Drew Silva

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2012 MLB Mock Draft

Friday, February 24, 2012


 


Round Five

5.49 Ben Zobrist
5.50 Starlin Castro
5.51 Dan Haren
5.52 Paul Konerko
5.53 Alex Rodriguez
5.54 Eric Hosmer
5.55 Zack Greinke
5.56 Michael Morse
5.57 Stephen Strasburg
5.58 Pablo Sandoval
5.59 Shane Victorino
5.60 BRIAN MCCANN

Observations: I like Castro plenty, but I was a bit miffed by his selection at No. 50 overall. The 27-year-old had a whopping 207 hits last year and should continue his streak of .300-plus seasons in 2012. But he has very little power and seems unlikely to sail past the 22 stolen bases that he registered in 2011. Shortstop is shallow, but there’s no need to rush into a pick. I grabbed McCann with the expectation that he’ll provide me at least 20 homers and 80 RBI at a position where it’s difficult to find such power.

Round Six

6.61 DAVID PRICE
6.62 Brett Lawrie
6.63 Elvis Andrus
6.64 Aramis Ramirez
6.65 Ian Kennedy
6.66 Jon Lester
6.67 Rickie Weeks
6.68 Desmond Jennings
6.69 Kevin Youkilis
6.70 Jimmy Rollins
6.71 B.J. Upton
6.72 James Shields

Observations: In Lawrie and Jennings, we have two promising young stars ready to get their fantasy due. Lawrie, a native of Canada, quickly became a fan favorite in Toronto last season after hitting nine home runs alongside a .953 OPS in his first 43 major league games. Jennings could be a 20 homers, 20 steals guy as soon as this year. I plucked Price because I didn’t think he’d last this long, and because I’m predicting him to win the 2012 American League Cy Young Award.

Round Seven

7.73 Michael Bourn
7.74 Lance Berkman
7.75 Alex Gordon
7.76 Jason Heyward
7.77 Josh Johnson
7.78 Yovani Gallardo
7.79 Shin-Soo Choo
7.80 Matt Cain
7.81 Joe Mauer
7.82 Craig Kimbrel
7.83 Ryan Howard
7.84 HOWIE KENDRICK

Observations: Here’s the round where risk begins to become a real factor. Berkman had a monstrous 2011 and should feel more comfortable back at first base in 2012, but can he really top last year’s production? Johnson made only nine starts last season due to shoulder issues, and do we really know what to expect from Mauer? I picked Kendrick thinking that he’s going to get a nice boost from the addition of Pujols. The second baseman should easily top last year’s 86 runs, and he provides a good amount of power at a position where that’s hard to come by.

Round Eight

8.85 ADAM JONES
8.86 Adam Wainwright
8.87 Alex Avila
8.88 Jhonny Peralta
8.89 Andre Ethier
8.90 Chris Young
8.91 Alexei Ramirez
8.92 Freddie Freeman
8.93 Corey Hart
8.94 Madison Bumgarner
8.95 Miguel Montero
8.96 Daniel Hudson

Observations: I couldn’t help shaking my head after watching Wainwright’s name pop up shortly after my selection of Jones. I like Jones fine, and was happy to add his combination of speed and power to my outfield, but Waino seems like a great value pick here in the eighth round. He’s been throwing flawless bullpen sessions in Cardinals camp and is on track for a normal spring training and regular season. That could mean 200 strikeouts and an ERA under 3.00.

Round Nine

9.97 Tommy Hanson
9.98 Jonathan Papelbon
9.99 Michael Pineda
9.100 Matt Wieters
9.101 C.J. Wilson
9.102 Yu Darvish
9.103 Jayson Werth
9.104 David Ortiz
9.105 Mark Reynolds
9.106 Mariano Rivera
9.107 Billy Butler
9.108 DREW STUBBS

Observations: Hanson and Wieters stand out as the best picks of Round Nine. Hanson threw only 130 innings last year, but he’s claiming to be over the shoulder problems that plagued him last year and is capable of ace-like numbers if health is on his side in 2012. Wieters is finally meeting the hype, having mashed a quiet 22 home runs last season for the O’s. I nabbed Stubbs with the hope that he can limit his strikeouts and threaten for 25 homers and 45 stolen bases.

Round Ten

10.109 MATT MOORE
10.110 Gio Gonzalez
10.111 John Axford
10.112 Ricky Romero
10.113 David Freese
10.114 Derek Jeter
10.115 Mat Latos
10.116 Dustin Ackley
10.117 Jeremy Hellickson
10.118 Drew Storen
10.119 Josh Beckett
10.120 Brett Gardner

Observations: Freese was a superhero in the 2011 postseason, but he’s probably being overvalued in fantasy drafts this year for that reason. The 28-year-old third baseman hit only 10 home runs in 97 regular-season games last year and has not proven capable of maintaining good health for a full major league schedule. I nabbed Moore after considering taking him a few rounds earlier. The 22-year-old left-hander had a 12.7 career K/9 in the minor leagues and showed that he was capable of handling high-pressure situations last October in the ALDS against the Rangers. He’s fully capable of rookie-year dominance.

Round Eleven

11.121 Emilio Bonifacio
11.122 Chris Carpenter
11.123 Michael Cuddyer
11.124 Nick Markakis
11.125 Martin Prado
11.126 Brandon Beachy
11.127 Jesus Montero
11.128 Heath Bell
11.129 Jose Valverde
11.130 Erick Aybar
11.131 J.J. Hardy
11.132 RYAN MADSON

Observations: Cuddyer seems like a nice value. He’s moving from the cavernous Target Field to the very hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field in Colorado. I survived the initial run on closers without biting, and was able to snag two excellent ninth-inning arms in my back-to-back picks here in rounds 11 and 12. Madson was great last season in Philadelphia and should get a ton of save opportunities this year on a Reds team that boasts great offense but suspect starting pitching. My guess is that many of their games will be high-scoring but close.

 


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Drew Silva is a baseball editor for Rotoworld and also contributes on NBC Sports' Hardball Talk. He can be found on Twitter.
Email :Drew Silva



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