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Course History Guide Part 2

Thursday, December 27, 2018


I kicked this guide off yesterday with course history for the Winter schedule. 

It was loaded with Charles Howell III mentions but as the Spring rolls around, we see a different crop of golfers pop up. 

This is when all the big names gear up for major championship season. 

As I pointed out in PART 1, these lists will look at the most strokes gained at each course/event over the last 10 years. The numbers are adjusted to the strength of field which explains why the SG:Total number will differ from the raw totals if you are comparing to the PGA TOUR stat leaderboards. 

Now let's look at the Spring Schedule ...

Valspar Championship
Course: Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort

Most Strokes Gained at Copperhead since 2009: 


Jim Furyk: 80 strokes gained
Jason Dufner: 72 strokes gained
Matt Kuchar: 65 strokes gained
Luke Donald: 62 strokes gained
Charles Howell III: 58 strokes gained
Webb Simpson: 54 strokes gained
Nick Watney: 52 strokes gained
Kevin Na: 48 strokes gained
Justin Rose: 48 strokes gained
Sergio Garcia: 45 strokes gained
Patrick Reed: 45 strokes gained
Jordan Spieth: 44 strokes gained
Steve Stricker: 42 strokes gained
Justin Leonard: 42 strokes gained
Bill Haas: 39 strokes gained
Kevin Streelman: 39 strokes gained
Gary Woodland: 38 strokes gained
Henrik Stenson: 38 strokes gained
Retief Goosen: 36 strokes gained
Graham DeLaet: 36 strokes gained
Robert Garrigus: 33 strokes gained



One-and-Done: Talk about plodder city. It's clear that distance takes a backseat to precision and short game here at Innisbrook. A good spot to pick a semi-star that doesn't rely on power. 





WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play
Course: Austin Country Club

One-and-Done: With the field being populated by World Ranking, this is a good time to pick a top-tier Euro Tour talent that doesn't play a heavy PGA TOUR schedule. Last year it was Alex Noren that stood out, and it almost paid off big. 





Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship

Course: Puntacana Resort & Club

Most Strokes Gained at Corales since 2016: 


Seamus Power: 19 strokes gained
Nate Lashley: 18 strokes gained
Sam Ryder: 18 strokes gained
Brice Garnett: 17 strokes gained
Joel Dahmen: 17 strokes gained
Jimmy Gunn: 16 strokes gained
Dominic Bozzelli: 16 strokes gained
Trey Mullinax: 15 strokes gained
Adam Schenk: 15 strokes gained
Eric Axley: 15 strokes gained
Jin Park: 14 strokes gained
Kevin Tway: 14 strokes gained
Blake Adams: 13 strokes gained
Matt Atkins: 12 strokes gained
John Merrick: 12 strokes gained
Jeff Gove: 11 strokes gained
Josh Teater: 11 strokes gained
Kelly Kraft: 11 strokes gained
Augusto Nunez: 11 strokes gained
Abraham Ancer: 11 strokes gained



One-and-Done: This was a Web.com Tour event for two years before it got the promotion last year. I've included those two extra tournaments into the data but overall this is still a small sample we are working with. As an alternate-field event, it will be a good spot to ride the hot hand or go with one of these names above that have good experience on the coastal layout. Based on his trending play at the moment I would circle Sam Ryder for this event but who knows where his form will be, come late March. 





Valero Texas Open
Course: AT&T Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio

Most Strokes Gained at TPC San Antonio since 2010: 


Charley Hoffman: 85 strokes gained
Aaron Baddeley: 58 strokes gained
Ryan Palmer: 58 strokes gained
Jimmy Walker: 57 strokes gained
Brendan Steele: 54 strokes gained
Kevin Chappell: 52 strokes gained
Matt Kuchar: 52 strokes gained
Martin Laird: 50 strokes gained
Freddie Jacobson: 50 strokes gained
Daniel Summerhays: 50 strokes gained
Zach Johnson: 39 strokes gained
Kevin Streelman: 38 strokes gained
Chris Kirk: 38 strokes gained
Billy Horschel: 37 strokes gained
Pat Perez: 36 strokes gained
Ryan Moore: 36 strokes gained
Jim Furyk: 35 strokes gained
Jordan Spieth: 32 strokes gained
Brandt Snedeker: 30 strokes gained
Cameron Tringale: 29 strokes gained



One-and-Done: This event moved to TPC San Antonio in 2010 so that is the cutoff for this list (last 9 years instead of 10). We see total dominance out of Hoffman here who has finished T13 or better in seven of his nine appearances at TPC San Antonio. Even before the move to TPC San Antonio he had finished of T8-T11-T70-T9. There is something about this time of year or this region that suits him well. 





