Matthew Pouliot

Strike Zone

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2014 Outfielder Rankings

Monday, July 22, 2013


Here are some very preliminary 2014 outfielder rankings for your perusal. Try not to take the lists all too seriously; I haven't actually done projections for any of these players and many, many changes will be in store for the first official rankings in January.

 

These aren't true keeper rankings, since only the 2014 season is being taken into consideration here. But if you're looking to make trades in keeper leagues in the coming weeks, I hope this piece will help you along.

 

 

Follow us at @Rotoworld_BB and @matthewpouliot on Twitter.

 

 

Click to see other preliminary 2014 rankings:

Top 300 | SP | RP | OF | 1B | 2B | SS | 3B | C | DH

 

 

 

2014 Outfielder Rankings

 

 

 

  • It's a different order, of course, but at the moment, I have the same top 13 for next year that I did for this season. Braun would have been back at No. 2 if not for the suspension possibility looming. Stanton could come in as high as No. 3 if he's traded this winter or drop back down to ninth or 10th if he stays put in Miami. Cespedes and Heyward could be overtaken by other outfielders if they don't close in strong fashion this year.

 

  • Cruz also dropped some because of his own Biogenesis relationship, but his stock would have been down a bit regardless, since I don't think it's likely that he re-signs with the Rangers as a free agent.

 

  • Besides Cruz, the top outfield free agents are Ellsbury, Choo, Granderson, Pence and Beltran. Ellsbury would come in fourth if he were certain to be back with the Red Sox. It's more likely that he departs as a free agent, and since that probably means he'll end up leading off for a worse offense in a lesser hitter's ballpark, he comes in 10th. Choo and Granderson likewise are a few spots lower than they'd be with their current teams. Pence, on the other hand, could find himself in a better offensive park if he leaves San Francisco.

 

  • Billy Hamilton and Yelich haven't made their major league debuts just yet, but I couldn't resist putting them in the top 40. Maybe it was a bit aggressive. Hamilton, though, has definite top-20 potential if he can convince the Reds to make him their everyday center fielder and leadoff hitter. If he starts 140 games next year, he'll be a shoo-in for 70 steals and probably top 80. Of course, he's still far from a lock to get the job; he's hitting a very modest .243/.300/.331 in Triple-A this year. Yelich is the safer bet, I think. He doesn't have the same kind of upside for 2013, but he should be a quality regular right away.

 

  • Taveras comes in at No. 65. He's missed some time in Triple-A, and while he's been perfectly solid when healthy (.306/.341/.462), he hasn't met the very lofty expectations he helped fuel this spring. It'll be interesting to see how the Cardinals play things this winter. Beltran is having a great year and he might be open to taking less money to stay in St. Louis, but he is expendable, not only because of Taveras but because Allen Craig can play right field to open up first base for Matt Adams. The Cardinals also have the option of re-signing Beltran and trading Jay.

 

  • I can't end this section without commenting on Puig, right? He's essentially played one-quarter of a season in his major league career, and quadrupling his current totals would give him 32 homers, 112 runs scored, 76 RBI and 20 steals in 604 at-bats. To go along with his .391 average. That'd be the line of a top-five fantasy outfielder even with a much more modest average. Of course, he'd also have a 144/28 K/BB ratio, which isn't quite so promising. I think he's more likely to hit 30 homers than bat .300 next year. One big question, at least for fantasy purposes, is what kind of basestealer he's going to be. He's just as aggressive on the basepaths as in the field, and he seems to see himself as a 30-steal guy. But while he has the speed, his technique is lacking, and throwing in that additional injury likelihood that comes with every steal, the Dodgers may well be better off if he doesn't attempt 30-40 steals next year. Anyway, I'm ranking him 24th at the moment. I'll go higher if he manages to bat .300 or better in the second half.

 

 

