Nick Nelson

The Week Ahead

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Home Away From Home

Friday, April 26, 2013


With many starting pitchers -- even some of the great ones -- fantasy owners have to be a little wary of plugging them into the lineup for starts on the road. Some players are just completely different guys away from their home parks.

 

Stephen Strasburg is not one of them.

 

The 24-year-old phenom is off to typically strong start this year, with a 3.16 ERA through five starts (although he's 1-4 thanks to a lack of support). As long as he's healthy, Strasburg is about as reliable as it gets for a fantasy starter, and that's true whether he's at home or on the road. In his young career, his ERA at Nationals Park (2.91) is nearly identical to his mark elsewhere (2.98). Although he's had a greater tendency to issue walks in road starts, he's also been more strikeout proficient (10.2 K/9 home vs. 11.7 away) and much less homer-prone (0.97 HR/9 home vs. 0.50 away).

 

You could make a case that, from a fantasy perspective, Strasburg has actually been a better bet on the road than at home, so his owners should be plenty excited to see him lined up for starts in Atlanta and Pittsburgh next week. He's one of many highly attractive two-start options in the National League, joining Adam Wainwright, Jaime Garcia, Wandy Rodriguez, Mat Latos and others.

 

 


Going Twice…

American League

Strong Plays

 

Yu Darvish: CWS (Quintana), BOS (Lester)

Andy Pettitte: HOU (Harrell), OAK (Anderson)

James Shields: TB (Cobb), CWS (Quintana)

Wade Davis: CLE (McAllister), CWS (Axelrod)

Max Scherzer: MIN (Pelfrey), @HOU (Harrell)

Justin Verlander: MIN (Worley), @HOU (Humber)

Jon Lester: @TOR (Morrow), @TEX (Darvish)

 

Decent Plays

 

Alex Cobb: @KC (Shields), @COL (Chatwood)

Brett Anderson: LAA (Hanson), @NYY (Pettitte)

Garrett Richards: @OAK (Parker), BAL (Hammel)

Jose Quintana: @TEX (Darvish), @KC (Shields)

Zach McAllister: @KC (Davis), MIN (Pelfrey)

Jason Hammel: @SEA (Maurer), @LAA (Richards)

Miguel Gonzalez: @SEA (Saunders), @LAA (Hanson)

 

At Your Own Risk

 

Brandon Morrow: BOS (Lester), SEA (Saunders)

Joe Saunders: BAL (Gonzalez), @TOR (Morrow)

Mike Pelfrey: @DET (Scherzer), @CLE (McAllister)

Lucas Harrell: @NYY (Pettitte), DET (Scherzer)

Philip Humber: @NYY (Kuroda), DET (Verlander)

 

 

National League

Strong Plays

 

Stephen Strasburg: @ATL (Teheran), @PIT (Locke)

Jaime Garcia: CIN (Arroyo), @MIL (Estrada)

Adam Wainwright: CIN (Latos), @MIL (Gallardo)

Matt Cain: @ARI (Kennedy), LAD (Lilly)

Wandy Rodriguez: @MIL (Gallardo), WAS (Gonzalez)

Matt Harvey: @MIA (Fernandez), @ATL (Hudson)

Mat Latos: @STL (Wainwright), @CHC (Jackson)

Jeff Samardzija: SD (Richard), CIN (Cingrani)

 

Decent Plays

 

Gio Gonzalez: @ATL (Hudson), @PIT

Edinson Volquez: @CHC (Jackson), ARI (Kennedy)

Clayton Richard: @CHC (Samardzija), ARI (Corbin)

Roy Halladay: @CLE (Kluber), MIA (Slowey)

Marco Estrada: PIT (McDonald), STL (Garcia)

Yovani Gallardo: PIT (Rodriguez), STL (Wainwright)

Kevin Slowey: NYM (Hefner), @PHI (Halladay)

Jose Fernandez: NYM (Harvey), @PHI

Edwin Jackson: SD (Volquez), CIN

Tim Hudson: WAS (Gonzalez), NYM (Harvey)

Ian Kennedy: SF (Cain), @SD (Volquez)

 

At Your Own Risk

 

Ted Lilly: COL (Chatwood), @SF (Cain)

Tyler Chatwood: @LAD (Lilly), TB (Cobb)

Julio Teheran: WAS (Strasburg), NYM (Niese)

 

 

 

Streamer City

 

The following pitchers are generally available in over 50 percent of fantasy leagues and have favorable match-ups this week:

 


American League

 

Tuesday, 4/30: Brandon Maurer vs. BAL

The rookie followed up a rocky start to the season with back-to-back quality starts against a potent Texas offense. He's worth a look in this home match-up against a more favorable lineup.

 

Thursday, 5/2: Roberto Hernandez

His results have been a little uneven, but Hernandez is racking up tons of strikeouts early on in his reclamation tour, which makes him intriguing.

 

 

National League


Tuesday, 4/30: Bronson Arroyo @ STL

The veteran right-hander has been rather excellent early on, consistency pitching deep into games while flashing exceptional command. We'll say if he can keep it going in St. Louie.

 

Tuesday, 4/30: Jorge De La Rosa @ LAD

De La Rosa has looked dominant but remains unowned in the vast majority of leagues after a bit of a slow start. Give him a spin in this road tilt against the Dodgers.

 

Thursday, 5/2: Travis Wood vs. SD

Another guy off to a very strong start, Wood owns a 2.08 ERA through four starts and should have little trouble dispatching the Padres at home.

 

 

Total Games


American League

 

6: BOS, CLE, CWS, MIN, NYY, OAK, SEA, TB, TEX, TOR

7: BAL, DET, HOU, KC, LAA

 

National League

 

6: ARI, CIN, COL, LAD, NYM, PHI, PIT, SF

7: ATL, CHC, MIA, MIL, SD, STL, WAS

 

 

Lefty/Righty Breakdowns


American League

 

BAL: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

BOS: 2 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

CLE: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

CWS: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP

DET: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

HOU: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

KC: 7 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP

LAA: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

MIN: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP

NYY: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

OAK: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP

SEA: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

TB: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

TEX: 2 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP

TOR: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

 

National League

 

ARI: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

ATL: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

CHC: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP

CIN: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

COL: 2 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP

LAD: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

MIA: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

MIL: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP

NYM: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

PHI: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

PIT: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

SD: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP

SF: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

STL: 7 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP

WAS: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

 

 

The Infirmary

 

You can get a full listing of injured players at Rotoworld's Injury Page but here's the latest on a few prominent players who have been out of action:

 

Jason Heyward: Out until early May (abdomen)

Ryan Hanigan: Out indefinitely (ribs)

Brett Myers: Out indefinitely (elbow)

Jhoulys Chacin: Out until early May (back)

Dayan Viciedo: Out until early May (ribs)

Chad Billingsley: Out for the season (elbow)

John Lannan: Out until early June (quad)

Franklin Gutierrez: Out indefinitely (hamstring)

Ryan Zimmerman: Out indefinitely (hamstring)



Nick Nelson is a frequent contributor to Rotoworld's baseball coverage and regularly blogs about the Minnesota Twins at Twins Daily. Follow him on Twitter at nnelson9.
Email :Nick Nelson



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