Tim Dierkes

Waiver Wired

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The Final Countdown

Friday, September 28, 2007


Well, this is it. Counting today, we have just three days left in the regular season (barring any tiebreaker games). I hope you're just wrapping up victories in all of your leagues. Did Waiver Wired you make any sweet pickups this year? Which were our best and worst? It's been fun writing this column for you all year (though I'm happy to take a break).

We'll do things a little differently this time. I'll forego the dollar values as I don't think that's really doing much for anyone at this point. But first let's dig up some possible spot starters for Saturday and Sunday's games in case you're taking it down to the wire.

Possible spot-starters for Saturday:

American League

Kevin Millwood, SP, TEX – He faces the Mariners fresh off a dominant start over Baltimore. With a 4.22 ERA after the break, Millwood has looked a lot more like himself.

Jesse Litsch, SP, TOR – Litsch starts against the Devil Rays, fresh off dominant efforts against the Yankees and Red Sox. It's worth it to see if the roll continues.

National League

Brandon Backe, SP, HOU – Normally you wouldn't start a guy against the Braves. But with the team eliminated we might see some regulars resting. Plus, he pitched well and won his last two starts.

Possible spot-starters for Sunday:

American League

Nate Robertson, SP, CHA – Robertson shut down the Twins last time out and gets another woeful offense in Chicago.

Aaron Laffey, SP, CLE – Can't go wrong with the guy facing the Royals, even if he's been off and on this month. He just has to watch out for the immortal Emil Brown (6 for 6 against him lifetime).

Kei Igawa, SP, NYA – Baltimore's lousy against lefties, and Igawa was solid in his last start.

Jason Hammel, SP, TBA – He's got a 3.54 ERA in five starts this month and takes on the Blue Jays.

National League

Homer Bailey, SP, CIN – The uber-prospect gets the Cubs on Sunday. The Cubs will either be chillin' or playing for their playoff life. If it's the former, Bailey could face a lot of the same guys he did in Triple A.

Sorry, I just didn't see much in the NL for spot-starts.

Now let's take a look at some favorable batter vs. pitcher matchups that could help you out.

American League

Alex Cora vs. Carlos Silva: 8 for 17, 2B, 3B
Jason Bartlett vs. Tim Wakefield: 4 for 10, 2 2B, HR
A.J. Pierzynski vs. Justin Verlander: 5 for 19, 2B, 3 HR
Alex Cintron vs. Justin Verlander: 6 for 14, 2B
Ryan Raburn vs. Gavin Floyd: 4 for 9
Ross Gload vs. Jake Westbrook: 4 for 9, 3 2B
Casey Blake vs. Gil Meche: 8 for 20, HR
Trot Nixon vs. Gil Meche: 7 for 15, 3 2B
Kenny Lofton vs. Miguel Batista: 19 for 50, 2 2B, 3B, 2 HR
Mike Redmond vs. Curt Schilling: 7 for 12, 2B
Juan Uribe vs. Nate Robertson: 13 for 35, 2B, 3B, 2 HR
Emil Brown vs. Aaron Laffey: 6 for 6
Maicer Izturis vs. Chad Gaudin: 6 for 13, 2 2B

National League

Jacque Jones vs. Aaron Harang: 7 for 16, 2B, HR
Kelly Johnson vs. Adam Eaton: 3 for 8, 2B, 2 HR
Jack Wilson vs. Adam Wainwright: 7 for 15, 2B
Aaron Miles vs. Tom Gorzelanny: 6 for 8
Yorvit Torrealba vs. Chad Billingsley: 4 for 6, HR
Norris Hopper vs. Ted Lilly: 4 for 6
Brady Clark vs. Jeff Suppan: 10 for 30, 2B, 2 HR
Michael Barrett vs. Jeff Suppan: 10 for 24, 2B
Geoff Blum vs. Jeff Suppan: 10 for 18, 3 2B
Luis Gonzalez vs. Barry Zito: 7 for 15, 2 HR
Shea Hillenbrand vs. Barry Zito: 6 for 13, 3B

Finally, some words of wisdom (that I don't always follow but should):

  • Never draft pitchers early. Just don't do it. You might think you're clever, or that you'll stock up and then trade a few off later, but it rarely works that way. It's much, much easier to build up a pitching staff off the wire than find 30 HR guys.
  • If the only real skill a pitcher has shown is preventing hits, he hasn't really shown a skill.
  • Don't rely too heavily on rookies – they are more risky than they appear. Wouldn't you rather have had Adrian Beltre than Alex Gordon this year? Even one year of big league experience makes a huge difference. Sophomores are great targets.
  • Don't draft a guy counting on him to repeat a career year (Alfonso Soriano, Bill Hall).
  • Devil Rays and Royals are often undervalued.
  • Never draft closers early.
  • Players with both power and speed are rare.
  • Injury-prone guys who somehow stayed healthy, like Chipper Jones and Ken Griffey Jr. – will be overvalued next year.
  • Follow RotoWorld religiously. They never miss anything important.


  • Tim Dierkes contributes to Rotoworld's Fantasy Baseball Coverage. He also runs a fantasy baseball blog at RotoAuthority.com
    Email :Tim Dierkes



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