Steve Rothgeb

Weekly Picks

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Fuzzy's FPL Favorites - GW14

Monday, November 27, 2017


I need to figure out a way to sell Aaron Mooy.

 

Nothing personal Aaron, I am just trying to figure out why you are still in my side, as you have been since Week 2. You scored for me that week, but since then, just one goal, and it sat on my bench because the one time I chose to bench you, you were playing a tough Manchester United defense. This relationship simply is not working out, and yet I cannot seem to get rid of you because every week there is a more pressing issues somewhere else. We all have players like this every season and I suppose, for now, you are "that guy". No worries, if all goes according to plan, I will be bringing in Reuben Loftus-Cheek immediately after Week 14 starts, replacing....Tom Carroll.

 

Yep, I just cannot seem to part ways with you Mr. Mooy.

 

Yours truly enjoyed a green arrow over the weekend, which can only mean one thing: there must not be enough time to talk about something positive. That is precisely the case as we have one day between the end of one round and the beginning of the next and we are all trying to supply the content you need to navigate this busy festive period of the season. So, that being said, this intro is short and sweet. 

 

Let us turn our attention to what really matters, who to buy, sell, avoid or keep ahead of Week 14...

 

Follow the entire Rotoworld Premier League team on Twitter: Neal | Steve | Andrew | Sean | Stag | Ben | Galin | Nik

 

 

TO HAVE AND TO HOLD

 

So now it is time to look at the players to think about ahead of Week 4. As a reminder, there are four categories of players which I feel are worth mentioning week to week when making decisions about transfers....

 

1) Players to buy

2) Players to sell

3) Players to hold onto

4) Players to avoid buying

 

I will also include later in the section, my top choices for the captain's armband. While I will consider every player from A to Z, you will normally find the usual suspects there.

 

Right, so let's dive in...

 

GOALKEEPERS

 

*Just as a reminder, keepers should always be the last position to think about using transfers for, unless there is an urgent need. So, when you see who I have listed here, bear in mind that my keeper advice does not carry as much weight as the outfield positions.

 

Player to buy: Nick Pope - Remember, Tom Heaton was Burnley's #1 for the first three weeks until injury. If we conservatively give Pope 2 points for each of those games, he would now be second behind only David de Gea in the ranks. The Clarets so nearly kept a clean sheet versus Arsenal, they are sure to get their share in the coming weeks with much more manageable opposition.

 

Player to sell: Joe Hart - Investors at West Ham's back have not been rewarded very often and, after a trip to Goodison Park in midweek, the Hammers have Manchester City, Chelsea and Arsenal in the next three. It is ok to be Hart-less now.

 

Player to hold: Thibault Courtois - Chelsea's defense is trending up. No, they didn't get a clean sheet over the weekend, but they held a dangerous Liverpool attack to one goal. They kept three straight cleanies prior to that and has the easiest schedule among the big clubs over the festive period. Points should flow.

 

Player to avoid: Heurelho Gomes - Don't look now, but Watford's defense is improving, having kept two cleanies on the trot. It may be a good budget area to shop in going forward, if not Gomes then emerging wingback Mavin Zeegelaar, but hold off for a couple of rounds until the Hornets get Manchester United and Spurs out of the way.

 

 

DEFENDERS

 

Player to buy: Marcos Alonso - You could play it safe and go for Cesar Azpilicueta, who is an engine that never seems to rest, which is helpful during the volatile festive period, but I am backing Alonso's horse, as the two options are even on price at the moment. Alonso's attacking threat is well-established and he is due for an attacking haul along with some cleanies.

 

Player to sell: Antonio Valencia - In order to buy a premium defender like Alonso, you probably need to sell one. This may be the only week of the season I would suggest selling United defensive property, but I cannot see clean sheets over the next three, with trips to Watford and Arsenal followed by the big derby.

 

Player to hold: Harry Maguire - Only two total points over the last two weeks for Maguire and Tottenham is next on the Foxes schedule. That may be enough to cause owners to ditch but I think it would be a mistake. Tottenham are as likely to struggle with their attack as they are to find success based on recent performances and once this fixture is out of the way, there are some really good ones in store for Leicester.

