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Starter Keeper Rankings
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Tweet
This year's final set of Strike Zone player rankings focuses strictly on 2012 and beyond. I'm looking mostly at the next two years in these keeper rankings, though I am providing a little credit for 2014 and '15. As always, there are position rankings with notes and an overall top 250 list.
Click to see other Keeper rankings:
Top 250 |
SP |
RP |
OF |
1B |
2B |
SS |
3B |
C |
DH
This was the toughest list to put together. I was certain about No. 1, but not much after that. Even at age 34, Halladay still seems like the safest bet to me for these next couple of years. I went back and forth on Kershaw and Lincecum for the third spot. Lincecum is safer, but I think Kershaw has the better chance of claiming a Cy Young Award in 2012 or '13.
Strasburg jumps back into the rankings at No. 14. He pretty obviously has top-10 upside, but I want to see him stay healthy for a while before ranking him up there. I stuck Wainwright at No. 37, which may seem a little low given his near-Cy Young performances in 2009 and '10. The reasoning there is that his rehab from Tommy John surgery hasn't progressed as far as Strasburg's. I'll want to wait and see how he throws next spring before projecting an ace-type season from him next season.
Prospects considered for the list but coming up a little short included
Drew Pomeranz
(the prize for the Rockies in the
Ubaldo Jimenez
deal with Cleveland),
Garrett Richards
,
Matt Harvey
, the rehabbing
Jenrry Mejia
,
Ross Detwiler
and 2011 first-rounders
Gerrit Cole
of the Pirates and
Danny Hultzen
of the Mariners. I did make room for the third overall pick from the 2011 draft, the Diamondbacks'
Trevor Bauer
. Another who missed the cut was free agent
Ben Sheets
. He figures to give it another try next year after missing 2010 following Tommy John surgery. Also just missing the list were the Cubs'
Andrew Cashner
, the Orioles'
Jake Arrieta
and the Royals'
Felipe Paulino
.
Rank
Player Name
Team
1
Roy Halladay
Phillies
2
Felix Hernandez
Mariners
3
Clayton Kershaw
Dodgers
4
Tim Lincecum
Giants
5
Justin Verlander
Tigers
6
Jon Lester
Red Sox
7
CC Sabathia
Yankees
8
Jered Weaver
Angels
9
David Price
Rays
10
Cliff Lee
Phillies
11
Tommy Hanson
Braves
12
Cole Hamels
Phillies
13
Matt Cain
Giants
14
Stephen Strasburg
Nationals
15
Madison Bumgarner
Giants
16
Zack Greinke
Brewers
17
Yovani Gallardo
Brewers
18
Dan Haren
Angels
19
Josh Beckett
Red Sox
20
Michael Pineda
Mariners
21
Mat Latos
Padres
22
Jordan Zimmerman
n
Nationals
23
Jeremy Hellickson
Rays
24
Shaun Marcum
Brewers
25
Gio Gonzalez
Athletics
26
Josh Johnson
Marlins
27
Jaime Garcia
Cardinals
28
Ricky Romero
Blue Jays
29
Ubaldo Jimenez
Indians
30
Ian Kennedy
Diamondbacks
31
James Shields
Rays
32
Matt Garza
Cubs
33
Daniel Hudson
Diamondbacks
34
Tim Hudson
Braves
35
Johnny Cueto
Reds
36
C.J. Wilson
Rangers
37
Adam Wainwright
Cardinals
38
Chris Carpenter
Cardinals
