Mark Lindquist

Daily Fantasy Decisions

print article archives RSS

CFB DFS Lineup: Week 3

Thursday, September 13, 2018


Saturday Lineup (12:00 PM EST)


The format: DraftKings -- $50,000; 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 Flex, 1 Super-flex


Kent State QB Woody Barrett at Penn State ($4,800) -- Barrett is a favorite around the Rotoworld CFB Slack water cooler. His price point is spot on, here, and while the Nittany Lions may outwardly seem like a tough matchup, we’ve seen Penn State struggle twice to put away lesser competition in Appalachian State and Pitt. On the former front, we’ll ride for Scatt Satterfield all day long, while on the latter front, the Nittany Lions did pull away on the scoreboard in the second half after slogging through the first two quarters. Kent State may be bad, but they’re the kind of frisky, hang-around bad that will result in a big statistical day for Barrett, who is more than capable of putting up 100-plus yards rushing, as he did when he scampered his way to 117 yards and a score against Illinois in the opener. The dual-threat aspect is appealing, especially considering Penn State’s rushing defense ranks 106th nationally on a per-game average.


Iowa State RB David Montgomery vs. Oklahoma ($5,900) -- The Cyclones were weathered out of their opener and Montgomery was held to 44 yards rushing by Iowa in their “opener” this past weekend. The Hawkeyes boast a strong defense, though, and there’s no reason for concern, there. We like Monty to open it up this weekend. While the Sooners did limit Devin Singletary to 69 yards and a score on the ground back in Week 1 -- and then had the luxury of facing UCLA’s lackluster attack in Week 2 -- they surrendered seven games of at least 100 yards rushing a year ago and Montgomery, himself, posted 144 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown in a win over OU last autumn. Montgomery rushed for 1,146 yards and 11 touchdowns last year while adding 36 catches for 296 yards. That you’re getting him for under $6,000 is dropping a penny, bending down to pick it up and finding a briefcase of money in the bushes. With Kyle Kempt nursing a knee injury, the Cyclones should lean all the more on their star back.


Pitt RB Qadree Ollison vs. Georgia Tech ($4,700) -- The Nits might have come away with a hefty bushel of points against the Panthers this past Saturday night, but even in the dreary defeat, Ollison managed to put up 119 yards and a touchdown while averaging 5.7 YPC. He rushed for 72 yards on eight carries against Albany in the opener, too, and with Pitt’s passing game a depressive of sorts -- Kenny Pickett passed for 55 yards versus Penn State in Week 2 -- this is Ollison’s show. We haven’t seen him do much on a statistical level since 2015, but he now has clear opportunity and is taking advantage of it.


Florida State WR D.J. Matthews at Syracuse ($3,500) -- Here’s where it pays dividends to take note of in-week depth charts and coaching decisions. Matthews wouldn’t have been a daily play for Saturday just based on his output alone -- he’s caught one pass for eight yards to date. Turns out he’ll be in for a fair bit more opportunity in the short term, as he’s stepping up to start out of the slot, supplanting Nyqwan Murray. Murray had been the team’s leading receiver. That’s not saying much given FSU’s mess of an offense, but facing off against a Syracuse team that was shredded through the air by Western Michigan QB John Wassink in the opener -- D’Wayne Eskridge went off for 8-240-2 and Jayden Reed had seven catches for 121 yards and a score -- this is a perfect spot for cheap points. We don’t trust FSU, but we also don’t trust Syracuse’s defense.


Oklahoma WR CeeDee Lamb at Iowa State ($6,700) -- To paraphrase Norman MacLean’s A RIVER RUNS THROUGH IT in spirit, sometimes the proper Oklahoma receiver eludes us. The Sooners leaned on Marquise Brown ($7,600) in their opening win over FAU, when he caught six passes for 133 yards and a touchdown, then went Lamb’s way this past weekend, when the 6-foot-2, 189-pounder logged a 7-146-1 receiving line. The reality is that either or both receivers could go off in a given game. We’ll take Lamb here to save almost a thousand dollars, which can be used on, say, his quarterback teammate Kyler Murray at Super-Flex.


Boise State WR John Hightower at Oklahoma State ($3,900) -- We’re paying less than $8,000 total for two of our three receivers, but we feel this could pay dividends given the kind of greenbacks we’ll be momentarily throwing down at the bottom of the lineup. Hightower is far less expensive than wideout teammates Sean Modster ($7,000), A.J. Richardson ($6,300), Octavius Evans ($5,400) and CT Thomas ($5,300). Then there’s Hightower, a JUCO transfer who caught five passes for 119 yards and a score versus the poor poor UConn Huskies on Saturday. In full disclosure, he had just two catches for 15 yards in Week 1 versus Troy, so it’s possible Saturday’s game was just a blip on the radar rather than an incoming submarine. You’re not risking much cheddar.


FLEX: Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor vs. BYU ($9,700) -- Taylor rushed for 145 yards and two touchdowns against Western Kentucky in Week 1, then topped himself with 253 yards and three scores against New Mexico in Week 2. Now, BYU does live for a phone booth fight -- they’ve yet to give up more than 85 yards rushing to an individual player this season -- but Taylor is essentially matchup proof. He’s started out looking every bit like a true Heisman contender. We rolled with the sophomore a week ago and could not have been happier. More of the same, hopefully.


S-FLEX: Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray at Iowa State ($10,200) -- Our decisions to fly low with most of our price tags reaches its logical conclusion with our locking in Taylor and Murray. We’ll readily admit to being skeptical of Murray -- or at least not ready to jump completely onboard -- over the offseason, but he’s proven us to be the fools that we are early on. Most recently, he turned in a masterful effort against UCLA on Saturday, throwing for 306 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 69 yards and two additional scores. You get the feeling that he’s just beginning to scratch the surface of his football upside. Pity he’ll only be in Norman for this season before he begins his career in professional baseball.



Mark Lindquist holds a master's degree from the University of Iowa and writes baseball and college football for Rotoworld.com. He's currently working on a memoir about life, death, rock 'n' roll and his year teaching at a Chinese university. You can reach him on Twitter @markrlindquist.
Email :Mark Lindquist



Highest Searched Players over the last 7 days



Video Center

  •  
    Player News: Week 11

    Player News: Week 11
  •  
    Dose: Bell Doesn

    Dose: Bell Doesn't Show
  •  
    Dose: Watkins Expected Back

    Dose: Watkins Expected Back
  •  
    Nicole: Trade Targets

    Nicole: Trade Targets
  •  
    NBA Waiver Picks

    NBA Waiver Picks
  •  
    Dose: Chubb leads Browns

    Dose: Chubb leads Browns
  •  
    Matchups: Johnson, MVS

    Matchups: Johnson, MVS
  •  
    DFS Analysis: Jones, Johnson

    DFS Analysis: Jones, Johnson