Sean Sullivan

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Sean's Super Subs - Week 38

Friday, May 11, 2018


This is the end, beautiful GW38. 

This is the end, to the 2017-18 Premier League season, my FPL friends.



GW38 Rundown

 

 

If you’re heading into a play-off final or battling for a table league title, chances are your side is already in tip-top shape.  Since you’ve most likely gotten this far relying on a strong core, it’s not time to rethink the wheel.  But for a scope of reasons, there may be the need to further bolster your side. 

 

 

Front and center is the dreaded potential of squad rotation.  Manchester City could be a real headache if Pep Guardiola decides to hand starts to some of his peripheral players. The now-fit Benjamin Mendy may be offered a chance at left-back as he aims to secure a place in France’s World Cup squad, while youngsters such as Phil Foden, Brahim Diaz and Lukas Nmecha could be given an opportunity to shine.  Manchester United is another club on this list following the news that Jose Mourinho will make changes against Watford. Sergio Romero will be in between the sticks, in place of David De Gea, who won the Golden Glove after recording his 18th clean sheet of the season in the draw with West Ham.  Michael Carrick will also get a start for what will be his final match at Old Trafford before retiring at the end of the season.  On a positive note, you can expect to see Anthony Martial, Marcus Rashford, Juan Mata and Eric Bailly return to the starting XI.

 

 

On the injury front, there are a few situations to monitor.  Burnley will be without Ashley Barnes, Ben Mee and possibly Chris Wood, while Tom Heaton could get an opportunity to start the finale against Bournemouth. Everton may be boosted by the return of Theo Walcott, meaning Yannick Bolasie could drop to the bench.  Leicester City won't have Shinji Okazaki, Ben Chilwell, Daniel Amartey or Wilfred Ndidi against Tottenham.  As for Spurs, Kieran Trippier, Serge Aurier and Moussa Dembele are all in doubt.  With more news to come, be sure to keep a close eye on the latest news from injury guru Ben Dinnery (@BenDinnery).

 

So, let's get down to business.  Below is a list of free agent finds to consider for GW38.


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Defenders




Patrick van Aanholt, Crystal Palace (37 percent):   The Crystal Palace fullback, who ranks third in goals (4) and third in shots (4) amongst all defenders, checks all the boxes as a streaming defender for GW38.  The 28-year-old is coming off a run off three matches that saw him score twice, record a clean sheet and return an average of 11 points per game.  However, it is his fantasy form over a larger span that reigns supreme.  PVA has racked up four goals and three clean sheets in his last nine starts.  The Dutchman closes out the season at home against a relegated West Brom side that has scored just 10 goals in 18 away matches this season.  If you’re looking for a defender who can provide both offensive and defensive returns, PVA is best option.

 

 

 

Terence Kongolo, Huddersfield Town (2%):  A run of fantasy friendly performances have pushed Kongolo into the conversation for GW38.  The Monaco loanee has averaged 10.29 points per match in his last six starts, and enters the final match of the season after impressing across 180 minutes during Double Gameweek 37.  Kongolo was excellent as the Terriers stood firm and become the first side to keep at clean sheet at Manchester City this season.  He followed with another sharp outing at Chelsea, during which he recorded a season-high of 15 clearances.  Having overcome the odds in successive away matches to secure another season of Premier League football, Huddersfield will be no softies when they host Arsenal. Aubameyang, Lacazette and Mkhitaryan could all start in what will be Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge, but that doesn’t waiver my confidence in Kongolo.  In addition to being a top-25 defender in four of the last five gameweeks, the Dutchman has averaged 9.5 points per match from defensive statistics (clearances, interceptions, tackles won) in 10 starts this season.  Kongolo should be considered a late pivot for managers in 12-team table leagues. 


Midfielders

 

 

 

Idrissa Gueye, Everton (41 percent):  Gueye is coming off a fruitful stretch that has seen him provide two assists, a goal and 12.50 fantasy points per match in the last four games. While managers shouldn’t bank on Gueye getting on the score-sheet this weekend, his solid floor from defensive work makes him someone to consider when Everton travel to West Ham.  The Senegal international has averaged 3.4 tackles per match since the start of February and ranks second amongst all midfielders in interceptions with 64.  Gueye is a good option if you’re in need of a fifth midfielder for GW38. 

 

 

 

Jake Livermore, West Brom (10 percent):   Despite a stellar five-match run under caretaker manager Darren, West Brom were officially relegated after Southampton’s win over Swansea City on Tuesday.  While the resurgence wasn’t enough to avoid the drop, it has brought Livermore to my attention.  The 28-year-old journeyman has two goals and an assist in his last three starts.  Livermore’s goals were both product of being in the right place at the right time, but his assist two matches ago was thing of beauty.  He provided a charming ball over the top to spring Newcastle’s offside trap and send Matthew Phillips through to score the only goal of the match.  Look for Livermore, who ranks 10th amongst all midfielders in points per match (14.33) the last three weeks, to provide fifth midfielder value when the Baggies travel to Crystal Palace in GW38.


Forwards

 

 

 

Tammy Abraham, Swansea City (20 percent):  Abraham has a chance to end a rough season on a high note when Swansea City host Stoke City in GW38.  The Chelsea loanee has managed just five goals and three assists in 30 appearances, but should see chances to expand his tally at the Liberty Stadium.  The Potters have allowed 37 goals in 18 away matches and enter the game following their relegation last weekend.  Meanwhile, Swansea needs a miracle to stay in the top-flight.  The Swans need to beat Stoke convincingly, Southampton to lose heavily to Manchester City and overcome a huge goal difference (-9) in the process to avoid relegation.  While I don’t see that scenario as a realistic outcome, I do expect Carlos Carvalhal’s side to put a few in the back of the net at home.  The hunt for goals leads me to believe both Abraham (20 percent) and Andre Ayew (16 percent) could offer third forward value in GW38.

 

 

 

Sam Vokes, Burnley (40 percent):  With Ashley Barnes ruled out and Chris Wood in the doubt, manager Sean Dyche is expected to hand Vokes a start against Bournemouth.  Vokes made his breakthrough with Bournemouth as a 17-year-old and went on to score 16 goals in 59 League One appearances during 2006-08.  The now 28-year-old has struggled for starts behind Barnes and Wood during the last two months, but I'm backing him to impress with another extra chip on his shoulder against his former club at Turf Moor.  Vokes can be classified as a unique option when he starts because of his dominance in the air.  He ranks third amongst forwards and co-sixth overall in aerials won (114) this season.  This caliber of peripheral production has helped him average 15.63 points per game in matches when he has been on the score-sheet.  Vokes is another viable third forward for me in GW38.

 




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