Mo Yoshimoto

The Takeaway

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Bradley wins BMW in extra time

Tuesday, September 11, 2018


BMW Championship

Newton Square, PA

 

 

Playing out of the penultimate threesome, World No. 66 Keegan Bradley erased a three-shot deficit with a day-tying-low, 6-under-par 31-33=64 in Monday’s weather-delayed final round at Aronimink Golf Club to post 20-under 260, matched one group later by 54-hole leader Justin Rose (67), and then defeated him with a par on the first hole of sudden death, the par-4 18th.

 

One swing short of the playoff in a two-way T3 were past BMW winner and 2014 FedExCup champ Billy Horschel (64), along with 36-hole leader Xander Schauffele (67), while past BMW champ and 2016 FEC champion Rory McIlroy (68) came solo 5th, two adrift.

 

 

Bradley, a pre-tourney 125/1 outright, bags his fourth PGA TOUR title in 209 events, all four in come-from-behind fashion, and his first since the 2012 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational 6 years, 1 month and 161 starts ago, where he came from four back, also with a 6-under 64, to win by one.

 

The 32-year-old records his seventh top 25 of the season in 26 events, first since solo 4th at the RBC Canadian Open four starts ago, and his fifth top 10. He’s been in the top 10 20 times this season after any round but this was his first lead/co-lead.

 

 


 

 

Final Leaderboard (pre-tourney odds outright):

 

 

P1- (-20, 260) Keegan Bradley (125/1)

P2- (-20, 260) Justin Rose (12/1)

T3- (-19, 261) Billy Horschel (55/1)

T3- (-19, 261) Xander Schauffele (70/1)

5 - (-18, 262) Rory McIlroy (14/1)

 

 

Rose, vying for his 10th TOUR title and third of the season, comes second for a second straight week (Dell Tech) and for a second straight BMW after T2 last year at Conway Farms. He bogeyed 18 in regulation to fall into a tie, and then bogeyed it again in extra time, missing a par-saver from 4’7”. Consolation: Since the Official World Golf Ranking began in 1986, the Englishman becomes the 22nd player to ascend to World No. 1.

 

Going for his third straight win to open the Playoffs, FEC leader Bryson DeChambeau finished T19 on 12-under 268 (67-70-64-67) and remains No. 1 in the standings heading to the Playoffs finale in two weeks.

 

 


 

 

With FEC points quadrupled, Bradley banks 2,000 points and vaults from 52nd in the standings to 6th and earns a fourth trip to the TOUR Championship, first since finishing T12 in 2013.

 

 

Top 5 in FEC Standings (points):

 

 

1. Bryson DeChambeau (5,789)

2. Justin Rose (4,391)

3. Tony Finau (3,479)

4. Dustin Johnson (3,425)

5. Justin Thomas (3,327)

 

 

Dropped out of Top 5 in FEC:


 

NONE

 

 

Note: The last five FEC champions were no worse than 6th in the standings entering the TOUR Championship. Bradley is 6th with 2,979 points.


 

Repeat Top 5ers in FEC from last year: DJ (3-seed last year) and reigning FEC champ Thomas, who was the 2-seed.

 

 


 

 

Jordan Spieth, the 2015 FEC champ, was the 1-seed this time last year. He’s been eliminated after a T55 on 3-under 277 (67-71-66-73), dropping from 27th to 31st in the standings. The 24-year-old went winless this season for the first time since 2014 and fails to qualify for the TOUR Championship for the first time since joining the TOUR in 2013.

 

 

 

FEC Playoffs Implications:

 

 

IN (2):

 

Keegan Bradley (P1); from 52 to 6

Xander Schauffele (T3); from 41 to 18

 

 

OUT (2):

 

Jordan Spieth (T55); from 27 to 31

Emiliano Grillo (T61); from 29 to 32

 

 


 

 

Spotlight: With finishes of 2nd (NORTHERN TRUST), T4 (Dell Tech), and T8 (BMW), Tony Finau is the only player to record top-10 finishes in each of the first three Playoffs events. Shortly after his T8 on 16-under 264 (68-64-67-65), he was rewarded with the fourth (and final) captain’s pick for Team USA in the Ryder Cup at the end of the month. The 28-year-old is now tied (with DJ) for the season lead in top-10 finishes with 11 in 27 events.

