Josh Culp

Playing the Tips

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Expert Picks: OHL Classic

Tuesday, November 7, 2017


Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Yahoo and Golf Channel golf should both return in January. For now, we will look at One-and-Done as well as Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) on Page 1, then head overseas for the Fantasy Race to Dubai on Page 2.


One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

Was well positioned last week with Tony Finau right in the mix on Sunday. His putter just never warmed up, which is a risk you always take with Finau. Onto the OHL Classic...

Let's start with course horses: 

Jason Bohn (5-for-5 with three top 10s)
Russell Knox (5-for-5 including RUNNER-UP and SOLO THIRD in last two)
Kevin Streelman (4-for-4 including a pair of top 5s)
Charles Howell III (7-for-8 including six top 20s)
Jason Kokrak (T15-T17-T16)
John Huh (4-for-5 including WIN)
Gary Woodland (T28-RUNNER-UP)
Brice Garnett (MC-6-7)
Brian Gay (7-for-7 including 2008 WIN)
Graeme McDowell (T63-WIN-T24)


After that, let's look at a (weighted) baseline performance metric since the start of 2014.   

 

Rickie Fowler
Patrick Reed
Zach Johnson
Pat Perez
Charley Hoffman
Gary Woodland
Ryan Moore
Austin Cook
Kevin Chappell
Chez Reavie


Looking at both lists, there is just one name that appears twice: Gary Woodland


If we expand the lists to TOP 15 then suddenly we also see Russell Knox, Pat Perez, and Charles Howell III appear as nice options. 

I'm going to stick with the initial top-10 lists, and use Gary Woodland this week. 


Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

I would also advise you to change a roster spot or two if you are trying to enter this lineup yourself. Duplicate entries are no fun. 


FanDuel Picks:


Bryson DeChambeau ($7,200): 
He's been a stud from tee-to-green this season. In two events he's gained 7.4 strokes off-the-tee and another 9.9 strokes approaching-the-green. 


Gary Woodland
($9,000): 
Has unfinished business here after finishing runner-up to Pat Perez last year.  

Ryan Moore ($9,000): 
The UNLV product struggled with his putter to end last season but he found it at the Safeway and Shriners. His game is all coming together and he's a proven winner. 

Anirban Lahiri ($7,100):
 He's posted a better birdie-or-better rate compared to the field in each of his last four starts. A very good scorer with a track record of playing well on paspalum greens (TPC Kuala Lumpur). 

Abraham Ancer ($4,500): 
Only Andrew Landtry gained more strokes versus the field on the Web.com Tour last year. Ancer did it without finding the winner's circle, which says a lot about his consistency. The dual citizen of US and Mexico also finish signed rounds of 65-68 to sit inside the top 5 here last year at the midpoint. A little course success could be all it takes to finally help Ancer break out. 

Kevin Streelman ($7,000):  His putter went cold at the Shriners which means we get a huge discount in salary this week. Saying his putter went cold is an understatement actually, as he finished dead last in that category, losing nearly 9 strokes to the field putting. Should be able to rebound on a familiar venue. 

Pick a few of your favorites to round out this team. Some on my radar include Charles Howell III, Luke List, Byeong Hun An, Austin Cook, Patrick Rodgers, Rickie Fowler, and Pat Perez



DraftKings Picks:
 

Charles Howell III ($8,900): Six top 20s in eight starts at the OHL Classic. This is the time of year where CH3 makes a lot of coin. 


Byeong Hun An
 ($8,900):
Has played himself inside the top 10 thru 54 holes in each of his last two starts. An may get overlooked at this price point, but his form is rounding into shape. 

Ryan Moore ($8,600): 
Has a pair of wins on paspalum greens (CIMB Classic). His strokes gained metrics are all converging which could provide some fireworks soon. 

Nate Lashley ($7,000):
 He was the 2016 Player of the Year on the PGA TOUR Latinoamerica circuit. One of his three wins that year came in Mexico. He gained the 6th-most strokes on the Web.com Tour this season. He's yet to find his footing on the PGA TOUR, but a trip south of the border could be just what it takes. 

Abraham Ancer ($7,100): 
Grew up in Mexico until he was a teenager, so this event would mean a lot for him to win. I'm not banking on a win, but I could definitely see him finding a top 25. 

Gary Woodland ($9,400):  If you read the One-and-Done section above, you'll see that Woodland is the only golfer that found the top 10 in both course history and long-term performance. 

 


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Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.
Email :Josh Culp



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