John McNamara

The 19th Hole

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Two Sides To the Same Coin

Friday, December 06, 2013


Street Credulity

 

The media and a player’s public perception is another factor that affects a punter’s wagering ticket as well.

 

Players like Rickie Fowler and Jason Day are electric. I am not knocking their abilities, but the odds they garner for five professional wins between the two of them is staggering. Day won two weeks ago in Australia at 8-1. Because he came away with the title partially negates my point, but the betting public is forever enamored if not fooled by the media exposure.

 

These are just a couple of examples, but we see it every week. An analyst will tout a golfer or slot a hot player with zero wins at the top of his list after which his odds then often plummet. Once again, this requires punters to look past these media darlings and find a player who is live but has solid betting odds.

 

 

Running the Options

 

There are, of course, other ways to wager on golf, and outside of “win bets,” I will point out my favorite wager.

 

Many punters fancy a player but do not think that he can win, so they will place a wager on who they think will be the first-round leader. This is a bit of a hedge bet, shot in the dark or a double-down all in one.

 

An example of this is when I bet George McNeill as the first-round leader at 50-1 at the 2012 Puerto Rico Open. He shot 65, good for a share of the lead. I liked him so much that I bet him at 5-1 to win the event, which he did (by two strokes). This was example of a time that the double-down paid off.

 

My favorite wager is a “three-ball.” This wager takes place on most Thursdays and Fridays. Odds are placed on each player in a threesome you must pick the winner for that day. Utilizing weekly analysis, certain players are the best player in the group “on paper,” but they get heavy odds because they are not as well-known to the betting public. I find this type of wagering to be the most volatile, but can be the most profitable.

 

Punters can also wager on who will be the “low American," “low European," “top 10,” etc.

 

This is just a microcosm of the many ways to bet on golf and we all know that there are MANY formats for fantasy golf. All of us are searching for winners and we all utilize the same information to derive our picks in every tournament, but some choices are more sensible depending on the game you play.

 



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John McNamara wrote full-time for Rotoworld in 2010 and 2011, but he still maintains the pulse of the landscape. He was FSWA’s Golf Writer of the Year in 2008 and 2010.
Email :John McNamara



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