 

 


 

 

Bradley beat the 10th-strongest field of the season (717) and leaps 35 places to 31st in OWGR. His career high is 10th after the 2013 WGC-BI.

 

The victory comes in his seventh BMW, is a third top 25 and first top 10, bettering a T16 on debut in 2011 (Cog Hill G&CC).

 

Overall, it was the Vermont native’s 25th FEC Playoffs event, ninth top 25 and first top 10, brushing aside a previous-best T11 at the 2011 TOUR Championship.

 

 

Playoffs Form: P1-49-34*

 

*Note: Bradley was solo 2nd, four back, thru 54 holes at The NT and shot 7-over 78 out of the final twosome with leader and eventual champ DeChambeau.

 

 


 

 

Bradley’s Career:

 

 

Starts: 209

Cuts Made: 161

WDs: 1

 

Top 25s: 86

Top 10s: 37

Top 3s: 11

Wins: 4

 

 

 

Wins by Season:

 

 

2018: 1

2017: 0

2016: 0

2015: 0

2014: 0

2013: 0

2012: 1

2011: 2 (rookie season)

 

 

*Note: Bradley has now won a major (2011 PGA), a WGC (2012 Bridgestone), and a FEC Playoffs event

 

 


 

 

After opening with 66-64-66, the Jupiter, Florida, resident began in solo 6th, three back. With preferred lies in effect, he hit 11 (of 14) fairways and 12 greens in regulation, gaining 0.771 strokes off-the-tee and 0.892 on approach.

 

Bradley exchanged birdie-3 at hole 1 with bogey-5 at 4 (missed par-saver from 4’1”), in between missing birdie from 9’1” at 2 and saving par at 3 from 12’0”. He rounded out a first-half 4-under 31 with circles at 5, 6, 8 and 9, three of those from between 16 and 33 feet.

 

Bradley ticked his sixth birdie of the round at 14 (16’7”) and added two more at 16 and 17 before a nervy, all-over-the-map 5 at 18, missing a par-saver from 8’8”. He posted a tidy 1.417 putts per GIR and 3.182 SG: Putting with 25 total putts.

 

Rose, needing par at the par-4 last for the win, came up woefully short with his second (from the fairway). He failed to get up and down from 36 yards, lipping out a par-saver from 15’6”, and then, back at 18 for the playoff, duck-hooked his drive. His eventual failed scramble included his first missed putt from inside of 5 feet all week (was 48-for-48).

 

 

For the week, Bradley tallied 28 birdies versus 8 bogeys and ranked No. 1 in Total Birdies, SG: Putting, putts per GIR and Total Putts. See his strokes gained stats below and his full stats at the bottom.

 

 


 

 

Leaders in Strokes Gained Stats:

 

 

SG: Off-the-Tee

 

1. Rory McIlroy (5.200)

2. Tony Finau (4.814)

3. Dustin Johnson (3.774)

4. Patrick Cantlay (3.119)

5. Bryson DeChambeau (3.117)

 

22. Keegan Bradley (0.935)

 

 

SG: Approach-the-Green

 

1. Rory McIlroy (5.688)

2. Tiger Woods (5.490)

3. Billy Horschel (5.324)

4. Xander Schauffele (4.670)

5. Hideki Matsuyama (4.069)

 

11. Keegan Bradley (2.840)

 

 

SG: Around-the-Green

 

1. Justin Thomas (5.314)

2. Justin Rose (4.864)

3. Francesco Molinari (2.766)

4. Adam Hadwin (2.752)

5. Webb Simpson (2.745)

 

26. Keegan Bradley (0.600)

 

