Matthew Pouliot

Strike Zone

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First Baseman Keeper Rankings

Thursday, August 18, 2011

This year's final set of Strike Zone player rankings focuses strictly on 2012 and beyond. I'm looking mostly at the next two years in these keeper rankings, though I am providing a little credit for 2014 and '15. As always, there are position rankings with notes and an overall top 250 list.

Click to see other Keeper rankings:
Top 250 | SP | RP | OF | 1B | 2B | SS | 3B | C | DH

  • I couldn't see moving the younger first basemen ahead of Pujols on the list, though the gap has certainly narrowed. The top four are all bunched together closely in the top 250. I went back and forth a few times over Votto vs. Cabrera in the third spot.

  • I feel better about Hosmer at No. 8 than Freeman at No. 9. Hosmer's stroke is so pure, and he could well hit .300 with 25 homers as a sophomore. Freeman is actually hitting .296 with 16 homers right now, but with his strikeout rate, I think that average is a bit of a fluke. Hosmer projects as the better player going forward.

  • Morse gets listed at first base, even though the Nationals are planning on moving him back to left field to make room for LaRoche next year. There's also Marrero to keep in mind there. The 2006 first-round pick has been a disappointment more often than not, but he's up to .309/.385/.468 at Triple-A Syracuse for the season. He'll probably get a look in September.

  • I expect Trumbo to have issues going forward. The power is outstanding and he's not striking out as much as I thought he would, but I don't think he'll be more than a .250 hitter. Then again, a year ago, I didn't think he'd be a major leaguer at all.

  • RankPlayer NameTeam
    1 Albert Pujols Cardinals
    2 Adrian Gonzalez Red Sox
    3 Joey Votto Reds
    4 Miguel Cabrera Tigers
    5 Prince Fielder Brewers
    6 Mark Teixeira Yankees
    7 Ryan Howard Phillies
    8 Eric Hosmer Royals
    9 Freddie Freeman Braves
    10 Adam Lind Blue Jays
    11 Paul Konerko White Sox
    12 Adam Dunn White Sox
    13 Mike Morse Nationals
    14 Ike Davis Mets
    15 Justin Morneau Twins
    16 Gaby Sanchez Marlins
    17 Kendrys Morales Angels
    18 Paul Goldschmidt Diamondbacks
    19 Mark Trumbo Angels
    20 Carlos Pena Cubs
    21 Justin Smoak Mariners
    22 Todd Helton Rockies
    23 Aubrey Huff Giants
    24 Brandon Belt Giants
    25 Anthony Rizzo Padres
    26 Matt LaPorta Indians
    27 Daric Barton Athletics
    28 Chris Davis Orioles
    29 Adam LaRoche Nationals
    30 Brandon Allen Athletics
    31 Mitch Moreland Rangers
    32 Casey Kotchman Rays
    33 Brett Wallace Astros
    34 James Loney Dodgers
    35 Derrek Lee Pirates
    36 Jesus Guzman Padres
    37 Brad Hawpe Padres
    38 Lyle Overbay Diamondbacks
    39 Chris Marrero Nationals
    40 David Cooper Blue Jays

    Matthew Pouliot is the Executive Editor of and has been doing the site's baseball projections for the last 10 years. Follow him on Twitter @matthewpouliot.
    Email :Matthew Pouliot

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