Glenn Colton

Week That Was

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Holliday Rakes After Holiday

Saturday, April 23, 2011


Matt Holliday returns from Holiday on fire. That and more in this week's Week That Was.


Matt Holliday: Matt Holliday continued to rake this week, including his 2-3 night (including a two run jack) Thursday against the Nats. As of Thursday, Matty H had posted a scalding .455 with 14 runs, and 11 RBI despite missing time with the appendicitis. The bottom line is simple here folks. Holliday is one of the most sure things in fantasy baseball. Look at these three year averages: .314, 26HR, 99R, 100RBI and 17SB. Solid! Pujols may get all the attention (and should get all the attention he does get). However, that allows Matt to fly a touch under the radar. If there is a Holiday owner out there down on the Albert-centric soap opera in St. Louis, pounce.


Mitchell Boggs: Sticking with the Redbirds, there is a new closer in town -- at least for now. Mitchell Boggs earned his 2nd save last night, getting four outs in the process. Question: can he hold the role? Hmm, tough one. It has been so far so good for the 27 year old out of Georgia. However, there is nothing special in his minor or major league track record to support going all in on a FAAB bid. With Ryan Franklin still around and Jason Motte with the best closer stuff, my bet is that Boggs does not hold the role. However, if you are desperate for saves, it may be a risk you need to take.


Miguel Olivo: Miguel Olivo had another bad night Friday, going 0-4, dropping his average to a number ever Mario Mendoza would be ashamed of: .169. Of course, Olivo is not this bad, but a bad year was so easily predictable. First, he moved from Colorado to Seattle (in other words from the thin air to a huge stadium in which flyballs go to die). Second, he has a long history of anti-Ichiro batting averages (six times in the last nine years, he hit under .240). Finally, Seattle just cannot score, which will depress numbers even further. Bottom line here folks is that Seattle has no other options so they will play him and his low average a lot. You might well be better off with a part-timer like Ryan Hanigan or Josh Thole who will not kill your average so completely.


Ryan Madson: Ryan Madson saved last night's game for the Phils. Does this mean there will be a closer shift in Philly? No it does not. Closer Jose Contreras had pitched the previous two days and had toed the rubber in four of the last five. So, Madson owners should consider this save a lucky break and Contreras owners should not worry. After all, the reason Contreras was anointed closer is that Madson has never succeeded in that role. Over the last two years, Madson has blown 11 saves while converting only 15. Not what Doc, Lee, Cole and Roy want to see behind them.


Anibal Sanchez: Anibal Sanchez was great last night, taking a no-no into the 9th. He ended up allowing just the one hit and walking three while striking out nine. Overall, I like Sanchez to continue to build upon the success he had last year. However, I would bench him for his next start or two if I could. For some reason that I cannot fathom, the Fish left Anibal in after the hit and allowed him to throw 124 pitches. That does not bode well at all for the near future.


Angel Pagan: The Mets just cannot catch a break. In the same week that saw them get Jason Bay back, they had to place Angel Pagan on the disabled list with the dreaded strained oblique. It is not clear which one of Willie Harris, Jason Pridie or Scott Hairston will see the most time in CF. None are stars, but Harris could get some SB and Hairston has some pop. The bigger question is what to make of Pagan? My bet is that his average will only be mediocre but his SB numbers will be solid. If you can get full value for Pagan when he returns, do it.


Gordon Beckham: The White Sox 2B continues to struggle in the early going. In fact, the Chisox dropped him to the 8th spot in the order (didn't help as he went 0-3). If there ever was a buy low opportunity, this is it. Beckham started slowly last year, but hit .310 in the second half. He is only 24, so growing pains are not a huge surprise. That said, he added 15lbs of muscle in the winter, is in his second year at 2b (finally not a new position after moving from ss to 3b to 2b) and is on an offensive powerhouse team in a great hitters park. Bottom line for those who need it spelled out, get him if you can.


