These guys just missed out
D.A. Points: After an atrocious start to 2013, Points has rattled off seven cuts on the trot that have resulted in a victory, a second, T12 and a T16 last week in Irving. Points has found the best vein of his career as he’s already cashed more this year that his best season of 2011. He’s playing free and loose and the results have followed. WD Monday
Scott Piercy: After five poor results in a row, Piercy was contending on Sunday before his final round 72 knocked him to T5. In his five previous starts his only weekend finish was T54; the rest were spent elsewhere. His length puts him in enough good positions to make birdies (18th on TOUR in birdie-or-better conversion %) and a little bit of confidence can go a long way here. He’s only teed it up here once so that’s what’s holding him back for me this week.
Martin Laird: In two events here in 2010 and 2011 he finished T10. He’s played all eight rounds at par or better and his current form makes him worth a look this week. He won at Valero, MC at Augusta and Quail Hollow before racking up his second consecutive top five (T5) at THE PLAYERS. He’s 12th in total driving and 16th in ball-striking so if he makes anything this week, look out.
Stewart Cink: He’s made 14 starts and hit the top 25 in 10 of them. He’s never missed a cut. He rattled off seven straight weekends before MC at THE PLAYERS.
Tim Clark: In eight starts he’s finished T21 six times including T2 in 2008 and 2009. His record on tight courses is well documented but as usual with him, it’s the putter that makes or breaks.
Bo Van Pelt: Encouraging to see his return to the top 10 (T6) at Wells Fargo but only four of his nine weekends have resulted in top 25s in 2013. He loves Colonial as he’s never missed the cut in nine starts and six of those have resulted in T19 or better.
Graham DeLaet: He’s registered three very solid weeks in a row and is trending in the right direction after finishes of T47 (Zurich), T26 (THE PLAYERS) and T10 last week at TPC Four Seasons Las Colinas. The Canadian is third in total driving and second in GIR on TOUR so the tight track should be in his favor this week. He MC here last year but he put four rounds in the 60s here in 2010.
Charley Hoffman: He’s found himself T8 or better in three of his last five starts so Hoffman has definitely found something this spring. Two late bogeys kept him out of the top five last weekend but his putter was in otherwise fine form. He’s made four from four at Colonial, including his best, T13, last season.
Ryan Palmer: His final round 73 on Sunday in 2011 kept him out of the top 15 and a pair of 70s last year on the weekend saw him take T5 so he’s been close here two years in a row. His 73-73 last weekend at HPBNC might have scared some off but I’ll take a look again this week.
Off the Beaten Path
Either “horse-for-course”, guys off the radar or both
David Toms: Another historically excellent player in Hogan’s Alley, the 2011 champion has been cut here in only two of 15 starts, including last year. I’m stretching here as his only finish of 2013 that caught the eye of the fantasy world was a backdoor T13 at the Masters. There’s no question that his accuracy off the tee and course knowledge will be strengths this week.
Pat Perez: He’s made five straight weekends in Ft. Worth and three of those have been in the top 10 so he qualifies. I look for him to bounce back after his MDF and MC in his last two outings. He hits plenty of greens and makes plenty of birdies.
Corey Pavin: In the last 10 years, the wily veteran has made eight cuts and never finishes worse than T31. Oh, and he’s won here twice. He’s excellent for deep drafts this week.
John Huh: He proved last year, in his first start at Colonial, that experience isn’t the only quality needed to post a score here. He’s known for splitting fairways and putting slick greens and he did that to finish T5 last year. Coming off his T8 at HPBNC, I’d say that he’s primed for another great week.
Robert Karlsson: I’ll take a stretch on the big Swede this week. He was T4 on his home course in Charlotte. He fired 64-78 last week to MC. He qualified Monday for The Open Championship. He was T5 in 2011 in his only start here. #Volatility.
Ben Crane: He’s hit the top 10 in two of his last five starts on TOUR and at Colonial. He was T10 last year, T3 in 2010 and T5 in 2008.
Jeff Overton: He’s been on his best run of form in 2013 as he’s made five cuts in a row and his worst finish is T42. He’s second on TOUR in total putting and has a T3 (2010) and T13 (2009) as his best two finishes here in the last four years.
