Ryan O'Sullivan

Sully's Snapshot

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Ryan's Top 125, Second Edition

Thursday, February 21, 2013


51.  Tommy Gainey (30)  Played every week leading up to the Match Play, but made just two cuts. He will have a few big weeks and plenty of misses.

 

52.  Luke Guthrie (40)  Overshadowed by Russell Henley and James Hahn, but had four top-27 finishes in six starts. Reminiscent of Seung-yul Noh’s rookie year.

 

53.  Cameron Tringale (57)  One missed cut in six tries, with back-to-back top 25s. He will have a big week soon.

 

54.  Seung-yul Noh (25)  Noh will likely be great once he figures out how to turn top 25s into top fives and top 10s.

 

55.  Brendon de Jonge (53)  One top 10 and one missed cut in six events puts him about where we would expect.

 

56.  Matt Every (48)  A good long-term own because he’s becoming feast or famine.

 

57.  Jeff Overton (55)  Consistent start to 2013 and uncomfortably overdue for a breakthrough win.

 

58.  Aaron Baddeley (56)  Looks likely to rebound from an average 2012 given the early returns.

 

59.  Martin Laird (46)  No top 10s on TOUR since THE PLAYERS last year, but I trust he will get it worked out. If he doesn’t, expect a big fade on the next Snapshot.

 

60.  Sang-moon Bae (90)  Trendy West Coast Swing culminates in season’s first top 10 at Riviera CC.

 

61.  Bud Cauley (24)  Three missed cuts in five starts has me crossing my fingers against a sophomore slump.

 

62.  Retief Goosen (NR)  Secured the cash at Pebble Beach to satisfy his Major Medical Extension, thus securing a full season. Looking good in the process.

 

63.  Fredrik Jacobson (73)  Looked like he would emerge from the rubble to win at Riviera. His two top 10s have already doubled his 2012 effort.

 

64.  Ross Fisher (49)  Played four events and make just over $100K to stay solid in the first reshuffle.

 

65.  John Senden (51)  Had top 25s in half of his 22 events last year, but batting 0-for-4 in the same category this season.

 

66.  Kevin Na (52)  Was looking for a spark early and didn’t get it.

 

67.  Charlie Beljan (109)  We know he will miss plenty of cuts, but will be a factor a few times per year. Good luck predicting him on a weekly basis. Reminds me of Tommy Gainey.

 

68.  David Toms (60)  Too early to do much with him, given his strong history in tourneys later in the year.

 

69.  Charlie Wi (67)  Followed the script with his T16 at Pebble Beach a season-best. Made each of his six cuts.

 

70.  David Lingmerth (NR)  Probably the biggest surprise of the rookies; lost Humana playoff.

 

71.  Pat Perez (80)  Took care of business to our expectations on the West Coast with two top 25s, including a T9 at the Sony Open.

 

72.  Harris English (44)  Falling behind 2012 pace already and struggling on the weekends, which was our top concern about the sophomore.

 

73.  Charley Hoffman (69)  No red flags, but no green ones either.

 

74.  Scott Langley (NR)  Huge first week at Sony (T3) but a big fall off since. He should pop back up a few more times.

 

75.  Ben Crane (54)  I’m growing concerned with his form. It’s unlike him to miss three of four cuts to start the year when the West Coast is normally a strength.

 

76.  Bryce Molder (75)  Made each of his five cuts with four going for top 25s but zero top 10s. Need to see him place a little better, but play is strong.

 

77.  Brian Stuard (NR)  Big surprise that he’s made all four cuts and two went for top 10s.

 

78.  Geoff Ogilvy (68)  Missing four of five cuts, this is more respect than his form warrants but his history demands a little respect.

 

79.  Marc Leishman (113)  Developing into a contender with a little more regularity than in the past.

 

80.  Bob Estes (NR)  Hard to ignore not missing a cut in three tries with all going for top 30s.

 

81.  Brendan Steele (114)  Declared himself better prepared from a schedule standpoint in 2013 and the early results are optimistic.

 

82.  William McGirt (81)  The new dad is making cuts for the most part and sneaking into the top 25 enough to hold him steady.

 

83.  John Huh (43)  The 2012 ROY has just one top 25 in five starts versus 12 in 28 last season.

 

84.  Graham DeLaet (76)  Falling in line with where he left off 2012, a solid bet to keep his card with some upside.

 

85.  Richard H. Lee (83)  Already matched his 2012 top-10 total (1) and is half way to his top-25 total (4) in just five starts, making our prediction that he easily keeps his card feel safe.

 

86.  Nicolas Colsaerts (36)  Still learning courses, but the early returns aren’t great. Needs a nice couple of WGCs.

 

87.  J.B. Holmes (72)  Not a good start to the year considering he missed cuts at the Waste Management and Riviera where he is a perennial contender.

 

88.  Brian Davis (74)  May have righted the ship of a rough start at the Northern Trust Open.

 

89.  Lucas Glover (89)  Seems medically fine, making three of four cuts. Needs to grab a top 25 and that could come in Tampa Bay.

 

90.  K.J. Choi (98)  Not convinced he looks better than a rocky 2012, but doesn’t look worse either.

 

91.  Johnson Wagner (87)  Kept busy on the West Coast with six starts, but was relatively unimpressive.

 

92.  Ted Potter Jr. (115)  A top 10 at Rivera was eye-opening, given he hadn’t shown much skill on tougher tracks in the past.

