Ryan O'Sullivan

Sully's Snapshot

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Ryan's Top 125, Sixth Edition

Thursday, July 25, 2013


51  Fredrik Jacobson (28)  Without a top 10 since the Match Play and hasn’t cracked a top 25 since the Byron Nelson. After a great start, he looked poised for a big year but didn’t hold up his end of the bargain.

52  Brian Gay (49)  Much like Merrick, it’s all about how far he can possibly fall the next four weeks. Gay is currently 41st.

53  Brendon de Jonge (35)  I found it telling that he fell off the front page of the leaderboard at the Deere on the weekend, then failed to contend at a weak Sanderson Farms Championship. If Hearn, Stroud and Jones are getting closer to a first win, BdJ sure seems a good be behind.

54  Michael Thompson (48)  Only made seven (of 17) cuts. Without his win, he’s fighting for a card.

55  Sergio Garcia (37)  Much of his season could rest on his defense at the Wyndham.

56  Roberto Castro (81)  An intelligent player, his runner-up at Congressional speaks volumes of his ability.

57  Daniel Summerhays (118)  A T9, T4, P2 run in his last three starts have him sizzling. The question is how long he can keep this up.

58  Ian Poulter (51)  A strong finish to his Open Championship had him in the thick of it until Lefty went off. Stenson’s even par would have been a little harder to post if not for Mickelson’s stranglehold and Poulter’s 1-over could have been the number.

59  Cameron Tringale (63)  After a rough spring, he’s made five of his last six cuts and looks good to hang around his current FEC standing of 59th.

60  Kyle Stanley (29)  Moved him up after a fourth at the Memorial, but the putter disappeared on him again. His 69 on Friday at Muirfield was exceptional. As the putter goes, so goes the young talent.

61  Josh Teater (52)  Only missed four cuts all year, but has just one top-25 finish since the West Coast Swing.

62  Tim Clark (46)  He might have another good one left in him this season, but his trend is headed in the wrong direction.

63  Jim Furyk (44)  His fall this year was almost predictable after his numerous near-misses in 2012 and his Ryder Cup flop. Returns to the sight of one of those letdowns next week at Firestone CC.

64  Jason Dufner (39)  A good example of a guy that played over his head in 2012 and needed a return to normalcy. I would expect 2013-14 to be a nice bounce back, but not to the heights of ’12.

65  Nicholas Thompson (86)  Don’t count him out at Glen Abbey this week. His form is excellent and he tied for fifth there in 2008.

66  David Lynn (54)  He’s expected to finally return to the U.S. for the PGA Championship after a lengthy stint in Europe.

67  Scott Piercy (53)  This week’s defender at the RBC has failed to carry over his 2012 success.

68  Bo Van Pelt (38)  Fantasy owners that were frustrated with BVP always finishing around eighth but never winning last year are likely begging for those days to return.

69  Brian Davis (68)  He is who we thought he was. Makes cuts and doesn’t stress to keep his card, but can’t seem to win.

70  K.J. Choi (62)  While Mickelson hasn’t slowed down at 43, Choi has. His best days are behind him, but he could still pop up on occasion.

71  Pat Perez (76)  Good year, but nothing special. Had him 80th in the preseason ranking, and there’s value in that kind of predictability.

72  Martin Flores (114)  Made seven of his last eight cuts with a T4 at TPC Deere Run.

73  Ernie Els (59)  Probably unfair to think he would go back-to-back at Muirfield, but he’s running out of courses that should fit his eye.

74  Patrick Reed (97)  Certainly a young gun to watch develop over the next few years, but I wish he’d get his wife (caddie) a lighter bag to carry. The bag has to weigh more than she does.

75  Richard H. Lee (92)  The guy doesn’t miss many cuts and, other than distance, doesn’t have a statistical weakness.

76  Luke Guthrie (56)  Somewhat mired in a slump, but this was the time of year when he caught fire on the Web.com Tour in 2012.

77  Marc Leishman (57)  Three missed cuts in his last four starts make that Masters run feel a long way in the past.

78  Derek Ernst (61)  Predictably, he hasn’t gotten much going since his shocking win at Quail Hollow and is on a freefall.

79  Scott Brown (66)  A T22 at the John Deere fits his M.O. of showing up in weaker fields, but that logic only leaves the Reno-Tahoe Open as a possible point grab down the stretch.

80  Lucas Glover (69)  All about the putter. Could have won the Deere if he made all of his putts inside six feet over the final two rounds, but the flat stick continues to be his Achilles' heel.

81  Stewart Cink (88)  Not all that different from K.J. Choi, Cink is past his prime in terms of having a huge year but he shows up in pockets.

82  Kevin Stadler (70)  Respectable T27 at the John Deere Classic, but no top 25s since New Orleans.

83  Brian Stuard (73)  Missed eight of his last 11 cuts before The Greenbrier Classic, then tied for sixth. That’s kind of the way that tournament works, though.

84  Bob Estes (82)  Solid record at Glen Abbey could lead to a nice week in the points immediately.

85  Morgan Hoffmann (NR)  Playing really good golf right now. If he fades down the stretch, then try and get him on the cheap in your full-season games in 2013-14.

86  Jerry Kelly (90)  Putting the finishing touches on a nice bounce-back season after finishing outside the top 125 in 2012.

87  John Huh (72)  All things considered, he’s salvaged a respectable sophomore season after breaking out in 2012.

88  Robert Garrigus (65)  Needs to hit the reset button. He’s missed four cuts with a WD and a T64 in his last six starts. He has a new baby, but I also question his health to a degree.