 

SG: Putting

 

1. Keegan Bradley (7.158)

2. Xander Schauffele (6.338)

3. Rickie Fowler (6.068)

4. Rafa Cabrera Bello (6.003)

5. Webb Simpson (5.841)

 

 

SG: Tee-to-Green

 

1. Rory McIlroy (9.560)

2. Tiger Woods (7.892)

3. Dustin Johnson (7.652)

4. Francesco Molinari (7.212)

5. Justin Rose (6.560)

 

10. Keegan Bradley (4.376)

 

 


 

 

Bradley’s Season:

 

 

Starts: 26  

Cuts Made: 22

 

Top 25s: 7

Top 10s: 5

Top 5s: 4

Wins: 1

 

 

Four of Bradley’s five top 10s have gone for top 5s, including a previous-best 2nd at the CIMB Classic back in October. Since finishing 79th (last) at The Open at Carnoustie on 11-over 295 (74-71-73-77), he’s now put 15 of his last 20 rounds in the red, including five rounds of 64 or better.

 

Season Form: P1-49-34-42-4-79

 

 

25

 

 

25 (of 46 non-team) winners this season had a top-25 finish the start prior (54.3%):

Bradley? No: T49 (Dell Tech)

 

 

15

 

 

15 (of 46 non-team) winners this season had a top-10 finish the start prior (32.6%):

Bradley? No: T49 (Dell Tech)

 

 

Bradley is the 36th straight winner this season with either 0 or 1 week off prior to their wins. In total, 42 (of 46) non-team event winners fall into this category. #NoLongLayoffsPlease

 

 


 

 

Field Scoring Average:

 

 

This was the 12th playing of the BMW in the FEC era, 1st at Aronimink GC:

 

 

Scorecard Yardage: 7,267

Par: 70 (35-35)

 

 

Cumulative scoring averages:

 

 

R1: 68.13*

R2: 67.33*

R3: 67.16* (preferred lies)

R4: 68.91 (preferred lies)

 

Total: 67.88*

 

 

Bradley: 66-64-66-64 for 11.535 SG: Total

 

 

*Note: Rounds 1, 2, 3 and Total were the lowest average scores of the season

 

 

 

Bradley’s Position by Round:

 

 

R1: T12 (4 back)

R2: T3 (3 back)

R3: 6th (3 back)

R4: T1

 

 

 

Leader/co-leaders by Round:

 

 

R1: Tiger Woods (finished T6): 14-for-29 as 18-hole leader/co-leader

R1: Rory McIlroy (5th): 3-for-11

 

R2: Xander Schauffele (finished T3): 0-for-1 as 36-hole leader/co-leader

 

R3: Justin Rose (finished P2): 4-for-15 as 54-hole leader/co-leader

 

R4: Keegan Bradley (P1): Improves to 3-1 in playoffs

R4: Justin Rose (P2): Drops to 1-3

 

 

FUN FACT: Bradley is the first come-from-behind winner at the BMW since Zach Johnson in 2013.

 

FUN FACT: Rose has now led/co-led seven times this season after any round, which is T3 (with Webb Simpson and Beau Hossler), trailing leader Dustin Johnson (15), and Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas (8).

 

 


 

 

Draw:

 

 

No draw

 

 

34

 

 

34 tourneys this season had a traditional draw:

 

 

Winners:

 

 

EARLY/late: 18 (52.9%)

 

LATE/early: 16

 

 

 

Low Rounds:

 

 

R1: 62: Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy

 

R2: 63: Kevin Na, Tommy Fleetwood*

 

R3: 63: Tommy Fleetwood

 

R4: 64: Keegan Bradley**, Billy Horschel, Tyrrell Hatton

 

 

*career low

**first low R4 score by a winner since Francesco Molinari at the 2018 Quicken Loans National

 

 

 

Bogey-free Rounds:

 

 

R1: (4): Rickie Fowler (65); Brian Gay (66); Henrik Stenson (66); Paul Casey (69)

