Mike Glasscott

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114th U.S. Open Preview

Tuesday, June 10, 2014


Call to Order

 

Here they are, ranked for your pleasure.

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Adam Scott (A): His best finish was T15 in 2012 at Olympic Club and it is quite surprising that’s he’s only cashed in six of 12 of these in his career. I choose to live in the now with the 2013 Masters champion as he’s been dominating just about everywhere he tees it up. In his last 13 majors, he’s hit the top 25 ELEVEN times. Of those top 25’s, seven have been in the top 10. I’ll take the best ball-striker, for my money, in the world to continue his reign as world No. 1.

 

Rory McIlroy (B): The 2012 champ has shown he already has what it takes to rock it out at this level as he has won both of his majors by EIGHT SHOTS EACH. Sure, he’s just as capable of 65 as he is 80 but I LIKE the fact that he has never seen Pinehurst No. 2. He won’t have any demons or bad memories (see: Augusta) and I would be shocked if he wasn’t contending at the end of the week. He tore up new Congressional. He tore up Kiawah. I’m on board. He’s finished the last two majors in the top 10 as well. #choochoo

 

Phil Mickelson (A): He looks to complete the career grand slam this week at a course where he lost to Payne Stewart in 1999. If premium short game is required this week there aren’t too many in the same category as the man with six seconds at this event. He said many moons ago, before he won a major, that he would win plenty of them. He’s said that he wants to win more than one U.S. Open. The stars should align this week but he’ll have to be ultra-sharp to take down the two dudes above him on this list. He knows this victory cements his place EASILY in the top 10 of “best ever” lists.

 

Bubba Watson (A): The only man who has a chance to win the grand slam THIS year has been torrid this entire season. His second green jacket was his second victory of the season and he also has a pair of T2s and a solo third his last time out at Memorial. Don’t overlook the Memorial performance. Watson had struggled on that track and had a chance to win in the final six holes on Sunday but just missed out on the playoff. I know some styles of courses suit certain guys in certain ways but the absence of rough this week should favor the long-hitting lefty. Don’t forget he’s already learned a painful lesson at Oakmont in 2007 that he can learn from. I’m playing the form card here over the recent U.S. Open results.

 

Jason Day (B): I speak for most gamers when I wonder aloud what an injury-free season for Day would look like. After winning the WGC-Match Play he ran into thumb issues and has only played twice since. But, he’s played 14 majors and made 11 cuts. In six of those he’s finished in the top 10 and that includes three seconds and a third. In three U.S. Opens he’s finished T2, T59 and T2. Last year he entered Merion on a four tournament streak that included only one top 25. #biggamehunter His excellent short game doesn’t hurt this week either.

 

Matt Kuchar (A): Speaking of excellent short game, Kuchar is definitely in that conversation. The quirkier and harder the course, the more Kuchar stands out as he’s sixth in scrambling and seventh in total putting. Check this out: in his last 17 majors he’s made 15 cuts. He has six top 10s and his WORST finish is T28. Read that again. No, go ahead.

 

Jim Furyk (B): With zero victories since his 2010 TOUR Championship, Furyk has frustrated only the pickiest of gamers as he continues to rack up high finishes. He’s 16-of-19 at the U.S. Open with six top fives that includes his 2003 victory at Olympia Fields. This season has proven again that he’s pure class as he’s racked up five top 10s in 12 weekends and hasn’t been cut. Oh, he leads the TOUR in scrambling as well.

 

Sergio Garcia (C): He’ll have good memories of No. 2 as he was T3 here in 2005. The Spaniard is nasty around the greens and can paint fairways and GIR with anyone. His last time out he WD with a knee issue after one round at Wentworth. He tweeted out on 30 May that his doctor said his knee was reacting well to treatment and that he’d be ready to go for this week. The Golf Channel is reporting Tuesday that he’s still in pain. He’d love to get his name off the “best player not to win a major” as he tees it up for the 63rd time in a major. He’s played the weekend in 12 of 14 starts and has eight top 25’s, plus four of those in the top 10.

 

Justin Rose (B): The Golf Gods will note that he assessed himself a one-shot penalty last time out at Memorial that led to his MC. That MC broke a streak of T14, T8, fifth and T4 so I’m not worried about ONE MC. The defending champ from Merion is playing well and will need a big week with the flat stick to join Curtis Strange and the gang as repeat champions.

