Drew Silva

Draft Strategy

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Early February Mockin'

Friday, February 05, 2010

Round Five

5. 1. Aaron Hill
5. 2. Adam Wainwright
5. 3. Kendry Morales
5. 4. Derek Jeter
5. 5. Aramis Ramirez
5. 6. Jon Lester
5. 7. Mariano Rivera
5. 8. Jason Bay
5. 9. Johan Santana
5. 10. Cliff Lee
5. 11. Chone Figgins
5. 12. Adam Dunn

Talking Points

  • Want an example of why it is wise to wait on a first baseman? Look no further than D.J. Short's selection of Adam Dunn at the tail end of the fifth round (60th overall). Dunn's power numbers are comparable to almost any top-ranked slugger and yet he's being overlooked in scores of mock drafts this winter. Dunn hit 38 home runs last season and collected 105 RBI, all the while piecing together a career-high .267 batting average. Strikeouts aren't a factor in most fantasy leagues, so don't be scared off by 'em.

  • The selection of Chone Figgins is a little more puzzling. Figgins is a nice player and the Mariners were wise to snatch him up at a bargain rate this offseason, but he brings little to the table other than stolen base numbers. His career-high home run total is nine, and he produced that way back in 2006. Figgins' ADP currently sits at 79. He was taken 59th in this draft.

  • Best Value

    I'm not sure why, but people often forget the kind of year Jon Lester had in 2009. It's almost as if the baseball world accepted his 2008 as a peak season and assumed he would slowly regress. He didn't. And he won't. Lester, 26, collected 15 wins and fanned 225 batters in just 203 1/3 innings last year for a 9.69 K/9. The lefty isn't just a cancer survivor with a nice backstory. He is a full-blown star in the making and he's the ace of Boston's already excellent pitching staff.

    Round Six

    6. 1. Nelson Cruz
    6. 2. Carlos Beltran
    6. 3. Shin-Soo Choo
    6. 4. B.J. Upton
    6. 5. Chris Carpenter
    6. 6. Lance Berkman
    6. 7. Carlos Lee
    6. 8. Derrek Lee
    6. 9. Nick Markakis
    6. 10. Manny Ramirez
    6. 11. Bobby Abreu
    6. 12. Josh Johnson

    Talking Points

  • Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Carlos Beltran has been a perennial second- or third-round pick since his breakout 2004 season, but a late-winter knee surgery and the controversy surrounding it has him slipping fast in 2010 mock drafts. Some owners are even choosing to avoid Beltran altogether because selecting him requires placing trust in the Mets' medical team, a group that has botched quite a few recovery time predictions in the recent past. The Mets are projecting a late-April return, but who's to say they don't have this one wrong as well?

  • I like Dan Wade, the fella who selected Shin-Soo Choo. I think he has a great grasp on all things baseball and fantasy-related. But I can't fathom why Dan would draft Choo 63rd overall, before outfielders like Manny Ramirez, Nick Markakis, Carlos Lee, and even Bobby Abreu. Choo posted a respectable .300/.394/.489 batting line last season with 20 home runs, 86 RBI and 21 stolen bases. The South Korean native might top all of those numbers this year, or he might not. The bottom line is many outfielders are capable of producing those kind of stats and a whole bunch of them were still on the board. It was a classic reach.

  • Best Value

    B.J. Upton, at least in my opinion, was the strongest pick of Round 6. Maybe I'm just a fan of the last name "Upton," though it doesn't exactly roll off the tongue. Justin's older brother batted a measly .241/.313/.373 last season and he might not improve on that line this year. But he steals 40-plus bases per season and he hit 24 dingers as recently as 2007. Most stolen-base hounds don't bring any sort of power potential to the table. You might as well as grab a guy that does.

    Questions, comments, insight? Shoot me an e-mail or find me on Twitter.

    Drew Silva is a baseball editor for Rotoworld and also contributes on NBC Sports' Hardball Talk. He can be found on Twitter.
    Email :Drew Silva

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