 

R2: (13): Kevin Na (62); Tommy Fleetwood (62); Justin Rose (63); Charles Howell III (63); Francesco Molinari (63); Jason Day (64); Ted Potter, Jr. (64); Patrick Cantlay (65); Bubba Watson (65); Alex Noren (66); Marc Leishman (66); Ryan Armour (67); Beau Hossler (67)

 

R3*: (16): Tommy Fleetwood (62); Adam Hadwin (63); Austin Cook (63); Justin Rose (64); Francesco Molinari (64); Patrick Reed (64); Dustin Johnson (64); Scott Piercy (65); Brooks Koepka (65); Justin Thomas (66); Tiger Woods (66); Si Woo Kim (66); Henrik Stenson (67); Keith Mitchell (67); Brice Garnett (67); Charles Howell III (70_all pars)

 

R4*: (8): Tyrrell Hatton (64); Webb Simpson (65); Tony Finau (65); Bubba Watson (66); Rafa Cabrera Bello (66); Francesco Molinari (67); Rory McIlroy (68); Brian Gay (69)

 

 

*R3 and R4: preferred lies

 

 

Multiple Bogey-free Rounds:

 

 

Molinari (x3); played his final 55 holes blemish-free

Rose, Fleetwood, Howell III, Stenson, Gay (x2)

 

 


 

 

Odds Favorite(s) Outright:

 

 

Dating to the beginning of the 2016-17 season (140 events), the pre-tourney fave/co-fave has won 10 times.

 

 

This Season:

 

 

46 (non-team) tournaments

4 pre-tourney fave/co-faves won:

 

 

Dustin Johnson: 11/2 (Canadian Open)

Dustin Johnson: 6/1 (St. Jude)

 

Jon Rahm: 8/1 (CareerBuilder)

Justin Thomas: 15/2 (CJ CUP)

 

 

 

Dustin Johnson: the pre-tourney 8/1 fave outright – for a second straight week – finished T24 on 11-under 269 (70-68-64-67), nine adrift.

 

The regular-season FEC champ drops two spots to No. 4 in the FEC standings and loses the OWGR No. 1 ranking for the second time this season, now 0.0505 average points behind Rose and just 0.0039 ahead of No. 3 Brooks Koepka, who finished T19 on 12-under 268 (69-68-65-66).

 

 


 

 

Updated Top 10 in FEC standings (points):

 

 

1. Bryson DeChambeau (5,789)

2. Justin Rose (4,391); UP one

3. Tony Finau (3,479); UP one

4. Dustin Johnson (3,425); DOWN two

5. Justin Thomas (3,327)

6. Keegan Bradley (2,979); UP 46

7. Brooks Koepka (2,723); DOWN one

8. Bubba Watson (2,481); DOWN one

9. Billy Horschel (2,260); UP six

10. Cameron Smith (2,247); DOWN two

 

 


 

 

2017-18 Tournament Winners:

 

 

46

 

 

Through 46 non-team events this season:

 

 

17 winners were in their 20s

24 were in their 30s (Bradley: age 32)

5 were in their 40s

 

 


 

 

Bradley’s Weekly Stats (ranking of 68 players):

 

 

Birdies: 28 (1st)

Bogeys: 8 (T42)

 

Par-3 Scoring: 2.81 (T5)

Par-4 Scoring: 3.77 (T4)

Par-5 Scoring: 4.25 (T6)

 

 

Driving Distance (all drives): 288.0 yards (36th)

Driving Accuracy: 42/56 (T17) at 75.00%

GIR: 54/72 (T50) at 75.00%

Proximity to Hole: 31’9” (T20)

Putts per GIR: 1.537 (1st)

Total Putts: 109 (1st)

Putts by Round: 29-26-29-25

Scrambling: 10/18 (T50) at 55.56%

All Around: 9th      

 

 



You can find Mo on Twitter @Bears3423.
Email :Mo Yoshimoto



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