Masters Tournament
Course: Augusta National Golf Club

Most Strokes Gained at Augusta National since 2009: 


Justin Rose: 111 strokes gained
Lee Westwood: 100 strokes gained
Rory Mcilroy: 94 strokes gained
Adam Scott: 93 strokes gained
Phil Mickelson: 92 strokes gained
Matt Kuchar: 90 strokes gained
Jordan Spieth: 89 strokes gained
Jason Day: 78 strokes gained
Tiger Woods: 78 strokes gained
Rickie Fowler: 72 strokes gained
Bubba Watson: 71 strokes gained
Fred Couples: 63 strokes gained
Angel Cabrera: 63 strokes gained
Ian Poulter: 63 strokes gained
Dustin Johnson: 61 strokes gained
Paul Casey: 60 strokes gained
Hideki Matsuyama: 59 strokes gained
Steve Stricker: 57 strokes gained
Sergio Garcia: 56 strokes gained
Bill Haas: 55 strokes gained



One-and-Done: Plenty of course history to lean on here. If you time-weight the results then you'll see names like Spieth, Fowler, and Hideki rise toward the top while names like Westwood, Couples, Angel, and Stricker start to fall off the radar. For one-and-done purposes, I don't see any reason to not pluck your pick from this list. Spieth has been extremely popular here over the last two years but will that change after his sub-par season in 2018? 






RBC Heritage
Course: Harbour Town Golf Links

Most Strokes Gained at Harbour Town since 2009: 


Luke Donald: 109 strokes gained
Matt Kuchar: 85 strokes gained
Jim Furyk: 65 strokes gained
Webb Simpson: 58 strokes gained
Russell Knox: 53 strokes gained
Rory Sabbatini: 50 strokes gained
Jason Dufner: 45 strokes gained
Kevin Kisner: 43 strokes gained
Brandt Snedeker: 42 strokes gained
Jerry Kelly: 41 strokes gained
Branden Grace: 41 strokes gained
Ricky Barnes: 41 strokes gained
Brian Gay: 40 strokes gained
Graeme Mcdowell: 40 strokes gained
Boo Weekley: 39 strokes gained
Ian Poulter: 38 strokes gained
Kevin Na: 38 strokes gained
Bill Haas: 38 strokes gained
Charley Hoffman: 38 strokes gained
Kevin Streelman: 38 strokes gained



One-and-Done: Just like Charley Hoffman dominated at TPC San Antonio, it's the Luke Donald Show at Harbour Town. He's known for his inability to close to door here on Hilton Head Island. He has SEVEN podium finishes in 13 starts at the RBC Heritage but ZERO wins. If he shows ANY sign of form in the early winter or spring, then you've got to take him here in One-and-Done leagues. Otherwise, look for a similar skill set of short knockers with elite short games and/or elite wedge play. 






Zurich Classic of New Orleans
Course: TPC Louisiana

One-and-Done:
 As a team event, many One-and-Done leagues will skip this tournament. If you do pick here then look for teams that like playing in the South. Last year it was Billy Horschel (Florida Gator) with Scott Piercy winning. The year before it was Cam Smith and Jonas Blixt who united in the first place by practicing together down in Florida. Of course, there is also the superteam of Kevin Kisner and Scott Brown who are both known to love bermudagrass greens. 




Wells Fargo Championship

Course: Quail Hollow Club

Most Strokes Gained at Quail Hollow since 2010: 


Rory Mcilroy: 113 strokes gained
Phil Mickelson: 106 strokes gained
Rickie Fowler: 82 strokes gained
Webb Simpson: 63 strokes gained
Lucas Glover: 63 strokes gained
Ryan Moore: 57 strokes gained
Patrick Reed: 54 strokes gained
Jason Day: 49 strokes gained
J.B. Holmes: 47 strokes gained
Jim Furyk: 45 strokes gained
Robert Streb: 44 strokes gained
Hideki Matsuyama: 44 strokes gained
Nick Watney: 42 strokes gained
Justin Thomas: 42 strokes gained
Sean O'Hair: 41 strokes gained
Brendon de Jonge: 39 strokes gained
Geoff Ogilvy: 39 strokes gained
Francesco Molinari: 38 strokes gained
Zach Johnson: 38 strokes gained
Hunter Mahan: 37 strokes gained



One-and-Done: There are three obvious names at the top that have feasted here over the years. It comes down to when you want to see big names like Rory or Rickie. If you want them for bigger purses then OAD options include Lefty or any of these mid-range options that love playing in the South on bermuda greens. 