39
Jhoulys Chacin
Rockies
40
Trevor Cahill
Athletics
41
Chad Billingsley
Dodgers
42
Cory Luebke
Padres
43
Max Scherzer
Tigers
44
Clay Buchholz
Red Sox
45
John Danks
White Sox
46
Ricky Nolasco
Marlins
47
Anibal Sanchez
Marlins
48
Brandon Beachy
Braves
49
Matt Moore
Rays
50
Brandon Morrow
Blue Jays
51
Ervin Santana
Angels
52
Francisco Liriano
Twins
53
Jair Jurrjens
Braves
54
Edwin Jackson
Cardinals
55
Johan Santana
Mets
56
Alexi Ogando
Rangers
57
Brian Matusz
Orioles
58
Wandy Rodriguez
Astros
59
Colby Lewis
Rangers
60
Justin Masterson
Indians
61
Ryan Dempster
Cubs
62
Derek Holland
Rangers
63
Jon Niese
Mets
64
Gavin Floyd
White Sox
65
Roy Oswalt
Phillies
66
Jake Peavy
White Sox
67
Julio Teheran
Braves
68
R.A. Dickey
Mets
69
Scott Baker
Twins
70
Chris Sale
White Sox
71
Hiroki Kuroda
Dodgers
72
Edinson Volquez
Reds
73
A.J. Burnett
Yankees
74
Phil Hughes
Yankees
75
Zach Britton
Orioles
76
Jeff Niemann
Rays
77
Kyle Drabek
Blue Jays
78
Jonathan Sanchez
Giants
79
Erik Bedard
Red Sox
80
Ted Lilly
Dodgers
81
Bud Norris
Astros
82
Mike Minor
Braves
83
Brian Duensing
Twins
84
Carlos Zambrano
Cubs
85
Shelby Miller
Cardinals
86
Mark Buehrle
White Sox
87
Vance Worley
Phillies
88
Tim Stauffer
Padres
89
Mike Leake
Reds
90
Brett Anderson
Athletics
91
Matt Harrison
Rangers
92
James McDonald
Pirates
93
Homer Bailey
Reds
94
Ivan Nova
Yankees
95
John Lackey
Red Sox
96
Jordan Lyles
Astros
97
Mike Pelfrey
Mets
98
Danny Duffy
Royals
99
Clayton Richard
Padres
100
Charlie Morton
Pirates
101
Kevin Slowey
Twins
102
Ryan Vogelsong
Giants
103
Bronson Arroyo
Reds
104
Dallas Braden
Athletics
105
Bartolo Colon
Yankees
106
Tyler Chatwood
Angels
107
Brandon McCarthy
Athletics
108
Aaron Harang
Padres
109
Randy Wolf
Brewers
110
Brett Myers
Astros
111
Jeremy Guthrie
Orioles
112
Rick Porcello
Tigers
113
Jorge De La Rosa
Rockies
114
Charlie Furbush
Mariners
115
Jason Vargas
Mariners
116
Wade Davis
Rays
117
Doug Fister
Tigers
118
Javier Vazquez
Marlins
119
Joe Blanton
Phillies
120
Rich Harden
Athletics
121
Derek Lowe
Braves
122
Trevor Bauer
Diamondbacks
123
Jake Westbrook
Cardinals
124
Paul Maholm
Pirates
125
Hisashi Iwakuma
Japan
126
Brett Cecil
Blue Jays
127
Manny Banuelos
Yankees
128
Carlos Carrasco
Indians
129
Joe Saunders
Diamondbacks
130
Carl Pavano
Twins
This year's final set of Strike Zone player rankings focuses strictly on 2012 and beyond. I'm looking mostly at the next two years in these keeper rankings, though I am providing a little credit for 2014 and '15. As always, there are position rankings with notes and an overall top 250 list.
Click to see other Keeper rankings:
Top 250 |
SP |
RP |
OF |
1B |
2B |
SS |
3B |
C |
DH
This was the toughest list to put together. I was certain about No. 1, but not much after that. Even at age 34, Halladay still seems like the safest bet to me for these next couple of years. I went back and forth on Kershaw and Lincecum for the third spot. Lincecum is safer, but I think Kershaw has the better chance of claiming a Cy Young Award in 2012 or '13.