Take It Deep
Ricky Barnes: Three years ago he was T7 at Colonial and he’s coming off his best finish of 2013, T12 last week at HPBNC.
Charlie Wi: In five appearances since the beginning of April, Wi has missed three of five cuts and finished T55 and T71. He’s five out of five at Colonial with a second, T13 and T15 in the last five years but his current form sees him land here.
John Peterson: The 2011 NCAA champion grew up on Colonial and has already pegged a top 10 this season with his T8 at Zurich. He’s playing on a Colonial exemption and should know his way around these parts.
Morgan Hoffmann: Young’uns don’t usually fare well around these parts but the OK STATE rookie has finished T5 and T21 in two of his last three on TOUR and might just not care about where he “should” finish.
Josh Teater: Made a ton of birdies in qualifying for The Open on Monday and hot golf is hot golf. He makes plenty of birdies and his game in general is pretty solid across the board.
These folks have struggled on this track or in general recently.
Jordan Spieth: High-risk, high reward for the Texan but he’s had his worst three starts in his home state, T50, MC and T68. Let someone else have him this week.
Hunter Mahan: One top 10 in nine starts at Colonial. He has three rounds in the 60s in his last 16. I wouldn’t write him completely off this week but I wouldn’t rush him to the front of the line either.
Jason Dufner: Let’s try him in this category to try and jump-start his 2013. I tried him up there last week at a course he won on last year and that didn’t help. His best score on Sunday this year is 70 and that’s the only round that is under par as well.
Chad Campbell: Since his second in 2004, Campbell has missed four of eight cuts and his best finish is T30.
Bob Estes: His last top 25 here was in 2002.
J.J. Henry: One top 25 in 11 starts here.
Rookie of the Week Last Week
I keep an eye on the youngin’s each week to see who is making the most noise.
Sony: Russell Henley WIN
Humana: David Lingmerth P2
Farmers: Brad Fritsch T9
WMPO: James Hahn T16
AT&T: James Hahn T3
NTO: Luke Guthrie T21
WGC-Match Play: Russell Henley 2nd round
Honda: Luke Guthrie 3rd
WGC-Cadillac: Russell Henley T28
Puerto Rico: Jordan Spieth 2nd
Tampa Bay: Jordan Spieth T7; Shawn Stefani T7; Ben Kohles T7
Arnold Palmer: Ben Kohles T14
Shell Houston Open: Robert Streb T22
Valero Texas Open: Ben Kohles T37
Masters: Russell Henley MC
RBC Heritage: Russell Henley T6
Zurich Classic: D. H. Lee T8
Wells Fargo Championship: Derek Ernst WIN
THE PLAYERS: David Lingmerth. Great back-to-back weeks for the rookies on TOUR!
HPBNC: Morgan Hoffmann T5
SEASON TOTAL: $2,605,688
HTOC: Steve Stricker (2nd; $665,000)
Sony: Charles Howell III (T3; $324,800)
Humana: Tim Clark (MC)
Farmers: Rickie Fowler (T6; $204,350)
WMPO: Jason Dufner (MC)
AT&T Pebble: Hunter Mahan (T16; $94,250)
Northern Trust: Bill Haas (T3; $343,200)
WGC-Match Play: Charl Schwartzel (T33; $46,000)
Honda: Lee Westwood (T9; $156,000)
WGC-Cadillac Championship: Matt Kuchar (T35; $68,500)
Tampa Bay: Jim Furyk (T7; $148,892)
Bay Hill: Sergio Garcia (WD after three rounds)
Shell Houston: Jimmy Walker (T50; $14,838)
Valero: Cameron Tringale (MC)
Masters: Phil Mickelson (T54; $18,320)
RBC Heritage: Luke Donald (T3; $336,400)
Zurich Classic: Bubba Watson (T15; $102,500)
Wells Fargo: Webb Simpson (T32; $37,073)
THE PLAYERS: Nick Watney (MC)
HPBNC: Jason Day (T27; $46,565)
Colonial: Kevin Streelman