89  Justin Leonard (89)  Continues cashing checks, but rarely makes the top three pages of the television leaderboard once the weekend arrives.

90  Chez Reavie (NR)  Could race even higher up this list if he figures out a way to win for a second time at Glen Abbey later this week.

91  Rory Sabbatini (NR)  Back on the radar with a couple of top 20s in his last three starts.

92  Ted Potter Jr. (104)  Tied for sixth in his title defense at The Old White TPC, so consider him a horse for that course going forward.

93  James Driscoll (87)  Currently 89th in the standings with a pair of top 10s, he’s likely to enter The Barclays somewhere around his current position.

94  Jeff Overton (74)  He’s fallen on hard times of late, with no top 25s since a T7 at the Valero Texas Open.

95  Geoff Ogilvy (75)  Can’t pull himself out of what has basically been a season-long slump by his lofty standards.

96  John Senden (79)  The John Deere was an important week for him and he missed the cut. His momentum from a T15 at the U.S. Open is history.

97  Jason Kokrak (113)  Dangerous player in spurts, he was impressive with a T3 at Congressional.

98  Carl Pettersson (84)  He’s started experimenting with a short putter, so stay tuned there.

99  Nicolas Colsaerts (77)  Currently 121st in the FEC standings, but I’m optimistic when I see a T7 at the Wyndham last year.

100  Padraig Harrington (80)  When he started his year with a top 10 in a tournament he’d never seen before I was optimistic. Now I’m not.

101  D.H. Lee (NR)  The Q School medalist birdied his way to a T3 at Congressional both literally and figuratively.

102  Bryce Molder (102)  Quietly made his last four cuts, including three top 30s.

103  J.J. Henry (NR)  Scored a T5 at the Travelers and a T7 at the John Deere since we last checked in. Two missed cuts were the meat in that sandwich.

104  Brendan Steele (100)  His exemption from the 2011 Valero Texas Open win expires this season, but he’s in good shape to return to the TOUR for a fourth season in 2013-14.

105  Matt Every (98)  You’ll pull your hair out trying to figure him out weekly, but the most noticeable trend is that he fails to back up big weeks.

106  Justin Hicks (99)  Snapped a streak of two missed cuts and a WD with a T33 at TPC Deere Run. His first top 10 of the season preceded that, so maybe a little too much celebrating?

107  James Hahn (91)  He should have just stopped after the West Coast Swing. Well, he basically did.

108  Bud Cauley (85)  Among the biggest disappointments this year for gamers, still has time to salvage something but at 124th in the FEC standings he’s in legitimate jeopardy of losing his card for next year.

109  Camilo Villegas (103)  Looks locked into the Playoffs, but another nice week or two wouldn’t hurt anything.

110  Erik Compton (107)  Following a rough Spring, he’s secured checks in six of his last seven starts.

111  Charlie Beljan (83)  Gamers live on the edge with this guy. He’s made just 33 percent of his cuts in almost two seasons.

112  Martin Kaymer (106)  If the Playoffs start today, he’s out at 126th.

113  Aaron Baddeley (101)  Another one of the big head-scratchers of 2013. He’s missed his last 10 cuts! What?

114  Jeff Maggert (111)  Picked up his second top 10 of the year at the Travelers, then missed a pair of cuts. He’s safe for the Playoffs.

115  George McNeill (112)  Back in the field after pulling out of the John Deere early, his season has been otherwise very steady.

116  Johnson Wagner (NR)  Had The Greenbrier Classic in the palm of his hands and let it slip away, but it did jump him into the Playoffs in what has been an otherwise forgettable season.

117  Charlie Wi (109)  A seventh at AT&T National went a long way towards locking up his card for 2013-14. Probably doesn’t need much more than another top 30 to seal the deal.

118  William McGirt (120)  Posted a career-best runner-up at the RBC Canadian Open in 2012 and shared 26th in Mississippi last week. Currently on the right side of the bubble, but by no means safe.

119  Scott Langley (NR)  At 120th in the FEC standings and trending upward with a T33 and a T26 in the last two weeks.

120  Mark Wilson (105)  Back to math again. He’s right on the bubble and probably doesn’t need to do much more to hang on.

121  Jim Herman (NR)  He’s on the outside, but recorded the first two top 10s of his career in his last two starts.

122  Gary Woodland (115)  Another guy that likely already has the points needed, but isn’t inspiring tons of confidence at the moment.

123  Steven Bowditch (NR)  He’s T2/T12/T17 in his last three starts out of nowhere. He’s not a lock to make the Playoffs and keep his card, but is incredibly close. It would be a nice story for a guy that’s overcome plenty of tough times.

124  Brian Harman (94)  Similar to several sophomores, he hasn’t followed up a solid rookie year quite as efficiently as his first look at these courses.

125  Ben Crane (71)  Currently 117th in the FEC standings and pulled out of the RBC Canadian Open. That’s a concerning combination.

 

Dropped out:  Peter Hanson (95), Greg Chalmers (108), Louis Oosthuizen (110), Ross Fisher (116), Robert Karlsson (117), Vijay Singh (119), Tommy Gainey (121), Shawn Stefani (122), Jonathan Byrd (123), Henrik Norlander (124) and Justin Bolli (125)

 

We will check back following the Wyndham Championship to reset our expectations for the FedExCup Playoffs.

 



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Ryan O’Sullivan joined Rotoworld in 2012. The Clemson grad blogs as The Golf Aficionado.
Email :Ryan O'Sullivan



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