Drew Silva

Draft Strategy

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Drafting With The Stars

Saturday, March 16, 2013

Round 16

16.211 Danny Espinosa, 2B, WAS
16.212 Jesus Montero, C, SEA
16.213 Manny Machado, 3B, BAL
16.214 Jarrod Parker, SP, OAK
16.215 Alexei Ramirez, SS, CWS
16.216 Alfonso Soriano, OF, CHC
16.217 A.J. Burnett, SP, PIT
16.218 Dayan Viciedo, OF, CWS
16.219 Kyuji Fujikawa, RP, CHC
16.220 Justin Smoak, 1B, SEA
16.221 J.J. Hardy, SS, BAL
16.222 Josh Beckett, SP, LAD
16.223 Vinnie Pestano, RP, CLE
16.224 Hiroki Kuroda, SP, NYY

MY PICK: I already had shortstop covered with Aybar, but Hardy was such a great value here in the 16th round that I opted to go ahead and fill my MI opening. Hardy has 52 home runs in his last 287 games.

OBSERVATIONS: Espinosa has some stink to him this year because he led the National League in strikeouts (with 189) last season, but he had 17 home runs and 20 stolen bases between all those whiffs. That’s serious production at second base, and he’s also eligible at shortstop in Yahoo! leagues. … Fujikawa and Pestano are both ticketed for setup jobs and this is not a league where holds count, but it’s always good to stash relievers who are next in line for saves. Smart owners think a couple moves ahead. … Smoak only got drafted in this league because of the CI spot and the two UTIL spots. He had a brutal .654 OPS last year for Seattle.

Round 17

17.225 Matt Garza, SP, CHC
17.226 Tyler Colvin, OF, COL
17.227 Alexi Ogando, SP, TEX
17.228 Kevin Youkilis, 3B, NYY
17.229 Michael Saunders, OF, SEA
17.230 Homer Bailey, SP, CIN
17.231 Mark Teixeira, 1B, NYY
17.232 A.J. Pierzynski, C, TEX
17.233 David Murphy, OF, TEX
17.234 Jeremy Hellickson, SP, TB
17.235 Wil Myers, OF, TB
17.236 Frank Francisco, RP, NYM
17.237 Lance Lynn, SP, STL
17.238 Al Alburquerque, RP, DET

MY PICK: Youkilis had 15 home runs and 46 RBI in 80 games with the White Sox last season after being traded away from Boston in late June. I’m hoping he holds that pace in his move to New York. He’ll hit in the heart of a good lineup and was not a bad option for my CI spot.

OBSERVATIONS: I wasn’t committed to taking him, but I did have Ogando in my queue when he was selected at 227th overall -- a pick before mine. The 29-year-old right-hander is moving back into the Rangers’ rotation and boasts a 3.12 career ERA and 1.10 career WHIP. … Teixeira fell incredibly far in this draft, even with first base looking a little shallower than normal. He’s going to miss all of April with a strained right wrist and batted just .251/.332/.475 last season. … Myers is a nice stash. He should be up with the Rays in June.

Round 18

18.239 Ryan Vogelsong, SP, SF
18.240 Ryan Ludwick, OF, CIN
18.241 Trevor Cahill, SP, ARI
18.242 Garrett Jones, 1B, PIT
18.243 Yonder Alonso, 1B, SD
18.244 Daniel Murphy, 2B, NYM
18.245 Sergio Santos, RP, TOR
18.246 Andrelton Simmons, SS, ATL
18.247 Marco Scutaro, 2B, SF
18.248 Jurickson Profar, SS, TEX
18.249 Drew Stubbs, OF, CLE
18.250 Chris Carter, OF, HOU
18.251 Justin Ruggiano, OF, MIA
18.252 Aaron Hicks, OF, MIN

MY PICK: Stubbs strikes out a ton and batted just .213 with a .277 on-base percentage in 544 plate appearances last season for the Reds. But he’s fast and has power, and for his career he averages 20 home runs and 37 stolen bases for every 162 games. Maybe he’ll figure out the whole plate discipline thing in Cleveland.

OBSERVATIONS: This is where the scrap work begins. Every player carries a question mark but you can win leagues with your decisions in these rounds. … Profar doesn’t have a direct path right now to regular playing time in Texas, but that can change at any moment. He’s the best prospect in baseball and can produce good numbers at one of two (SS, 2B) premium fantasy positions. … Hicks is firmly in the race for the Twins’ starting center field job and would be a great score here at 252nd overall if he wins it. The talented 23-year-old batted .286/.384/.460 with 13 home runs and 32 stolen bases in 129 games last season at Double-A New Britain.