 

Player to avoid: Ryan Bertrand - Last round, I said to hold on to your Saints defenders for one more week, hopeful Ryan Bertrand owners did, as he scooped up his first two assists of the season. Coming off one of the best results of the season from an attacking sense, I would not get on the Saints bandwagon defensively at this point in time. Man City, Arsenal and Chelsea over the next five is pretty rough.

 

 

MIDFIELDERS

 

Player to buy: Alexis Sanchez - With a few budget strikers in form, I think it is time to downgrade a premium forward and upgrade a midfielder to Alexis. He has scored in his past two games and we know how common double digit hauls from him can be. If you cannot afford him this round without a transfer, try to bank an FT, skip the weekend clash with the Red Devils and bring Alexis in by Week 16. He is at less than 3% ownership at the moment, imagine what a differential he could be if you beat the crowd.

 

Player to sell: Sadio Mane - I love Mane, I think he is a fantastic footballer, but I have had enough headaches with him missing time through injury or suspension or just being benched like he was over the weekend. I would much rather have Salah for a bit more cash or Coutinho for less if I am looking for Liverpool attacking coverage. Mark my words, Mane could bag a brace Wednesday, but he is the sort of player I would avoid bringing in during this busy stretch of games.

 

Player to hold: Wilfried Zaha - No returns for Zaha in Week 13 but you will notice a pattern since his return from injury - goal, no goal, goal, no goal, goal, no goal. That means he has to score in this next game, right? Well, if the pattern doesn't entice you, the Eagles' fixtures should. Zaha is providing solid value.

 

Player to avoid: Xherdan Shaqiri - Shaqiri is in fine form at the moment, so I cannot possibly suggest to sell the man. But, I have a hunch those who intend to invest now are going to be late to the party. He has had patches of form like this in the past and just when he seems too good to pass up, his form dries up or he gets injured.

 

 

FORWARDS

 

Player to buy: Alvaro Morata - Morata had a rare blank over the weekend, but not only is he worth holding on to, he is the forward I would like most from the market going forward, thanks to a Blues schedule that is screaming goals-a-plenty. He is still right at the top of the list of scoring amongst forwards and is the cheapest option in the group. Yes, please.

 

Player to sell: Romelu Lukaku - Between Kane, Morata, Aguero and Lukaku...you cannot own them all. For me, the odd man out at this point in time is Lukaku who, while providing a couple of assists, has scored just once since Week 7. The schedule should make dropping him easier for those timid about cutting him.

 

Player to hold: Gabriel Jesus/Sergio Aguero - Pep Guardiola is giving many fantasy managers headaches as at least one big name is omitted from the XI every match, but it seems the moment you drop a player like Jesus or Aguero because they didn't start the game before, they then start and explode the next time out. City's attack is just too potent. A blank one week could easily be followed up by a 15-pointer the next, so just sit back and relax.

 

Player to avoid: Andre Gray - After assists in consecutive matches, Gray added to his current form by scoring over the weekend. However, I cannot accept two Hornet attacking players taking up space in my squad and Richarlison is simply a must. Enjoy the more-established steady points from him and steer clear of Gray.

 

TOP CAPTAIN CHOICES

 

1) Alexis Sanchez

2) Alvaro Morata

3) Eden Hazard

4) Harry Kane

5) Mo Salah

 

That's it from me this week folks. Please, bear in mind much can change between the publishing of this column and the FPL deadline on Tuesday evening. Remember, some injuries are not revealed until just before the deadline. Always try to refrain from executing your transfers for as long as possible to avoid wasting it on a player who turns out to have had a problem in training. That said, if you only have just enough money for the player you are looking to bring in and that player is at risk of rising in price, then sometimes you need to take a calculated risk and hope the fantasy gods will be kind to you.

 

Good luck, and may your arrows be green.



Steve Rothgeb is a contributor for Rotoworld.com and WorldSoccerTalk.com, a self-proclaimed fantasy sports oracle, and Tottenham Hotspur fanatic. He can be found on Twitter @FuzzyWarbles.
Email :Steve Rothgeb





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