Ryan O'Sullivan

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AT&T Byron Nelson: Power Ranks

Tuesday, May 16, 2017


The AT&T Byron Nelson returns to TPC Four Seasons Resort and Club Dallas at Los Colinas with Sergio Garcia as the defending champion. Here is a preview and power ranking to get you off and running.

 

TPC Four Seasons Resort and Club is a par-70 layout that tips out at 7,166 yards. It features a pair of par 5s, 12 par fours and a quartet of par 3s. The winning number can vary greatly based on weather conditions, but the ability to play par 4s well goes without saying. Both par 5s measure under 550 yards and offer legitimate birdie opportunities that must be converted.

 

This venue has served as the lone host dating back to 2008. Before that, the first two rounds were split across two layouts that included TPC Four Seasons Resort and Club dating back for as far as you’d like to look relative to course history. That means course history from 2008 through 2016 is obviously relevant, but prior to 2008 is also useful.

 

Stats are a little mixed in terms of a player type that is favored, but what is clear is that the putting surfaces are relatively easy to find in regulation. That takes a little bit of the pressure off scrambling. It also could serve to boost the GIR stats for average ball-strikers. That could be, in part, why some surprise winners will pop up from time to time.

 

When in doubt, it’s never a bad idea to play solid wind players when in Texas. That remains relevant this week. Toss in the usual blend of current form and course history, and we have this week’s power ranking.

 

Off we go!

 

1.  Dustin Johnson – Given his course history at TPC Sawgrass, his T12 last week in THE PLAYERS was an excellent result. Other than the risk of catching the raw end of a weather draw, DJ is easily the top pick this week. He’s made all seven cuts, with four top 10s and six top 20s at TPC Four Seasons Resort and Club.

 

2.  Sergio Garcia – Defending champ kind of chopped it up at THE PLAYERS on Sunday, but had a decent week going before that debacle. In three starts at this venue, he’s never finished on the bad side of a top 20.

 

3.  Jason Day – Was a consistent player here from 2010 – 2013, winning in 2010 with a 5-T9-T27 run thereafter. Other than the constant worry regarding his health, there is absolutely no reason to think he won’t be in the running for another top 10 or better.

 

4.  Brooks Koepka – Bomber is trendy in this tournament, going MC-T16-2 in this event. No worse than a T16 in his last six PGA TOUR events. Invest with confidence.

 

5.  Jason Dufner – Noted ball-striker and very solid iron player, Dufner is 6/6 with a win and three top 10s at TPC Four Seasons Resort. It’s almost a given that he will be strong tee-to-green. If he makes some putts, consider him dangerous.

 


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Ryan O’Sullivan joined Rotoworld in 2012. The Clemson grad blogs as The Golf Aficionado and can be found on Twitter @ryangolfblogger.
Email :Ryan O'Sullivan



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