Drew Silva

Draft Strategy

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Drafting With The Stars

Saturday, March 16, 2013

Round Five

5.57 Elvis Andrus, SS, TEX
5.58 Freddie Freeman, 1B, ATL
5.59 Shin-Soo Choo, OF, CIN
5.60 Yu Darvish, SP, TEX
5.61 CC Sabathia, SP, NYY
5.62 Aaron Hill, 2B, ARI
5.63 Jimmy Rollins, SS, PHI
5.64 Michael Bourn, OF, CLE
5.65 Austin Jackson, OF, DET
5.66 Brandon Phillips, 2B, CIN
5.67 Anthony Rizzo, 1B, CHC
5.68 Alex Gordon, OF, KC
5.69 Jose Altuve, 2B, HOU
5.70 Eric Hosmer, 1B, KC

MY PICK: Grabbing big-time power (Cano, Wright) and speed (Ellsbury) in the first three rounds allowed me to focus on my pitching for a couple of turns. Darvish fanned 221 batters in 191 1/3 innings last season and is on a Rangers team that should win close to 90 games in 2013. If he can figure out his control issues, he will be a hugely productive fantasy starter.

OBSERVATIONS: Choo this high was a surprise, but I have no argument against it. He’s going serve as the leadoff man atop a really good Reds lineup and probably has 25-homer potential now that he’ll be playing half of his games at Great American Ball Park. Choo is also good for 20 steals. … I think the Rizzo love is warranted too. The 23-year-old first baseman is ready to explode. … Altuve at 69th overall isn’t a stretch either. He’s fast, plays at a very shallow fantasy position, and should have the green light this year on an awful Astros team.

Round Six

6.71 Melky Cabrera, OF, TOR
6.72 Ike Davis, 1B, NYY
6.73 R.A. Dickey, SP, TOR
6.74 Madison Bumgarner, SP, SF
6.75 Desmond Jennings, OF, TB
6.76 Joe Mauer, C, MIN
6.77 Ryan Howard, 1B, PHI
6.78 Chris Sale, SP, CWS
6.79 Martin Prado, 3B, ARI
6.80 Max Scherzer, SP, DET
6.81 Carlos Santana, C, CLE
6.82 Zack Greinke, SP, LAD
6.83 Asdrubal Cabrera, SS, CLE
6.84 Alex Rios, OF, CWS

MY PICK: It was time to get back into the power game. Catcher is deeper this year than it has been in any year in recent memory. Santana possesses legitimate 30-homer power and he’s on an improved Indians team.

OBSERVATIONS: Howard is having a huge spring and has looked fine on the bases. If he wasn’t so hot in the Grapefruit League, I think he would have fallen more. … There’s big hope this year for Scherzer, who went 6-1 with a 1.65 ERA and 71/14 K/BB ratio over his final 60 regular-season innings (10 starts) in 2012 … Greinke is falling in drafts because of the elbow problems he has experienced in Dodgers camp, but it would have been crazy for him to drop past the sixth round. He will be a great value here if he stays healthy.

Round Seven

7.85 Gio Gonzalez, SP, WAS
7.86 Kris Medlen, SP, ATL
7.87 Paul Konerko, 1B, CWS
7.88 Matt Moore, SP, TB
7.89 Roy Halladay, SP, PHI
7.90 Aroldis Chapman, SP, CIN
7.91 Mark Trumbo, OF, LAA
7.92 Carlos Gomez, OF, MIL
7.93 Mat Latos, SP, CIN
7.94 James Shields, SP, TB
7.95 Mike Napoli, C, BOS
7.96 Jonathan Papelbon, RP, PHI
7.97 Yovani Gallardo, SP, MIL
7.98 Angel Pagan, OF, SF

MY PICK: I drafted Moore within the first 100 picks in more than one draft last season and it turned out fine. This year, I think it’s going be a much safer bet. The 23-year-old left-hander struck out 175 batters in 177 1/3 innings last season while making all the necessary adjustments to big league life. He had a 12.7 K/9 in the minors.