Strasburg jumps back into the rankings at No. 14. He pretty obviously has top-10 upside, but I want to see him stay healthy for a while before ranking him up there. I stuck Wainwright at No. 37, which may seem a little low given his near-Cy Young performances in 2009 and '10. The reasoning there is that his rehab from Tommy John surgery hasn't progressed as far as Strasburg's. I'll want to wait and see how he throws next spring before projecting an ace-type season from him next season.
Prospects considered for the list but coming up a little short included
Drew Pomeranz
(the prize for the Rockies in the
Ubaldo Jimenez
deal with Cleveland),
Garrett Richards
,
Matt Harvey
, the rehabbing
Jenrry Mejia
,
Ross Detwiler
and 2011 first-rounders
Gerrit Cole
of the Pirates and
Danny Hultzen
of the Mariners. I did make room for the third overall pick from the 2011 draft, the Diamondbacks'
Trevor Bauer
. Another who missed the cut was free agent
Ben Sheets
. He figures to give it another try next year after missing 2010 following Tommy John surgery. Also just missing the list were the Cubs'
Andrew Cashner
, the Orioles'
Jake Arrieta
and the Royals'
Felipe Paulino
.
Rank
Player Name
Team
1
Roy Halladay
Phillies
2
Felix Hernandez
Mariners
3
Clayton Kershaw
Dodgers
4
Tim Lincecum
Giants
5
Justin Verlander
Tigers
6
Jon Lester
Red Sox
7
CC Sabathia
Yankees
8
Jered Weaver
Angels
9
David Price
Rays
10
Cliff Lee
Phillies
11
Tommy Hanson
Braves
12
Cole Hamels
Phillies
13
Matt Cain
Giants
14
Stephen Strasburg
Nationals
15
Madison Bumgarner
Giants
16
Zack Greinke
Brewers
17
Yovani Gallardo
Brewers
18
Dan Haren
Angels
19
Josh Beckett
Red Sox
20
Michael Pineda
Mariners
21
Mat Latos
Padres
22
Jordan Zimmerman
n
Nationals
23
Jeremy Hellickson
Rays
24
Shaun Marcum
Brewers
25
Gio Gonzalez
Athletics
26
Josh Johnson
Marlins
27
Jaime Garcia
Cardinals
28
Ricky Romero
Blue Jays
29
Ubaldo Jimenez
Indians
30
Ian Kennedy
Diamondbacks
31
James Shields
Rays
32
Matt Garza
Cubs
33
Daniel Hudson
Diamondbacks
34
Tim Hudson
Braves
35
Johnny Cueto
Reds
36
C.J. Wilson
Rangers
37
Adam Wainwright
Cardinals
38
Chris Carpenter
Cardinals
39
Jhoulys Chacin
Rockies
40
Trevor Cahill
Athletics
41
Chad Billingsley
Dodgers
42
Cory Luebke
Padres
43
Max Scherzer
Tigers
44
Clay Buchholz
Red Sox
45
John Danks
White Sox
46
Ricky Nolasco
Marlins
47
Anibal Sanchez
Marlins
48
Brandon Beachy
Braves
49
Matt Moore
Rays
50
Brandon Morrow
Blue Jays
51
Ervin Santana
Angels
52
Francisco Liriano
Twins
53
Jair Jurrjens
Braves
54
Edwin Jackson
Cardinals
55
Johan Santana
Mets
56
Alexi Ogando
Rangers
57
Brian Matusz
Orioles
58
Wandy Rodriguez
Astros
59
Colby Lewis
Rangers
60
Justin Masterson
Indians
61
Ryan Dempster
Cubs
62
Derek Holland
Rangers
63
Jon Niese
Mets
64
Gavin Floyd
White Sox
65
Roy Oswalt
Phillies
66
Jake Peavy
White Sox
67
Julio Teheran
Braves
68
R.A. Dickey
Mets
69
Scott Baker
Twins
70
Chris Sale
White Sox
71
Hiroki Kuroda
Dodgers
72
Edinson Volquez
Reds
73
A.J. Burnett
Yankees
74
Phil Hughes
Yankees
75
Zach Britton
Orioles
76
Jeff Niemann
Rays
77
Kyle Drabek
Blue Jays
78
Jonathan Sanchez
Giants
79
Erik Bedard
Red Sox
80
Ted Lilly
Dodgers
81
Bud Norris
Astros
82
Mike Minor
Braves
83
Brian Duensing
Twins
84
Carlos Zambrano
Cubs
85
Shelby Miller
Cardinals
86
Mark Buehrle
White Sox
87
Vance Worley
Phillies
88
Tim Stauffer
Padres
89
Mike Leake
Reds
90
Brett Anderson
Athletics
