Ryan O'Sullivan

Sully's Snapshot

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Ryan's Top 125, FEC Playoffs

Monday, August 19, 2013

51  Ian Poulter (70)  He’s the kind of guy that will lose interest quickly if it doesn’t go his way early, but has something left to prove this season.

52  John Merrick (30)  Missed the cut at Liberty National and has kept a fairly low profile since his win at Riviera CC.

53  Ryan Palmer (46)  Has a good enough history at the Deutsche Bank to render him noteworthy, but hard to see a life-changing run.

54  Scott Stallings (43)  Never made much noise at the only venue he’s seen in this year’s Playoff rota (TPC Boston).

55  Kevin Chappell (58)  In unfamiliar territory for the most part, but plays hard courses well. Don’t be surprised at a top 15 at some point in the first two or three events.

56  Ryan Moore (68)  Good record at TPC Boston warrants the boost.

57  Ken Duke (32)  His season was made with a win at the Travelers Championship. Everything else is gravy.

58  Martin Laird (44)  He’s been a factor in some unlikely places this year, so could be a decent value if he falls to you in a Playoff format.

59  Marc Leishman (69)  He’s perfect in four attempts at TPC Boston, with a T15 in ’09 after a missed cut at Liberty National. A similar formula this time around would put him right around this spot.

60  Sang-moon Bae (36)  Wasn’t impressive at TPC Boston last year and that’s his only return site.

61  Michael Thompson (39)  Not unlike Blixt, he’ll be dangerous the few weeks out of the year when his putter is allowed to shine.

62  John Rollins (57)  Historically does his best work in the weaker fields. That may not bode well in the Playoffs.

63  Scott Piercy (50)  A T5 at the PGA reversed a pretty serious dry spell. Can he keep it up?

64  David Lynn (54)  There’s more we don’t know than we do in this case.

65  Brendon de Jonge (51)  Will likely do enough to see his way to the BMW Championship but hard to imagine him emerging high enough in any tournament to end up at East Lake.

66  Fredrik Jacobson (66)  I’m not in love with his form, but a T6 at Liberty National requires you take him somewhat seriously.

67  Brian Gay (52)  He was T12 at Liberty National, but that’s about the only good news.

68  Josh Teater (61)  He’s made a couple of cuts at TPC Boston, which will likely be what he needs to make it to the BMW.

69  Stewart Cink (83)  A bit of a renaissance year and he has some good history at TPC Boston and a T28 at Liberty National. He doesn’t have to make a huge move to see the BMW Championship.

70  Richard H. Lee (84)  He’s been a steady improver. I’m not sure what his limit is, but sneaking into the BMW Championship is not out of the cards.

71  K.J. Choi (62)  Someone has to be the highest-seeded guy not to make it to the third stage, and he wins the award. Missed cut at Liberty National and only one top 25 at TPC Boston.

72  Kyle Stanley (64)  A bad final round at the 2012 BMW kept him out of the TOUR Championship last year and he very well may narrowly miss the BMW this year by similar circumstances.

73  Brian Davis (71)  Not much would surprise me with the veteran, but it’s hard to think the non-winner can be counted on for a deep run.

74  Robert Garrigus (73)  He’s actually starting to trend after a horrible middle of his season, so this may be a tad low.

75  Brian Harman (80)  I don’t know exactly what his T3 at the Wyndham means for his Playoff chances, but it can’t be bad.

76  Rory Sabbatini (85)  He’s played his way into form the last few months and could make a modest move with a few breaks.

77  Bo Van Pelt (90)  This is headed down the path of a lost season, but his history in the Playoffs gives him a chance.

78  Martin Kaymer (103)  Similar to Garrigus, he’s woken up a bit lately and may have a little run in him.

79  Cameron Tringale (67)  He’s 0-for-2 at TPC Boston and limping into the Playoffs.

80  Brendan Steele (81)  Tied for 10th at Deutsche Bank in 2011 and has a fourth and a T11 in his last two starts leading into The Barclays.

81  Luke Guthrie (72)  He was supposed to have had the season Russell Henley, Jordan Spieth and Patrick Reed have enjoyed. Perhaps there is still time.

82  Matt Every (88)  Don’t put too much stock into a nice effort at the Wyndham. He seldom finds success in back-to-back weeks.

83  Pat Perez (89)  Dangerous mainly in that he can get hot at any time for a short run.

84  Bob Estes (94)  He proved he can survive an awkward interview with David Feherty at the Wyndham Championship. Oh yeah, and that Estes can still play a little.

85  Justin Leonard (91)  He doesn’t know what to do with them, but the veteran just keeps making cuts.

86  Nicholas Thompson (77)  It probably ends in Boston, but it’s been a really nice return to the PGA TOUR no matter the Playoffs.

