FanDuel Focus: RBC HeritageWednesday, April 12, 2017
After a month of FanDuel contests, it's becoming clear that the proper place to play your studs will vary from week-to-week.
Instead of looking at stars and scrubs as a whole, this week we will look at individual golfer performance before and after the cut. A lot of gamers want to lump all stars into the same category as "safe, post-cut options" but really we should be treating golfers on an individual basis.
For this experiment, I'm going to look at performance before the cut since the start of last season and compare it to performance after the cut.
I will point out a few examples that look notable to me. The idea is that some golfers are prone to fast starts, but start to fade as the week goes on. That could be due to added pressure or it could be due to typical weekend course setups with pin placements, firmer greens, and what not.
Jason Dufner: Ranks 2nd in the field for PRE-CUT performance but just 25th in POST-CUT performance.
Wesley Bryan: Ranks 21st in the field for PRE-CUT performance but way down at 100th in POST-CUT performance.
Martin Kaymer: Ranks 7th in the field for PRE-CUT performance but just 35th in POST-CUT performance.
Charley Hoffman: Ranks 9th in the field for PRE-CUT performance but just 69th in POST-CUT performance.
We saw Hoffman perfectly exhibit this last week at the Masters when he found himself with the early lead before fading on the weekend.
On the flip side, here are some golfers that really shine on the weekend but don't always fire out of the gates.
Branden Grace: Ranks 3rd in the field for POST-CUT performance but just 86th in PRE-CUT performance.
Morgan Hoffmann: Ranks 87th in the field for POST-CUT performance but just 114thth in PRE-CUT performance.
Graeme McDowell: Ranks 8th in the field for POST-CUT performance but just 102nd in PRE-CUT performance.
Tyrrell Hatton: Ranks 2nd in the field for POST-CUT performance but just 27thth in PRE-CUT performance.
Hoffmann is a risky option in Round 3-4 since he's not always the safest to make the cut. With local ties to Hilton Head, he could really pay off if you take him in the weekend slot and get him at extremely low ownership. His stats seem to show that when his game is on, he doesn't usually falter over the weekend.
5 Golfers to Pay Up For:
Matt Kuchar ($10,000)
Tyrrell Hatton ($8,200)
Kevin Kisner ($8,400)
Jason Dufner ($8,300)
Adam Hadwin ($8,400)
5 Value Plays:
Luke List ($6,600)
Morgan Hoffmann ($5,500)
Jason Kokrak ($5,500)
Cameron Smith ($5,700)
Wesley Bryan ($6,600)