Josh Culp

Playing the Tips

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Expert Picks: RSM Classic

Tuesday, November 14, 2017


Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Yahoo and Golf Channel golf should both return in January. For now, we will look at One-and-Done as well as Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) on Page 1, then head overseas for the Fantasy Race to Dubai on Page 2.


One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

Didn't get much out of Gary Woodland last week but we have one more chance to capitalize before the holiday break...

Let's start with course horses: 

Webb Simpson (5-for-5 including RUNNER-UP and T7)
Kevin Kisner (4-for-6 including WIN and T4)
Bill Haas (4-for-4 including RUNNER-UP and T13)
Charles Howell III (7-for-7 with three top 10s)
Jamie Lovemark (T9-T6)
Chris Kirk (5-for-7 with a WIN and three other top 20s)
Brendon de Jonge (6-for-7 including four top 15s)
Robert Streb (WIN-T25-T57)
Michael Thompson (4-for-5 including three top 15s)
Chad Campbell (6-for-7 including three top 15s)


After that, let's look at a (weighted) baseline performance metric since the start of 2014.   

 

Matt Kuchar
Brandt Snedeker
Bubba Watson
Zach Johnson
Bill Haas
Webb Simpson
Kevin Kisner
Charles Howell III
Russell Knox
Brian Harman


Looking at both lists, we have quite a bit of overlap: Webb Simpson, Kevin Kisner, Bill Haas, and Charles Howell III.


That is four good options, so how can we narrow it down? Looking ahead of the 2018 schedule, there are at least five good options to use each of CH3 or Haas so I will pass on them. For Kisner, there are two other spots I'd target him: Colonial (WIN, T5, T10) or Memorial (T6, T8). For Simpson, I have him pegged as a top option for the Wyndham (WIN, 3rd, T5, T6, T8, T11) and a decent option for Phoenix (RUNNER-UP, T8, T8, 10th). 

While it's tempting to take Kisner, I just don't know where his game is at, since he hasn't pegged it since the Presidents Cup. It will be sad to not have him when the Wyndham rolls around, but I'm going to try and strike while the iron is hot and take Webb Simpson

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

I would also advise you to change a roster spot or two if you are trying to enter this lineup yourself. Duplicate entries are no fun. 


FanDuel Picks:


Graeme McDowell ($7,900):
Posting six straight cuts made worldwide, G-Mac is not the worst option here in the $7K range. He's known to play his best golf on coastal courses and that was true last time he pegged it here, finishing solo third just two years ago. 


Luke Donald ($6,200): 
Has earned a paycheck in his last five starts worldwide. I'm going to take a chance on a pair of shorter layouts this week where his lack of distance won't hurt him too much.

Russell Knox ($7,500): 
A little risky based on his 2017 results but he popped last week and could be back on his way up. I will take a chance as we head back to another venue that should fit his eye.

J.T. Poston ($6,500):
 A Sea Island resident, Poston should feel very comfortable this week. Arriving with back-to-back top 15s, as well. 

Ollie Schniederjans ($8,500): 
A pre-tournament WD, that may help him fly under the radar this week. Finished top 10 here last year and also has podium finishes at the Wyndham and Heritage, two other events that correlate well with success here.

Chris Kirk ($5,800):  A past champ at this event, this pick saves us a load of salary.

Pick a few of your favorites to round out this team. Some on my radar include Webb Simpson, Bill Haas, Kevin Kisner, Charles Howell III, Scott Brown, Kevin Streelman, Patton Kizzire, J.J. Spaun.



DraftKings Picks:
 

Charles Howell III ($9,500): Three straight top 20s as we continue in the part of the season where CH3 makes a living. From October to March we can pretty much chalk up a top 30 out of Chucky Three Sticks. 


J.T. Poston ($7,200):
See FanDuel team above. He's a local resident and arriving in good form. 

Austin Cook ($7,300): 
Is 3-for-3 to kick off his rookie campaign. In 11 ShotLink-lasered starts, he's gained 4+ strokes putting in four of them. He keeps it between the pipes and can lap the field in the short-game department. Should be a good fit for Sea Island. 

Bill Haas ($9,300):
 Looking at the One-and-Done section above, Haas is the cheapest of the four standouts. 

Henrik Norlander ($7,200): 
The Augusta resident played his way into a playoff here last year. His career has been full of above-average (yet mediocre) finishes. He actually provides good value in terms of making the cut but his pedigree suggests he has the skills to win on TOUR.  

Webb Simpson ($9,800):  My One-and-Done pick this week, I want to ride the hot hand and use Simpson as my anchor here. 

 


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Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.
Email :Josh Culp



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