 

Dustin Johnson (B): Name a major he HASN’T contended in. Go ahead. In 2010 he was one bad decision from winning the PGA at Whistling Straits. Earlier that year he was the 54-hole leader heading into the final round of the U.S. Open at Pebble Beach before he fired 82 to finish T8. He opened with 67 at the 2013 Masters as well and finished T13. He’s been around the block. He’s second in the all-around ranking and has the power to overcome any distance set-up. He’ll win this week because I’m not playing him in the GC game like I did the last two weeks.

 

Jordan Spieth (B): After finishing as the low amateur (T21) at Olympic Club, Spieth MC at Merion last year. His entire focus this season has been improving his play in the big events and it has shown. He was T2 at Augusta and T4 at the players. Throw in a T5 at WGC-Match Play and that’s a tidy hat trick of payments. Spieth is a super short-game player and is wise beyond his years. Remember he hung out with Ben Crenshaw before the Masters? I would think he’s probably picked his brain a few times on this redesign!

 

Jason Dufner (B): Here’s a guy who will push the limits of the fairway necks this week as he said he’ll be loading driver as often as possible. After his display in dissecting Oak Hill, another Ross course, last summer, I can hardly blame him. The 2013 PGA champ has a top five finish in a major in the last four years. His last two U.S. Opens have seen him finish T4 and T4. Temperature goes up, Duf shows up and it’s going to be hot and humid this week in North Carolina!

 

Charl Schwartzel (C): He’s played the weekend at the U.S. Open in four straight and last year began Sunday one shot behind Phil Mickelson’s 54-hole lead. His 78 saw him crash and burn to 14th. He adds that to T16 and T9 for a very steady return in three of the last four years. In seven of eight weekends he’s finished T19 or better including T8 last time out at Memorial.

 

Lee Westwood (A): His record in majors covers just about everything besides the top prize and that will work for fantasy gamers. He has had no less than TWO top 10s (out of four events) in the majors in every year since 2009. Think about that for a second. He has 12 top 10s in his last 20 majors. That includes two seconds and six thirds. He’s 12 of 14 in U.S. Opens and that includes nine top 25s and five top 10s. His three worst finishes are T36, T36 and T33. His worst finish in the last four years is T16. Gamers know that Westwood can struggle with chipping and putting but there is no question he shows up for the greatest test of golf almost every year. Hitting as many fairways and greens that he does minimizes his scrambling deficiencies for me.

 

Graeme McDowell (C): With nine cuts made from 10 events in 2014 on TOUR, McDowell has rewarded investors with five top 10s as his steady play continues. If there is one person in the field that is upset that the fairways have been widened, it’s probably G MAC as he thrives on driving the golf ball. He’s also proved that his excellent short game holds up in these conditions as well evidenced by his 2010 win at Pebble Beach and his T2 at Olympic Club (he really likes the Bay Area) in 2012. His run of T18, WIN, T14 and T2 was busted with a MC last year at Merion.

 

Ernie Els (B): When great U.S. Open players are mentioned, I find it weird that Ernie Els fades to the wayside, at least here in the States. It seems that Mickelson’s six runner-up finishes are more important than Els’ two titles (1994, 1997). It seems that the “Big Easy” is “old” and not as competitive as Mickelson. Els is barely a year older than Mickelson. Weird. Els has played 21 of these and seen the weekend 17 times. He has finished in the top five seven times and the top 10, 10 times. Don’t forget he’s also won two Open Championships so he knows how to work the ball into and around “linksy” courses as well.

 

Hideki Matsuyama (B): He played in three majors last year as a 21-year old and finished T10 at Merion, T6 at Muirfield and T19 at Oak Hill. Those were his first tries at the U.S. Open, Open Championship and PGA Championship. He won two weeks ago on TOUR as he outlasted Bubba Watson and defeated Kevin Na in a playoff at Muirfield Village. The field is lucky this week that this event isn’t being played at a course with “Muirfield” in the name! He’s 23rd in scrambling and 12th in the all-around so I know those results from last year weren’t a fluke. He’s legit.

 

Bill Haas (B): After WD at RBC Heritage, Haas has started ramping up his game up at the right time entering this week. His last four starts have been T44, T26, T21 and his first top 10 since March, T8 with a closing 68, at Memorial his last time out. As I’ve mentioned before, Haas will par courses to death and this week would be an excellent time to execute plenty of pars. His record in majors isn’t where he wants it to be but with Scott Gneiser on the bag, he hopes to get some major help. Gneiser was on the bag for David Toms win in 2001 at the Atlanta Athletic Club.

