Scott Piercy: He has one round under par in his last 11 but this week should get Piercy back on track as he was T13 here last year. Piercy weighs in at 10th in birdie-or-better conversion as he takes it deep and can really putt.
Jeff Overton: After MC at Bay Hill Overton has rebounded with T27 at SHO and T7 at Valero in his next two outings. Overton was looking for his first TOUR win here in 2010 but his Sunday 66 wasn’t enough to catch or pass Jason Bohn’s 67. Overton fired 67 on Friday and 65 on Sunday here last year so I have no problem including him in here this week.
Nick Watney: Here’s what I like: He began the Masters with 78 yet found a way to finish T13. This shows that he’s grinding and results should be heading his way. I’ve been high on Watney for years but his putter has gone so cold, it’s been hard to endorse him recently. His ball-striking, on the other hand, gives me reason to hope. He’ll hit plenty of GIR so that should give him ample chances. Plus, this was the site of his first-career win so that should get him fired up this week.
Thorbjorn Olesen: TBO showed absolutely no fear in his maiden voyage around Augusta two weeks ago as he finished T6. He’s plenty long and has showed he can handle golf in the states. Before the Masters, he finished T7 at Bay Hill. Two tough courses. Two large results. I’m sold.
Cameron Tringale: He’s played here three times and has finished T7, T18 and T28. He’s posted exactly one round over par in those outings. He’s 10th in GIR and 52nd in strokes gained-putting and those numbers should put him in contention more times than not! He’s also 23rd in the all-around and 16th in par five performance.
Chris Kirk: After missing the cut at Humana, Kirk has run off seven straight weekend performances, including solo second at AT&T and three other top 25s. He’s sixth in scoring average and is automatic on the greens. He’s another that we are just waiting to break out with a TOUR win on the regular schedule.
John Rollins: His worst finish here in five events is T26. His best finish was last year, T7, as he opened 66-67 but sputtered on Sunday with 72. He’s 13th in GIR and seventh in the all-around ranking. He’s hit the top 25 six times in eight cuts made this season.
Charles Howell III: He’s made the weekend in nine of 11 events this year and the only two he’s missed have been difficult driving courses (Riviera and Harbour Town). He’s never missed the cut in this city and was T2 here in 2009.
Jordan Spieth: I saw on Twitter this week that young Spieth has made more in his career in seven events than Gary McCord made in his entire career. I know, I know, it is apples and oranges BUT it still made me chortle. Anyhow, there is NOTHING funny about Spieth’s game as he racked up his third top 10 in five cuts made in 2013 last week at RBC (T9). His two worst finishes are in his home state of Texas. Go figure.
Graham DeLaet: He’s second on TOUR in ball-striking and finished T4 here last year. He had made six cuts in a row before MC last week at Hilton Head so he’s been playing well.
Camilo Villegas: He’s been T18 or better in three of his last four starts so I’m going to take a look this week. He had it going here last year before his 74 on Saturday took away his momentum. He regrouped on Sunday to finish T18. He’s 29th in the all-around this year and is 25th in GIR.
Off the Beaten Path
Either “horse-for-course” or guys off the radar
Chris Stroud: In six events here, he’s racked up four finishes in the top 26 including T5 in 2007. His confidence should be sky-high after posting T6 last week at Hilton Head.
Ken Duke: In five trips to TPC Louisiana, Duke has been all-or-nothing. He was T2 in 2007, T21 in 2010 and T7 last year and missed the cut in his other two outings. In his last four events on TOUR, he’s banged out T18, T31, MC and T8.
Greg Chalmers: Tied the course record 64 in round two here last year so I would assume he’s quite comfortable around these parts. He’s on this list because he WD last week with a left hand injury. His finishes at TPC Louisiana are T30, T8, fifth and T24 in his last five. The risk will be a possible WD or DNS.
R.H. Lee: He’s finished T13 and T9 in his last two events. He’s not very long but he hits tons of GIR and can putt it so that’s his strength. He has four finishes of T13 of better this year. There are MUCH WORSE choices this week.
John Merrick: He’s played the last six events in New Orleans and has never missed the cut. He’s also already won this year so he should be playing under zero pressure.
Take It Deep
Jerry Kelly: He’s the 2009 champion but his best finish since that victory is T67. He’s MC the other two times. That being said, he was solo fifth last week for his first top 10 in some time and he should be excited to get back to New Orleans, the scene of his first victory.
Jason Kokrak: He finished ninth at SHO and T15 at Valero on the Texas swing on long courses. He fought it last week on the tight Harbour Town course as he MDF. He’ll be happy to see a resort course this week! Last year he played three rounds below par before a Sunday 74 stalled him out. Thank me later.
Nicholas Thompson: Stretching here, but hang with me for a second. If you are in a deep, weekly draft, such as I am, its guys like this that can help you late in the draft. Thompson’s last three finishes here are T7 (2010), T24 (2009) and T4 (2008). He’s also 9 for 11 in 2013. SHHHHHHH.
David Mathis: WE HAVE FOUND THIS WEEK’S WINNER. Mathis has played 11 events this season and his best finish is T41. He’s missed six straight cuts entering the week but he’s a true horse-for-course. He was T10 last year and T8 in 2011 in his only two appearances. Sure, why the hell not?
Allenby: Copy and Paste.
Eric Meierdierks: Eight played. Six cuts. Best finish T50.
Scott Stallings: After beginning the season T13, MC, T4, Stallings has missed five of eight and his best finish is T29. He fired 80-77 here last year. No, thanks.
J.J. Henry: After opening with T13, his best finish in nine events is T39. In his last five events here he’s MC three times and finished T52 and T57. He did finish T5 in 2005, the first year.