Glenn Colton

Week That Was

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Morneau on the Move?

Sunday, July 28, 2013


Morneau’s possible move highlights this week’s edition.

 

Before I get started, just a quick note to remind you to tune in to hear Rick Wolf and me on Colton and the Wolfman on SiriusXM fantasy sports radio (Sirius 210 XM 87)  in our new time slot Tuesday nights from 10pm-Midnight ET

 

Ok, now back to business . . .  

 

Justin Morneau:   Justin Morneau hit his eighth dinger Saturday.  That is a low number of HR for the slugger.  However, he also laced his 25th double of the year in the contest.  So, what do we make of the “warning track” power?  Well, I recommend following the rumors carefully.  If Morneau indeed ends up in a place like Baltimore (has been rumored) or Yankee Stadium (not rumored but I like it), there is a real chance those Target Field doubles become homers.  If you need to take some risks to win this year, Morneau could be one of those good risks that pan out.  Personally, I think he would do very well with a contender and I would like to see him get the chance.  Speculate. 

 

Chris Archer:  Chris Archer pitched a beauty Saturday, shutting out the Yankees 1-0.  Archer struck out six without a walk.  His July ERA logged in at a miniscule 0.73.  Yes, Alex Cobb is coming back.  However, it is Roberto Hernandez f/k/a Fausto Carmona who should be worried, not Archer.  If the Archer owner in your league is worried that Archer will be sent to the pen, put that owner out of his misery by fleecing the fool. 


Stephen DrewStephen Drew had one of those days his fantasy owners have been waiting oh so long for.  Drew went 3-4 with two home runs and five RBI.  Thus far this year, Drew has 7 home runs and 37 RBI in 72 games.  The question is whether this was a blip on the screen or a harbinger of good things to come.  Tough call.  Of course, drew has had a tough time staying healthy and his .231 average hardly inspires confidence.  On the other hand, when healthy, Drew routinely averaged double digit homers and a solid average.  Given that he plays in one of the most productive lineups in the bigs, those in need of MI’s should take notice.  This is a player who could be had cheaply now but if he has another good week, it will be too late.

 

Scott Feldman:   Scott Feldman was not very good Saturday, giving up 4 runs in five innings in a loss to the Red Sox.  Since being traded to the O’s, Feldman has posted a fat 5.12 ERA.  Many, including this author, doubted Feldman would succeed in the AL East.  So far, he has not.  There are warning signs that a recovery is not coming.  Thus far this year, Feldman’s velocity is down 1.5 MPH on his fastball and his BABIP is 56 points below last year (meaning his pre-Baltimore results had some luck).  If you own Feldman, hope he pitches well against the Mariners and then sell while you can. 


Mark Melancon:   Mark Melancon got his fourth save Saturday.  With Jason Grilli on this shelf, possibly for the rest of the year, Melancon is a big time commodity in fantasy.  If you have FAAB left, this is the place to spend.  First, even before becoming closer, Melancon was pitching lights out -- 0.91 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 48/7 K/BB ratio in 49 1/3 innings.  Moreover, Mark has been a successful closer in the past.  This one is a no brainer.  Buy! 


Wade Davis:   Wade Davis tossed 7 1/3 shutout innings Saturday to help the Royals beat the Pale Hose.  It will take a lot more than that one good outing to fix his ugly 5.50 ERA and 1.75 WHIP.  Is there any good news here?  Why, yes there is. First, Davis gets the Mets next – another tasty matchup as my radio partner Rick Wolf would say.  Second, his BABIP is up 100 points over last year.  That bad luck simply cannot be maintained.  Davis will still end the season as a disappointment but there is a buy low opportunity here for those in deep AL-only leagues.  There is also stream value for those in more shallow leagues.  Invest.


Tommy MiloneTommy Milone continues to pitch well and fly under the radar.  Yesterday, Milone gave up just one run in 7 innings to beat the Angels.  Thus far this year, Milone has 9 wins and a respectable 4.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 98/33 K/BB ratio in 129 2/3 innings.  Milone does not throw hard, does not pitch in a big market and is being overshadowed by Bartolo Colon.  However, Milone is exactly the type of low cost starting pitcher that finds himself on fantasy championship teams.  

 

And last and but not least, this from the Baron of the Bottom of the Page -- Schultz says:  “So what are we to make of Marlon Byrd? With absolutely no fanfare, the Mets outfielder has quietly compiled a .281, 17 HR, 58 RBI stat line and become a desirable commodity for contenders looking for a right handed bat for the stretch run. Veterans that have the skills to remain employed in the big leagues for several years are often just the right team, right place and right time away from having eminently successful seasons. For roto-purposes, these are the familiar names - the Reggie Sanders, the Lyle Overbays, the Matt Stairses - that can usually be found on the waiver wire at the beginning of any season. While often picked up as stopgaps, under-the-radar veterans can often be a key component in building a championship roto-squad.
 

A decade ago, Byrd debuted with the Phillies as a highly touted prospect but never lived up to expectations and never experienced any type of post-hype renaissance. Nonetheless, he's had sporadically useful seasons with the Rangers and Cubs, his most productive coming in Arlington in 2009. That little tidbit may come in handy if Texas' expressed desire to acquire a hitter leads to Byrd flying south for the rest of the season.
 

Nate Schierholtz is another outfielder that may be lurking on some leagues waiver wires. After years of toiling anonymously in San Francisco for years, Schierholtz brought his disappearing act to Philadelphia for one season before ending up in Chicago. With regular playing time, Schierholtz has cobbled together a .281, 13 HR 42 RBI stat line that falls above the norm for roto-players left unacquired in April. He too may be on the move, although a contender may not give the lefty hitter the playing time that keeps him roto-relevant.”

 

Response:  Those in deep leagues take heed.  Quality advice appears right above this response.



Glenn Colton is co-host of Colton and the Wolfman on SiriusXM Tuesdays 8-11pm ET and a long-time fantasy sports player, author of numerous print and electronic media fantasy sports articles, and a participant in expert leagues, including baseball's LABR league and football's FTSA experts league. Colton and Rick Wolf have won the AL LABR Championship three times and football's FTSA experts league four times. Colton joined Wolf in the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Hall of Fame in June of 2013. He can be found on Twitter .



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