 

Webb Simpson (B): Another North Carolinian like Haas, Charlotte resident Simpson played himself into contention last week with T3 at FESJC. Simpson, the 2012 champion at Olympic Club, finally broke out of a slump as that was his first top 10 in seven events since February. It’s remarkable that he’s in the top 10 in the all-around (seventh) but only has one top 10 in his last six. Form is temporary, class is permanent and he proved that with his closing 68 to win in 2012.

 

 

 

Just Missed

 

Luke Donald: His weakness has been spraying it off the tee so he’ll be excited to see massive fairways this week and any wayward iron shots won’t bother one of the best short-game players in the world. Donald hasn’t had much U.S. Open success but did find T8 last year at Merion, his first in 10 tries.

 

Henrik Stenson: With his ball-striking prowess, I would have figured he would have been more proficient in the U.S. Open but his majors of choice are the PGA and Open Championship. In his last four U.S. Opens he’s finished ninth, T29, T23, DNP and T21 last year at Merion. That’s a very solid record. His only start in the States in the last six weeks was T34 at THE PLAYERS but he was T5 at Wentworth in late May and fifth last week in a light field at the Nordea Masters in his native Sweden.

 

Ian Poulter: He lit up TPC Southwind last Sunday for a final-round best 64 to jump into the top 10 (T6) for the first time on TOUR since November. Poulter is reputed as having the game for big events but he hasn’t found a top 10 in 10 tries at the U.S. Open. The good news is he’s made seven cuts and loves a proper grind around the greens. He’ll be an excellent complementary piece for weekly players this week based on his form and short game.

 

Billy Horschel: I can’t call the man who finished T4 last year at Merion wearing squid trousers a sleeper this week. Those who read this column know that I have been keeping a close eye on Horschel over the last few weeks as he has started to turn his game around. Yes, he isn’t making very many putts but he’s hitting tons of fairways and even more greens. He was T26 at THE PLAYERS, T15 at Memorial and T6 in Memphis last week. He’s obviously moving in the right direction. He’s third in ball-striking but it’s his short game that is keeping him on this list this week. He’s also fearless which could have some repercussions this week! He’s a great compliment in a weekly lineup as well with a premium player.

 

Jimmy Walker: He will benefit from the widening of the fairways as well as being one of the best putters around. In his first trip to Augusta he finished T8 so I’m not deterred by his lack of experience at Pinehurst. He also is a GIR machine which will come in handy this week. He has three top 10s in five starts since Augusta so he hasn’t looked like cooling off.

 

Stephen Gallacher: He closed 68-66 at Wentworth for T5 and 65-68 to reach a playoff at the Nordea Masters (P2; Jaidee) in his last two starts. Hot golf is hot golf and the Scotsman will know a few things about playing a links-style course.

 

Chris Kirk: This is only his fifth major but I’m more concerned about his current form entering this week. He shot 67 on Sunday at THE PLAYERS to finish T13. He missed a 10-footer on Sunday on No. 18 to finish T14 at Colonial. He opened with 66 and closed with 68 to finish T4 his last time out at Memorial. He’s made 20 cuts on the bounce, is in the top 20 in scrambling and is a solid bunker player.

 

Brendon Todd: With finishes of WIN, T5 and T8 in his last three outings, I’m willing to look past his experienced on this stage as well. He isn’t the biggest hitter but he’s sixth in total putting, eighth in scrambling and 11th in adjusted scoring. He’s a rank outsider based on reputation and lack of experience but he’s a cool, steady customer.

 

Jonas Blixt: Can you name the only player to finish in the top five in the last two majors? Yep. Blixt was fourth at Oak Hill last August and T2 last April at Augusta. He’s played his last NINE majors rounds at par or better. His short game and putter keeps him in the conversation the longer the weekend carries on. Huge risk, massive reward this week for gamers as Blixt has been all-or-nothing since last summer.

 

John Senden: With T30, T10 and T15 in his last three, Senden looks to continue to build on his excellent 2014. He should play great this week because he MC for me as my OAD last week in Memphis. It’s just how the universe works. Anyhow, one MC is his last 10 isn’t going to sour me on the Aussie who has found magic in the flat stick. Hell, he MC last week with 67 on Friday so it’s not time to sleep on him.