Round 19

19.253 Wade Miley, SP, ARI
19.254 Trevor Plouffe, 3B, MIN
19.255 Tyler Greene, SS, HOU
19.256 Shelby Miller, SP, STL
19.257 Domonic Brown, OF, PHI
19.258 Leonys Martin, OF, TEX
19.259 Hisashi Iwakuma, SP, SEA
19.260 Carlos Quentin, OF, SD
19.261 Michael Fiers, SP, MIL
19.262 Michael Brantley, OF, CLE
19.263 Matt Carpenter, 2B, STL
19.264 Jonathan Lucroy, C, MIL
19.265 Yunel Escobar, SS, TB
19.266 Brandon Moss, 1B, OAK

MY PICK: The Cardinals still haven’t decided whether Miller or Joe Kelly will be their fifth starter. If Miller wins the job, he will shoot up fantasy draft boards. If it goes to Kelly, he’ll make for a decent flier in deep mixed leagues. Miller posted a 1.32 ERA and 16/4 K/BB ratio over his first 13 2/3 MLB innings last season. He has a high, high ceiling.

OBSERVATIONS: Martin is on pace to claim the Rangers’ starting center field gig and the sky is the limit for him if he’s getting everyday at-bats. The powerful young Cuban hit .359/.422/.610 with 12 home runs, 42 RBI and 10 stolen bases in 55 games last season at Triple-A Round Rock. … Carpenter has impressed the Cardinals’ decision-makers this spring in his transition to second base and appears likely to start there this summer. He batted .294/.365/.463 in 114 games last season with St. Louis and possesses some pop.

Round 20

20.267 David Robertson, RP, NYY
20.268 David Hernandez, RP, ARI
20.269 Erasmo Ramirez, SP, SEA
20.270 Colby Rasmus, OF, TOR
20.271 Andrew Cashner, SP, SD
20.272 Dillon Gee, SP, NYM
20.273 Chris Young, OF, OAK
20.274 Dan Straily, SP, OAK
20.275 Chris Tillman, SP, BAL
20.276 Juan Pierre, OF, MIA
20.277 Travis Hafner, UTIL, NYY
20.278 Mark Reynolds, 3B, CLE
20.279 Ryan Doumit, C, MIN
20.280 Jason Hammel, SP, BAL

MY PICK: Hafner felt like a good fit for one of my UTIL spots. He owns a .925 career OPS against right-handed pitching and should fall in love with that short right field porch at Yankee Stadium.

OBSERVATIONS: Cashner has recovered from his offseason hunting accident and is worth the risk this late. The hard-throwing 26-year-old owns an 8.9 career K/9 in the majors and has the benefit of making his home starts at Petco Park. … Pierre will turn 36 years old this season, but he’s still a great third or fourth fantasy outfielder for a team that needs a heavy dose of speed. He hit .307 with 37 stolen bases in 44 attempts last year.

Round 21

21.281 Jeff Keppinger, 3B, CWS
21.282 Brandon McCarthy, SP, ARI
21.283 Denard Span, OF, WAS
21.284 Ryan Dempster, SP, BOS
21.285 Andrew Bailey, RP, BOS
21.286 Adam Lind, 1B, TOR
21.287 Edwin Jackson, SP, CHC
21.288 Cody Ross, OF, ARI
21.289 Oscar Taveras, OF, STL
21.290 Tommy Milone, SP, OAK
21.291 Nolan Arenado, 3B, COL
21.292 Eduardo Nunez, SS, NYY
21.293 Derek Holland, SP, TEX
21.294 Justin Maxwell, OF, HOU

MY PICK: Dempster registered a 3.38 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 153/52 K/BB ratio in 173 innings last season between the Cubs and Rangers. I don’t buy the idea that he can’t pitch in the American League and I think he will be a fine fantasy starter this year in Boston. He's my seventh starter.

OBSERVATIONS: Taveras is another one of those high-upside stashes that I like. He hit .321/.380/.572 with 23 home runs and 94 RBI in 124 games last season at Double-A Springfield and is a Beltran knee injury away from reaching the major leagues. … Arenado, yet another good late-round stash, doesn’t have anyone blocking him in Colorado and should take over as the Rockies’ starting third baseman at some point in 2013.

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Drew Silva is a baseball editor for Rotoworld and also contributes on NBC Sports' Hardball Talk. He can be found on Twitter.
Email :Drew Silva

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