2014OutfieldTeam2013July
1 Mike Trout Angels 1 1
2 Carlos Gonzalez Rockies 3 2
3 Bryce Harper Nationals 5 7
4 Matt Kemp Dodgers 4 25
5 Giancarlo Stanton Marlins 8 9
6 Justin Upton Braves 6 3
7 Ryan Braun Brewers 2 27
8 Andrew McCutchen Pirates 12 4
9 Adam Jones Orioles 13 5
10 Jacoby Ellsbury   9 6
11 Jose Bautista Blue Jays 7 8
12 Yoenis Cespedes Athletics 11 10
13 Jason Heyward Braves 10 15
14 Starling Marte Pirates 42 19
15 Jay Bruce Reds 17 12
16 Desmond Jennings Rays 20 29
17 Alex Gordon Royals 16 16
18 Domonic Brown Phillies 61 18
19 Austin Jackson Tigers 22 20
20 Shin-Soo Choo   23 13
21 Matt Holliday Cardinals 15 14
22 Carlos Gomez Brewers 46 11
23 Alex Rios White Sox 18 17
24 Yasiel Puig Dodgers 127 33
25 Hunter Pence   28 21
26 Josh Hamilton Angels 21 24
27 Carl Crawford Dodgers 25 26
28 Curtis Granderson   31 38
29 Dexter Fowler Rockies 40 30
30 B.J. Upton Braves 19 28
31 Carlos Beltran   41 32
32 Michael Bourn Indians 29 31
33 Wil Myers Rays 92 45
34 Billy Hamilton Reds 35 SS 36 SS
35 Christian Yelich Marlins 84 91
36 Nelson Cruz   36 23
37 Jayson Werth Nationals 30 36
38 Michael Cuddyer Rockies 43 22
39 Brett Gardner Yankees 38 43
40 Josh Reddick Athletics 32 35
41 Ben Revere Phillies 34 50
42 Alejandro De Aza White Sox 48 44
43 Chris Young * 65 75
44 Coco Crisp * 66 42
45 Michael Brantley Indians 39 47
46 Leonys Martin Rangers 70 54
47 Andre Ethier Dodgers 33 61
48 Nick Markakis Orioles 24 39
49 Angel Pagan Giants 37 NR
50 Alfonso Soriano Cubs 45 48
51 Ichiro Suzuki Yankees 14 37
52 Kyle Blanks Padres 161 59
53 Jackie Bradley Jr. Red Sox 86 NR
54 Torii Hunter Tigers 27 40
55 Chris Carter Astros 28 1B 24 1B
56 Adam Eaton Diamondbacks 78 80
57 Shane Victorino Red Sox 59 51
58 Gerardo Parra Diamondbacks 73 46
59 Nate McLouth   87 34
60 Melky Cabrera Blue Jays 26 52
61 Norichika Aoki Brewers 57 49
62 Colby Rasmus Blue Jays 68 68
63 Michael Morse   35 63
64 Josh Willingham Twins 50 53
65 Oscar Taveras Cardinals 105 NR
66 Will Venable Padres 55 65
67 Matt Joyce Rays 72 64
68 Aaron Hicks Twins 62 79
69 Peter Bourjos Angels 63 83
70 Cameron Maybin Padres 54 120
71 Denard Span Nationals 52 66
72 Jarrod Dyson Royals 103 60
73 Jon Jay Cardinals 44 76
74 George Springer Astros 202 NR
75 Dayan Viciedo White Sox 51 67
76 Marcell Ozuna Marlins NR 85
77 Nate Schierholtz Cubs 97 56
78 Jason Kubel * 56 72
79 Daniel Nava Red Sox 123 55
80 Lorenzo Cain Royals 64 70
81 Carlos Quentin Padres 71 77
82 Oswaldo Arcia Twins 212 88
83 Rajai Davis   98 69
84 Delmon Young   76 73
85 Raul Ibanez   128 58
86 Cody Ross Diamondbacks 69 84
87 Drew Stubbs Indians 83 78
88 Ryan Ludwick Reds 82 100
89 Jose Tabata Pirates 106 NR
90 Nick Castellanos Tigers 56 3B 40 3B
91 Eric Young Jr. Mets 96 57
92 David DeJesus   77 97
93 Andy Dirks Tigers 74 82
94 Mike Carp Red Sox 132 93
95 Avisail Garcia Tigers 136 109
96 David Murphy   53 71
97 Lucas Duda Mets 93 95
98 Franklin Gutierrez   67 112
99 Chris Heisey Reds 99 107
100 Nolan Reimold Orioles 80 108
101 Marlon Byrd Mets 107 86
102 Michael Saunders Mariners 75 74
103 Seth Smith Athletics 104 87
104 Chris Denorfia Padres 110 81
105 Grady Sizemore   147 NR
106 Jordan Schafer Braves 175 104
107 Anthony Gose Blue Jays 126 NR
108 Juan Pierre   49 96
109 Justin Maxwell Astros 89 103
110 Justin Ruggiano Marlins 95 92
111 John Mayberry Jr. Phillies 109 114
112 Jeff Baker   170 116
113 Jonny Gomes Red Sox 81 110
114 Henry Urrutia Orioles NR NR
115 Chris Parmelee Twins 32 1B 32 1B
116 Joc Pederson Dodgers NR NR
117 J.D. Martinez Astros 133 115
118 Vernon Wells Yankees 88 102
119 Tyler Colvin Rockies 102 125
120 Jeff Francoeur   85 106


Matthew Pouliot is the Executive Editor of RotoWorld.com and has been doing the site's baseball projections for the last 10 years. Follow him on Twitter at matthewpouliot.
Email :Matthew Pouliot



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