 

 

 

Long Shots/Sleepers

 

Bo Van Pelt: He heated up around this time last season and finished T21 at Merion. In 2014, BVP is heading in the proper direction as he racked up T26 at THE PLAYERS, T14 at Colonial and T19 last time out at Memorial. He’s made six of seven cuts at U.S. Opens so his game is suited to this test.

 

Miguel Angel Jimenez: Ah, the great argument of where he should be placed this week. Some folks are high on him. Some folks are higher on him. He’s MC in six of his last eight U.S. Opens, including his last four. His two weekends went for T16 and T6. This sounds like his current run of form in 2014. He was fourth at the Masters and then won his next time out at his home country’s open. He followed that up with getting married and T35 and T70. Last week’s T5 at the Lyoness Open was a perfect tune up. Hale Irwin is the oldest winner at 45. The Mechanic is 50. He won’t lead the line and I’m not overbidding/overpaying for him either. #ageist

 

Retief Goosen: The two-time champion has found a bit of form on TOUR which makes me take a little harder look this week. He also shot a million here in the final round in 2005 with Jason Gore but the easy-going South African has a couple of these under his belt. He’s played six weekends on the bounce on TOUR and was hovering around the lead last week before 75-72 weekend sunk his chances. His experience, temperament and ability to put difficult greens intrigues me this week.

 

Joost Luiten: After winning twice last year on the European Tour the 28-year old Dutchman found himself moving up the OWGR. In 2014 he’s found T13 at WGC-CC, T26 at Augusta after closing with 67, fourth at the Open de Espana, T12 at Wentworth and third last week at the Lyoness.

 

Bernd Wieseberger: He has finished T2 and second in two of his last five starts over the last two months including a playoff loss last week at Lyoness.

 

Scott Langley: Believe it or not, this will be his fourth U.S. Open in the last five years for the 25-year old. He’s made the cut in his first three so that tells me he’s a grinder and his game is suited for such a challenge. He’s 14th on TOUR in scrambling and 47th in strokes-gained putting this season.

  

 

 

Fade

 

Keegan Bradley: He’s 30-OVER in his only four rounds in two U.S. Open appearances. He has one top 25 finish in his last six on TOUR, T8 at a  birdie fiesta in New Orleans. Too many better options to “hope” that he breaks out this week.

 

Hunter Mahan: Another American with Ryder Cup aspirations that are slowly slipping away, Mahan hasn’t fired since he hurt his hip in Orlando in March. He has two rounds in the 60s on the weekend in 2014. They both came in the same tournament, WMPO, in the first week of February. I would be surprised that this would be the week that it all comes together. His best finish in his last seven was T26 at Augusta.

 

Angel Cabrera: Just stop it.

 

Zach Johnson: A month ago I thought this would be a great chance for Johnson to contend for another major championship. But after just one top 25 in his last seven TOUR stops and a U.S. Open record that involves nothing better than T30 in 10 starts (4 MCs), I’m gone.

 

 

 

The Man with His Own Column

 

Brandt Snedeker: He admitted in interviews this week that his 2014 has been very disappointing and I don’t think there are ANY gamers out there who would disagree. Instead of dismissing Snedeker in the FADE column, where he has been the landlord for much of the spring, I find it interesting that he changed putters and brought in Payne Stewart’s old caddy for some help about Pinehurst. Einstein’s definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results so I view this as a step in the right direction. This is the first time in eight years that he’s going with a new putter and Stewart’s old caddy has come in to help with the nuances of No. 2’s greens. I’m not saying this makes Snedeker a contender this week but at least it is SOMETHING for season-long owners. Weekly owners will remind me that he’s never finished worse than 23rd in five U.S. Open weekends out of seven attempts. Remember, he’s had nothing better than T37 since the end of March.

 

 

 

Jordan Spieth of the Week Last Week

 

The column was taken over and thrashed by the kid from Texas last year. Out of respect, I’m not changing the title of it for 2013-14. It will remind me just how good Spieth was in the last three months of the season. This year, we’ll still identify an up-and-coming player and/or rookie that fantasy players should have on their radar.

 

Frys.com: Hideki Matsuyama, T3; Brooks Koepka, T3; Max Homa, T9.