 

93.  Kevin Chappell (111)  This year shouldn’t come down to the last putt in terms of keeping his card.

 

94.  Jonathan Byrd (95)  Hasn’t played yet, but we knew that. Seems on track for a Florida Swing return.

 

95.  Brian Harman (86)  Making cuts at a similar rate to 2012, but not finding the top 25s.

 

96.  Vijay Singh (47)  Given the deer antler spray fallout is unknown, this is a bit of a shot in the dark.

 

97.  George McNeill (99)  Four cuts made in as many starts is unusual consistency for the veteran and two-time winner.

 

98.  Matt Jones (NR)  Two top 25s in four starts is a nice bounce-back from a poor 2012 that found him back in Q School.

 

99.  Peter Hanson (32)  Hard to peg, but there will be plenty of pressure on him at Dove Mountain and Doral.

 

100.  David Hearn (101)  Holding steady to his 2012 trend, but would like to see a big week soon to go ahead and lock him in for 2013-2014.

 

101.  Patrick Reed (102)  Clutch top 10 at Pebble made up for three missed cuts in five starts.

 

102.  Sean O’Hair (82)  Almost never misses cuts on the West Coast Swing, but he made just one (T16 at Pebble Beach) of five this season. The flag’s not red, but it’s moving from yellow to orange.

 

103.  Kevin Streelman (118)  Made four (of five) cuts with three top-27 finishes and a T10 at Humana. Trending upward as the TOUR heads to Florida.

 

104.  Brad Fritsch (NR)  The Web.com Tour grad improved his number at Q School and continued to play well on the West Coast, highlighted by an impressive top 10 at Torrey Pines.

 

105.  Casey Wittenberg (105)  Seemed to rebound after a couple of early missed cuts. Reshuffle exemption is in his favor.

 

106.  Roberto Castro (107)  A T16 at the Waste Management was the culmination of a nice three-week run, but has also missed three cuts. Falling in line with our expectations.

 

107.  Steve Marino (NR)  A T15 at Torrey Pines puts our minds at ease about his health coming off an injury.

 

108  Daniel Summerhays (93)  Not a good start to the year, but it’s actually a better West Coast than he had in what turned out to be a solid 2012.

 

109.  Ken Duke (64)  Slow start for the veteran bears monitoring in Florida.

 

110.  Nicholas Thompson (NR)  A T6 at the Humana and a T21 at Torrey Pines give his season-long owners reason to be excited.

 

111.  Troy Matteson (100)  Made just one cut, and not surprisingly it was a T16 at the Waste Management. Long-term value really hasn’t changed due to his nature of a few big weeks with lots of misses.

 

112.  Stewart Cink (NR)  Several bright spots and new equipment for Cink have him looking refreshed in 2013.

 

113.  Greg Chalmers (110)  Making a high percentage of cuts early with one top 10 sounds pretty status quo for the Aussie veteran.

 

114.  Ricky Barnes (NR)  Back-to-back top 20s to start the season, but four missed cuts to follow keep him as maddening a weekly option as ever. Still a decent long-term investment.

 

115.  James Driscoll (NR)  A T9 at Pebble gets him the bump inside the top 125, but I doubt he ends up inside the top 100.

 

116.  D.A. Points (104)  Poor start prompted a Twitter announcement of a caddy change. Something has to change quickly.

 

117.  Greg Owen (122)  Making cuts, but not finishing high. That’s usually the story of guys in the 100-125 range.

 

118.  Kyle Stanley (78)  Ball-striking stats are encouraging, but dead last on TOUR in strokes gained-putting.

 

119.  Justin Hicks (NR)  Made every cut with two top 25s. A T12 at Pebble leaves us wanting more.

 

120.  J.J. Henry (121)  Back to making plenty of cuts, but can’t figure out the weekend quite yet.

 

121.  Justin Leonard (NR)  Only so many courses where he can be a real factor, but scratching out paydays in all five of his starts counts for something.

 

122.  Mark Wilson (77)  He’s in big trouble after logging just one top 25 to date. Always plays his best golf early, so I’d hate to be an owner of Wilson stock right now.

 

123.  Chad Campbell (103)  Hard to take too big of a swing at him until we get some Texas tournaments under our belt, but early returns aren’t encouraging.

 

124.  Tom Gillis (120)  Plodding along and making a few cuts, but The Honda will be a huge tournament in determining Gillis’ season.

 

125.  Jason Kokrak (NR)  Missed plenty of cuts, but a T8 at Humana makes me optimistic that he will show up Charlie Beljan- or Tommy Gainey-style

 

 

 

Dropping out: Blake Adams (71, injury), Michael Thompson (79), Ryo Ishikawa (84), Morgan Hoffmann (85), John Mallinger (88), Davis Love III (91, injury), Robert Karlsson (92), Rory Sabbatini (97), Spencer Levin (106, injury), Luke List (108), Andres Romero (112), Will Claxton (117), Martin Flores (119), Ben Curtis (123), D.H. Lee (124) and Robert Streb (125).

 

 

 

We will next check in following the Masters. Until then, best of luck!

 

 

 



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Ryan O’Sullivan joined Rotoworld in 2012. The Clemson grad blogs as The Golf Aficionado.
Email :Ryan O'Sullivan


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