91
Matt Harrison
Rangers
92
James McDonald
Pirates
93
Homer Bailey
Reds
94
Ivan Nova
Yankees
95
John Lackey
Red Sox
96
Jordan Lyles
Astros
97
Mike Pelfrey
Mets
98
Danny Duffy
Royals
99
Clayton Richard
Padres
100
Charlie Morton
Pirates
101
Kevin Slowey
Twins
102
Ryan Vogelsong
Giants
103
Bronson Arroyo
Reds
104
Dallas Braden
Athletics
105
Bartolo Colon
Yankees
106
Tyler Chatwood
Angels
107
Brandon McCarthy
Athletics
108
Aaron Harang
Padres
109
Randy Wolf
Brewers
110
Brett Myers
Astros
111
Jeremy Guthrie
Orioles
112
Rick Porcello
Tigers
113
Jorge De La Rosa
Rockies
114
Charlie Furbush
Mariners
115
Jason Vargas
Mariners
116
Wade Davis
Rays
117
Doug Fister
Tigers
118
Javier Vazquez
Marlins
119
Joe Blanton
Phillies
120
Rich Harden
Athletics
121
Derek Lowe
Braves
122
Trevor Bauer
Diamondbacks
123
Jake Westbrook
Cardinals
124
Paul Maholm
Pirates
125
Hisashi Iwakuma
Japan
126
Brett Cecil
Blue Jays
127
Manny Banuelos
Yankees
128
Carlos Carrasco
Indians
129
Joe Saunders
Diamondbacks
130
Carl Pavano
Twins
Matthew Pouliot is the Executive Editor of RotoWorld.com and has been doing the site's baseball projections for the last 10 years. Follow him on Twitter at
matthewpouliot
.
Email :
Matthew Pouliot
MLB Headlines
SF
:
Belt collects 4 hits, 4 runs and a homer
SF
:
Ryan Vogelsong suffers fractured right hand
ARZ
:
Patrick Corbin pitches three-hitter in Coors
BOS
:
Shane Victorino (hamstring) day-to-day
FLA
:
Redmond: Marlins to use 'everybody' at closer
KC
:
Salvador Perez leaves game with hip injury
STL
:
Westbrook (elbow) to throw off mound Tuesday
MLW
:
Corey Hart runs, takes batting practice Mon.
WAS
:
Detwiler (back) hopeful of making next start
ATL
:
Eric O'Flaherty to have Tommy John surgery
WAS
:
Werth (hamstring) could be out two more weeks
STL
:
David Freese (thumb) scratched from lineup
Headlines:
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On Your Mark
May 21
In Tuesday's Daily Dose, D.J. Short discusses progress for Mark Teixeira and the recent struggles of Jim Johnson.
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On Your Mark
May 21
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MLB Headlines
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Belt collects 4 hits, 4 runs and a homer
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Ryan Vogelsong suffers fractured right hand
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Patrick Corbin pitches three-hitter in Coors
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Shane Victorino (hamstring) day-to-day
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Redmond: Marlins to use 'everybody' at closer
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Salvador Perez leaves game with hip injury
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Westbrook (elbow) to throw off mound Tuesday
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Corey Hart runs, takes batting practice Mon.
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Detwiler (back) hopeful of making next start
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Eric O'Flaherty to have Tommy John surgery
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Werth (hamstring) could be out two more weeks
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David Freese (thumb) scratched from lineup
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