AT&T Byron Nelson
Course: Trinity Forest Golf Club

Most Strokes Gained at the Trinity since 2017: 


Aaron Wise: 19 strokes gained
Marc Leishman: 16 strokes gained
Branden Grace: 15 strokes gained
Keith Mitchell: 15 strokes gained
J.J. Spaun: 15 strokes gained
Ryan Blaum: 12 strokes gained
Kevin Na: 12 strokes gained
Jimmy Walker: 12 strokes gained
Adam Scott: 11 strokes gained
Charles Howell III: 11 strokes gained
Kevin Tway: 11 strokes gained
Brian Gay: 10 strokes gained
Ethan Tracy: 9 strokes gained
Rory Sabbatini: 9 strokes gained
Matt Jones: 9 strokes gained
Hideki Matsuyama: 8 strokes gained
Bronson Burgoon: 8 strokes gained
Joel Dahmen: 8 strokes gained
Derek Fathauer: 8 strokes gained
Russell Knox: 8 strokes gained



One-and-Done: Just one year of data on this course. As an American links layout, this is a unique TOUR stop. That should give this list a little weight but don't get too caught up in "course history" when it's only one year. 






PGA Championship
Course: Bethpage Black

Most Strokes Gained at Bethpage since 2009: 


Ryan Moore: 32 strokes gained
Phil Mickelson: 31 strokes gained
Bubba Watson: 29 strokes gained
Sean O'Hair: 27 strokes gained
Ricky Barnes: 27 strokes gained
Dustin Johnson: 26 strokes gained
Rory Mcilroy: 26 strokes gained
Sergio Garcia: 23 strokes gained
Jason Day: 23 strokes gained
J.B. Holmes: 22 strokes gained
Adam Scott: 22 strokes gained
Rickie Fowler: 22 strokes gained
Louis Oosthuizen: 22 strokes gained
Brian Harman: 21 strokes gained
Brandt Snedeker: 20 strokes gained
Lee Westwood: 19 strokes gained
Ryan Palmer: 19 strokes gained
Tiger Woods: 18 strokes gained
Lucas Glover: 18 strokes gained
Patrick Reed: 17 strokes gained



One-and-Done: This data includes three events, the 2009 US Open, the 2012 Barclays and 2016 Barclays. Ryan Moore finished Top 25 in all three of those events including top 10 in two of them. Mickelson always loves the New York crowds, so he's definitely in play, as well. We see a short hitter like Moore at #1 but big-hitting Bubba Watson at #3. That's the sign of a good course as it doesn't require one skillset off the tee to contend. 






Charles Schwab Challenge
Course: Colonial Country Club

Most Strokes Gained at Colonial CC since 2009: 


Zach Johnson: 79 strokes gained
Jordan Spieth: 78 strokes gained
Chris Kirk: 64 strokes gained
Matt Kuchar: 62 strokes gained
Kevin Na: 57 strokes gained
Charley Hoffman: 50 strokes gained
Danny Lee: 49 strokes gained
Harris English: 48 strokes gained
Steve Stricker: 48 strokes gained
Bill Haas: 47 strokes gained
Kevin Kisner: 46 strokes gained
Ryan Palmer: 45 strokes gained
Chris Stroud: 43 strokes gained
Brandt Snedeker: 42 strokes gained
Brian Harman: 42 strokes gained
Jason Dufner: 41 strokes gained
Tim Clark: 40 strokes gained
Marc Leishman: 38 strokes gained
David Toms: 37 strokes gained
Bo Van Pelt: 36 strokes gained



One-and-Done: This was one of ZJ's cash cows until recently when Spieth started stamping his name at the top. Either of them will be great plays here but ideally, someone in the 3-to-15 range will enter with great form. That way we can save ZJ for the John Deere Classic and Spieth for a bigger pursed event. 





