the waivers deadline is a full 24 hours before the first game of the week, and the lowest-placed team in your league gets the first pick.

 

One-week Pick (OWP) - When a regular is suspended for a match, ineligible to face his parent club as a loanee, or his fill-in looks to deputize for only a week while the regular nurses a minor injury, this is where to find some replacements. They should only be looked at when you really need help at a position that week alone, and not looked at as long term plays. Best for salary cap leagues with unlimited transactions, not so much for draft leagues.

Short-term Pick (STP) - When a regular faces a multi-game suspension, an injury layoff lasting 2-5 weeks, international commitment, etc., this is where you look for players that can offer more beyond one week but do have a limited shelf life in most cases. Worth using a waiver claim or spending a bit more of your free agent budget (FAAB) than the One Week Buys. Can be useful in salary-cap format as long as you are comfortable with possibly needing to transfer them out in a few weeks. Also someone used as a

Long-term Picks (LTP) - When a regular is either facing a month or more out or has lost his spot seemingly to someone better, these are the players that emerge as potential long-term investments and are therefore the most valuable of the group and worth paying up. Great for any format, but especially valuable in draft leagues with limited waiver claims.

 

 

BARGAINS:

 

GK- Wayne Hennessey (Crystal Palace)

Hennessey is the only new starting keeper from the weekend and doesn’t look like a bad pick despite being the keeper for the last-place side. However, there will be plenty of better picks in each of your individual leagues that should be taken before Hennessey, like last week’s pick: Stoke City’s Lee Grant. But I will make the case for Hennessey as a short-term pick considering Palace’s upcoming schedule.

 

Palace pulled off an inspiring comeback victory against Stoke City to pull them up to eight points, just three back of leaving the relegation zone. Roy Hodgson will look to parlay that momentum into a season-changing month with such a favorable slate of games during the festive period: Brighton, West Brom, Bournemouth, Watford, Leicester City and Swansea all before Christmas. There are some clean sheets to be had there for Hennessey, and I would bet that the Eagles pull themselves out of the bottom three with such a schedule.

 

 

DEF – Marvin Zeegelaar (Watford)

Much like Will Hughes, Zeegelaar has burst onto the scene in the last month after not playing all season and has been an instrumental part of the club’s back-to-back shutout wins against West Ham and Newcastle in the past two weeks. In his first Premier League appearance last week, the summer arrival from Sporting Lisbon recorded a clean sheet and two bonus points. Over the weekend, he recorded 14 points to lead all of FPL with a two assists, a clean sheet and three bonus points.

 

Watford has Manchester United and Spurs in the next two games, but the squad completely opens up after that for the busy festive period, not to mention the Dutch international has played a critical role in the club’s attack of late. Listed as a defender, Zeegelaar plays as an attacking left wingback in Marco Silva’s system, which gives him excellent value. I would say he’s a short-term pick through the end of the year, given he continues to start.

 

 

MID– Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Crystal Palace)

As you can probably tell by now, I’m revving up the Crystal Palace bandwagon because I think this month is going to be a big month for them. If Wilfried Zaha is available in your league, jump on him right now (although he has gone from 20 percent ownership to 80 percent in FPL Draft leagues in the past three weeks alone). But if not, I think Ruben Loftus-Cheek is your next best bet for a Palace attacker.

 

The on-loan attacking midfielder from Chelsea has come into form since returning from minor injury, recording a goal and two assists in his last four league starts, including a goal against Stoke City over the weekend. With the club’s favorable upcoming schedule (see the Wayne Hennessey post above), Loftus-Cheek looks like a great option as the crux of Palace’s attack, taken in just 9.4 percent of our latest FPL Draft sample.

 

 

FWD – Charlie Austin (Southampton)

Mauricio Pellegrino has tried just about everything to break Southampton out of its scoring drought—only two in four games entering the weekend—and found the outlet in Charlie Austin in the club’s breakout 4-1 win against Everton on Sunday. Only one team in the top 10 (Burnley) has scored less goals than Saints, but Austin contributed two of the club’s 13 goals in his first start of the season Sunday.

 

The former QPR star (remember that 18-goal season in 2014/15?) was unstoppable against the Toffees and will surely get the starting nod this week in the hopes of finding a groove. I would still recommend last week’s pick in Zlatan Ibrahimovic over Austin, but Austin could be a handy third forward in the next month as he is taken in only 20 percent of FPL Draft leagues.

 

 

 








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