 

SHCO: Ryo Ishikawa is only 22, don’t forget, T2; Chesson Hadley, T5.

 

CIMB: Kiradech Aphibarnrat, 24, might have enough money after this week to earn Special Temporary Membership. Pay attention!

 

WGC-HSBC: Jordan Spieth was 17th. Tommy Fleetwood (T18) is only 22 and plays in Europe. Matsuyama WD with a bad back.

 

McGladrey: Scott Langley turned 24 last April and is in his second season on TOUR. He finished T22 last week and No. 124 last season. #slimpickinngsthisweek

 

OHL Mayakoba: Harris English turned 24 last July. He won.

 

HTOC:  Er, Jordan Spieth, solo second.

 

Sony: Hudson Swafford and Will Wilcox both finished T8. Both played on the Web.com Tour last year and are rookies on TOUR this season.

 

Humana: Patrick Reed won. He’s 23. You need to pay attention.

 

FIO: Ryo Ishikawa, 22, bagged another top 10 finish. That’s his sixth in his last 10 events on TOUR or the Web.com Tour. He’s an alternate this week as of Monday afternoon.

 

WMPO: Hideki Matsuyama is 21. In 11 events the last two years, he’s hit the top 25 in NINE of them, including T4 last week. #ALLRIGHTYTHEN

 

Pebble Beach: Er, Jordan Spieth, T4. Patrick Reed, 23, finished T13 and he’s won twice since August. Golf is good hands, again.

 

Riviera: Harris English won’t be 25 until July. He was T10; Spieth was T12.

 

WGC-Match Play: Victor Dubuisson is 23 and was second. Jordan Spieth was T5. #youthmovement

 

Honda: Russell Henley is now the fourth player on TOUR under 25 with two wins. He joins Patrick Reed, Harris English and Rory McIlroy in this very elite club of pups.

 

WGC-CC: Patrick Reed is 23. He’s now won three times in eight months on TOUR.

 

Puerto Rico Open: Rookie Chesson Hadley, 26, took home his first title on the big boy circuit.

 

Valspar: Chesson Hadley backed up his first win with T14 on a tough, tough Copperhead Course. Scott Langley, a second year player from Illinois (see above) was third.

 

API: The young Japanese lad Ishikawa racked up another top 10 (T8) this week. Yep, he’s still just 22.

 

Valero: He’ll be remembered for all of the wrong reasons but Andrew Loupe, 25, finished T4 in only his eighth start on TOUR. #slowgolfclap

 

Shell Houston: Russell Henley’s T7 shows him heating up before heading back for another crack at Augusta.

 

Masters: That Jordan Spieth guy was T2.

 

RBC Heritage: John Huh, T3, is a TOUR winner but is only 23 years old. Remember?

 

Zurich: The winner was 22-year old Seung-Yul Noh. He fits this column to a T.

 

Wells Fargo: Defending champ Derek Ernst was T30. He’ll turn 24 on May 15.

 

THE PLAYERS: That pesky Spieth was tied for the 54-hole lead and finished T4.

 

HPBNC: T16 was the best the youth could muster with John Huh, who turns 24 on Wednesday.

 

Colonial: Second-year player David Lingmerth poked his head up again with T5 to lead the youngsters. Hideki Matsuyama, who co-led after 54-holes, finished T10.

 

Memorial: Matsuyama must be a quick study. He was the 54-hole leader at Colonial yet finished T10. He took it deep this week with his first victory on TOUR, in a playoff, nonetheless. #impressive

 

FESJC: Brooks Koepka continues to rack up non-Member points and his T19 this week added to that.

 

 

 

Coming Later TUESDAY Afternoon

 

Playing the Tips will be up and running this and every Tuesday afternoon and will list all of the Rotoworld experts picks in the GolfChannel.com game, the Yahoo! Fantasy Golf game and my One-and-Done feature. Look for it around 6 ET every Tuesday for the rest of the season.

 

 

 

Coming Wednesday

 

And the analysis doesn't end here. Rotoworld's Rob Bolton and I will be co-hosting a one-hour live chat Wednesday at NOON p.m. ET. We will be breaking down the field at the U.S. Open and answering your questions. Simply return to the golf home page to join in on the chatter.

 



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Fantasy Golf columnist Mike Glasscott joined Rotoworld in 2012. He can be contacted via email at RotoworldGlass@gmail.com or on Twitter.
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