87  Martin Flores (86)  A T4 at the John Deere Classic and a T16 at the Wyndham Championship have him in solid form.

88  Jerry Kelly (79)  There are dumber things to do than take a risk on a veteran in the Playoffs.

89  Kevin Stadler (87)  Probably doesn’t putt well enough to make too much noise in elite fields, but did share 10th at TPC Boston last year.

90  Daniel Summerhays (75)  Liberty National and TPC Boston could be a challenge for him off the tee.

91  William McGirt (92)  He’s 2-for-2 at TPC Boston, but doesn’t have a top 25.

92  Brian Stuard (78)  Only has one top 20 in his last 15 starts and is a Playoff rookie. Not the best combo.

93  James Driscoll (93)  The Massachusetts native would love nothing more than to win the Deutsche Bank. Tied for 27th in his only try in 2006. Missed the cut at Liberty National in ’09.

94  Derek Ernst (74)  I can’t see it ending well.

95  Scott Brown (76)  Considering he began the year with partial status, he’s more than accomplished his goals already.

96  Mark Wilson (102)  He tied for 58th at Liberty National in ’09. That means two things. He made the cut and he’s seen the course.

97  Jason Kokrak (95)  The bomber will need to put up a performance similar to the one he flashed at Congressional if he’s to move past the Deutsche Bank.

98  Ted Potter Jr. (96)  The question boils down to if he can make a cut at Liberty National.

99  J.J. Henry (97)  He tied for 67th at Liberty National in ’09, and a repeat of that should barely squeak him into the Deutsche Bank.

100  Jeff Overton (100)  It’s not that I love him so much as I don’t see enough value below him to bump him.

101  Bryce Molder (98)  Missed the cut at Liberty National in ’09 and he doesn’t have the room to afford a MC this time around.

102  Geoff Ogilvy (99)  Just like Molder, missed cut in ’09 at The Barclays and his form is a shell of his former self.

103  Chez Reavie (112)  Might have the best chance of those with serious work to do, but he can’t afford a slip-up.

104  Camilo Villegas (110)  Big bounce-back season for him just to make it this far.

105  Morgan Hoffmann (111)  We’ve seen our share of first-time winners this year and the Jersey native could rile up the hometown crowd at Liberty National if the unlikely happens.

106  Jason Bohn (106)  He’s flashed a little form lately.

107  John Senden (105)  It’s been an off-year for the ball-striker from Down Under, but he can’t be completely counted out at The Barclays.

108  James Hahn (101)  Frankly, I expect the rest to miss the cut so they just fall in line.

109  Charlie Beljan (104)  Good week in Greensboro, but he’s made only seven cuts this year.

110  Lucas Glover (107)  Missed cut at Liberty National in career year of ’09. This hasn’t been a career year.

111  Jeff Maggert (108)  Missed cut in ’09 Barclays.

112  Justin Hicks (109)  First trip to Liberty National and zero margin for error.

113  Carl Pettersson (113)  His missed cut at Sedgefield Country Club is as big of a red flag as you can find for his game.

114  D.H. Lee (114)  No reason to think otherwise.

115  Andres Romero (115)  If he could somehow make it to TPC Boston, he’s enjoyed a little success there.

116  Johnson Wagner (116)  He can be thankful for The Greenbrier, but the rest of the season has been less than inspiring.

117  Erik Compton (117)  It’s awesome he retained his card, but his form has faded with the season.

118  Charlie Wi (118)  Had a chance to make a real move at the Wyndham Championship, but finished with a 75-72 on the weekend.

119  Aaron Baddeley (119)  Missed cut at ’09 Barclays and has been awful in 2012 given his previously high standards.

120  Steven Bowditch (120)  Other than Derek Ernst, Bowditch may be the biggest dark horse to have kept his TOUR card.

121  George McNeill (121)  When you look at his record, it’s actually pretty amazing that he’s even here.

122  Greg Chalmers (122)  Smooth-putting Aussie has to hit it better.

123  Stuart Appleby (123)  Breathing a major sigh of relief just to retain status.

124  Scott Langley (124)  It seems like a long time ago that he almost won the Sony Open. He needed every point from that event just to keep his card.

125  Ben Crane (125)  Something is off here.


It’s been fun providing these updates throughout the year, and I hope they’ve proven helpful. If the next four tournaments prove to be as exceptional as the 2013 season has been to date, it should be a great ride.


As always, best of luck to all!


Ryan O’Sullivan joined Rotoworld in 2012. The Clemson grad blogs as The Golf Aficionado and can be found on Twitter @ryangolfblogger.
Email :Ryan O'Sullivan

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