The Memorial Tournament
Course: Muirfield Village Golf Club

Most Strokes Gained at Muirfield Village GC since 2009: 

 

Matt Kuchar: 123 strokes gained
Dustin Johnson: 75 strokes gained
Justin Rose: 70 strokes gained
Jim Furyk: 65 strokes gained
Rickie Fowler: 63 strokes gained
Stewart Cink: 63 strokes gained
Ryan Moore: 62 strokes gained
Steve Stricker: 62 strokes gained
Rory Mcilroy: 61 strokes gained
Bubba Watson: 60 strokes gained
Charl Schwartzel: 60 strokes gained
David Lingmerth: 58 strokes gained
Phil Mickelson: 54 strokes gained
Bo Van Pelt: 53 strokes gained
Bill Haas: 52 strokes gained
Jason Day: 50 strokes gained
Marc Leishman: 48 strokes gained
Hideki Matsuyama: 47 strokes gained
Kevin Streelman: 47 strokes gained
Tiger Woods: 46 strokes gained


One-and-Done: Kuchar shows up high on a lot of course history lists because he's so reliable wherever he goes. However, this is some dominance here at Jack's Place. Kuchar has pegged it nine times over the last 10 years and finished top 15 in eight of those starts. That includes five top 5s with one of those doubling as a win (2013). If Kuchar is still available when this event rolls around, and in moderate form, then it's a plug-and-play pick. 






RBC Canadian Open
Courses: Hamilton Golf & Country Club

Most Strokes Gained at Hamilton since 2012: 


Scott Piercy: 16 strokes gained
Robert Garrigus: 15 strokes gained
William McGirt: 15 strokes gained
Bud Cauley: 13 strokes gained
Chris Kirk: 13 strokes gained
Josh Teater: 13 strokes gained
Bo Van Pelt: 11 strokes gained
Scott Stallings: 11 strokes gained
Vijay Singh: 11 strokes gained
Gary Christian: 9 strokes gained
Kevin Kisner: 9 strokes gained
Nathan Green: 9 strokes gained
Retief Goosen: 9 strokes gained
Troy Matteson: 9 strokes gained
Brian Davis: 8 strokes gained
Seung-Yul Noh: 8 strokes gained
Tim Clark: 8 strokes gained
J.B. Holmes: 8 strokes gained
Gavin Coles: 7 strokes gained
Ken Duke: 7 strokes gained



One-and-Done: Hamilton has hosted just three times in the modern era (2003, 2006, and 2012). The list above is what the leaderboard looked like in 2012. The other two results were out of our 10-year sample size. Bobby Garrigus screams distance but Piercy, McGirt, Cauley, and Kirk all scream mid-irons and wedges. This will be a big shake up versus Glen Abbey which is a bomb-and-gouge layout where distance is usually king. 





U.S. Open
Courses: Pebble Beach Golf Links

Most Strokes Gained at Pebble Beach since 2010: 


Dustin Johnson: 104 strokes gained
Phil Mickelson: 97 strokes gained
Brandt Snedeker: 84 strokes gained
Jimmy Walker: 79 strokes gained
Jason Day: 74 strokes gained
Jordan Spieth: 74 strokes gained
Patrick Reed: 55 strokes gained
Sean O'Hair: 53 strokes gained
Kevin Streelman: 52 strokes gained
J.B. Holmes: 49 strokes gained
Matt Jones: 47 strokes gained
Hunter Mahan: 46 strokes gained
Pat Perez: 43 strokes gained
Nick Watney: 42 strokes gained
Bryce Molder: 41 strokes gained
Jason Kokrak: 40 strokes gained
Alex Cejka: 39 strokes gained
Brian Gay: 38 strokes gained
Jim Furyk: 38 strokes gained
Padraig Harrington: 37 strokes gained



One-and-Done: This list includes all results from the Pebble Beach Pro-Am as well as the 2010 U.S. Open when Pebble last hosted. During that edition, we saw it easily play as the toughest test of the year (+3.983 RTP versus +1.640 as the second toughest that year). G-Mac won that year with an even-par 284 on the week. Some notables inside the top 10 that year included Phil Mickelson (T4), Tiger Woods (T4), Matt Kuchar (T6), Dustin Johnson (T8), Martin Kaymer (T8), and Brandt Snedeker (T8). 


That does it for part two of the Course History Guide. Check back soon for Part 3 which will highlight the Summer schedule.  In case you missed it, here is the link for Part 1 of the Course History Guide






Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.
Email :Josh Culp



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