OBSERVATIONS: Halladay posted his worst ERA (4.49) in 12 years last season and has displayed sluggish velocity in Phillies camp this spring. I’m not touching him, unless he falls absurdly far.  … Chapman is a solid pick here in the seventh round. If the Reds stick to the plan and make him a starter, he will carry 200-strikeout potential. If he heads back to the bullpen, he should again be a dominant closer. … I was hoping Napoli would be there for my eighth-round pick. I think the hip issues have taken away from the fact that he’s a great fit at Fenway Park. If he stays clear of the disabled list, he should generate excellent power totals.

Round Eight

8.99 Chris Davis, OF, BAL
8.100 Michael Cuddyer, OF, COL
8.101 Rickie Weeks, 2B, MIL
8.102 Rafael Soriano, SP, WAS
8.103 Victor Martinez, C, DET
8.104 Mike Moustakas, 3B, KC
8.105 Dan Haren, SP, WAS
8.106 Johnny Cueto, SP, CIN
8.107 Brandon Morrow, SP, TOR
8.108 Justin Morneau, 1B, MIN
8.109 Erick Aybar, SS, LAA
8.110 Jason Motte, RP, STL
8.111 Shane Victorino, OF, BOS
8.112 Fernando Rodney, RP, TB

MY PICK: You have to draft a shortstop at some point and I decided to take the plunge here in the eighth round. Aybar gives me more speed and is expected to bat this season in between Mike Trout and Albert Pujols. That means good potential for high run and RBI totals.

OBSERVATIONS: V-Mart has been available outside the first 100 picks in a majority of the drafts that I’ve participated in this spring. Which makes him a pretty great value. He’s eligible at catcher and can provide major counting stats from the heart of the Tigers’ lineup … Morrow isn’t going to be selected this early in most drafts, but he posted a 2.96 ERA and struck out 108 batters in 124 2/3 innings last season when healthy and he has enjoyed a problem-free spring. The talented 28-year-old is the right kind of guy to take a chance on. … Soriano, Motte and Rodney were all selected in this round. The second tier of closers usually goes quickly.

Round Nine

9.113 Curtis Granderson, OF, NYY
9.114 Jordan Zimmermann, SP, WAS
9.115 Neil Walker, 2B, PIT
9.116 Carlos Beltran, OF, STL
9.117 Mariano Rivera, RP, NYY
9.118 David Freese, 3B, STL
9.119 Yadier Molina, C, STL
9.120 Chase Utley, 2B, PHI
9.121 Josh Willingham, OF, MIN
9.122 Nick Markakis, OF, BAL
9.123 Adam Eaton, OF, ARI
9.124 Nick Swisher, OF, CLE
9.125 Hunter Pence, OF, SF
9.126 Pedro Alvarez, 3B, PIT

MY PICK: I was feeling good about my rotation (Wainwright, Darvish, Moore) and my speed (Ellsbury, Aybar) and wanted to spend a few rounds getting as many legitimate power bats as I could. Those do run out eventually. Beltran, who had 32 home runs and 97 RBI last season for St. Louis, felt like a nice fit as my second of four starting outfielders. The Cardinals will give him regular days off to keep him healthy.

OBSERVATION: Granderson is going to be a steal this year for owners who are willing to practice a little patience. He had 43 homers, 102 runs, 106 RBI and 10 stolen bases last season and should return from his forearm fracture at some point in May. … Eaton could once be considered a sleeper, but that’s not really the case anymore. He hit .375 with a .456 on-base percentage and 44 stolen bases in 130 minor league games last season and is going to bat leadoff this year for the Diamondbacks. Chase Field should treat him very well.

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Drew Silva is a baseball editor for Rotoworld and also contributes on NBC Sports' Hardball Talk. He can be found on Twitter.
Email :Drew Silva

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