Brett Gardner: It is a rare day a rainout is a good day, but for Brett Gardner, that might be the case. The Yankee LF is hitting a paltry .128 thus far. Is he this bad? No. As an unabashed Yankee fan, am I rooting for him? Yes. Do I think he will come anywhere near his 2010 production fantasy-wise? No. Gardner hit approximately .240 in the second half, so a low average is not a shock. Gardner, who is solid defensively and always hustles will stay in the lineup against all RHP. However, I would look for him to hit 9th on all days other than when the backup catcher is playing. He will get his SB but don't bank on anything else. (Note – 14K against 4 BB for a guy who is supposed to set the table is a very telling story of how the year has gone for Gardy so far).


Jeremy Guthrie: Jeremy Guthrie lost, but was solid again on Thursday, allowing two runs on seven hits while striking out four. Guthrie is a buy. Despite suffering from pneumonia, Guthrie has posted a 3.12 ERA and 1.04 WHIP on the year. Pitching for the Orioles in the AL East is hardly ideal. However, Guthrie has a solid track record for years where he was not forced to participate in the WBC (loyal readers know my view of that event). In the last three non-WBC years, Guthrie has posted a WHIP under 1.25 and an ERA under 4.00. He will not mow down a ton of hitters but he will post solid ratios.


Logan Morrison: Logan Morrison will be out approximately 2-4 weeks with the (second only to oblique) dreaded lisfranc sprain in his left foot. Logan was off to a hot start and will be a very good major leaguer for years to come. If the Marlins let him heal, he should be fine for June-Oct. However, if they rush him . . . . not so fine. Until Morrison gets back, look for Scott Cousins and Emilio Bonifacio to get LF time. Bonafacio will provide SB but little else. Cousins, on the other hand, will give you a little bit of everything without big contribution in any particular category. Don't break the bank on either guy.


And last, but not least, Schultz says: "With the recent demotion of Ian Stewart to the minor leagues, Ty Wigginton will very likely be the recipient of significant playing time at third base for the Rockies while the disappointing Stewart relearns how to be a successful hitter. No one ever gets excited about having Wigginton in their roto-lineup but more times than not, they are happy that they did. This Little Wiggy's true charm is his sporadic second base eligibility and penchant for slugging 20+ homers when given ample playing time. An average hitter at best, Wigginton's .217 is well below his average average and average would be the proper term to use in describing him. However, leagues aren't won by the Pujolses and A Rods, they are won by the contributions you get from your supporting cast and when you get to your final active spot, average can sometimes be gold standard.

The Brandon Wood era in Anaheim has come to an end with the perpetual prospect being claimed on waivers by Pittsburgh, where there's a real chance he may get significant playing time for the Pirates. It would be difficult to term this a buy low situation as it's unclear what Wood's upside may be. His major league career has patterned Mark Reynolds . . . well without the 40 home runs to go with the sub .200 batting average. Unless you have roster spots that you're subleasing to other teams, there's no need to rush to grab him post haste. Nonetheless, He was once considered one of the top slugging prospects in baseball so it might be worth checking in him every so often to see how he's doing.

Over in Cleveland, where the first-place Indians reside, it's worth noting that Grady Sizemore has returned and reclaimed the lead-off spot. In his first week back, Sizemore batted a nifty .421 and added a homerun in his second at-bat. More so than the stats, Sizemore's swing looks better than it has in the past two years. No surprise, it's the first time he's been truly healthy in two years. Unlike Kendry Morales and Chase Utley, Sizemore returned on schedule so, as long as he doesn't run into a wall or find some other way to hurt himself, those who grabbed him at the beginning of the year have found themselves a tremendous bargain."


Response: Agree and disagree. Yes, Wiggy is the unsung hero of many roto titles. Yes, Wood is well not gold, silver, copper or even zinc. No, Grady is not a rush out to buy. If you can sell high, do it. The injury risk is just too great and the Indians dream April will have a rude awakening sooner rather than later.


Glenn Colton is co-host of Colton and the Wolfman on SiriusXM Tuesdays 8-11pm ET and a long-time fantasy sports player, author of numerous print and electronic media fantasy sports articles, and a participant in expert leagues, including baseball's LABR league and football's FTSA experts league. Colton and Rick Wolf have won the AL LABR Championship three times and football's FTSA experts league four times. Colton joined Wolf in the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Hall of Fame in June of 2013. He can be found on Twitter .



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