Nick Nelson

The Week Ahead

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Week Ahead: Holy Jose!

Friday, August 16, 2013


Jose Fernandez has had a rookie season for the ages. Even though he just turned 21 at the end of July, the young right-hander has flat-out dominated major-league competition, with a 2.45 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 149/48 K/BB ratio in 140 innings. Opposing hitters have posted a paltry .190/.265/.269 hitting line against him.

The crazy thing? This kid is only getting better. Since the start of June, Fernandez is 6-2 with a 1.65 ERA and only 50 hits (two homers) allowed in 87 innings.

Fernandez is set to start twice in the coming week, with home tilts against the Dodgers and Rockies. He's obviously in the Strong Play category, and I imagine we'll be seeing him there quite frequently over the next decade or so.

 

More notes on The Week Ahead below...

 

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* Rangers are scheduled to face lefties in five of their six games. Make sure any Texas righty hitters are in your lineup.

* Alexi Ogando is scheduled to start for the Rangers Monday, which would make him a two-start guy, but shoulder soreness may push him back. Monitor his status closely. If he can't go, Josh Lindblom or Ross Wolf would likely get the nod.

* Ivan Nova's tremendous recent run has evidently gone unnoticed by most fantasy owners. The Yankee is 4-2 with a 1.89 ERA in seven starts since the beginning of June, but remains unowned in more than 50 percent of Yahoo! leagues. If he's available, grab him for his two starts against AL East opponents.

* I listed Rick Porcello as only a Decent Play because he hasn't fully gained my trust, but he's been pitching well lately and I'd be pretty confident letting him start against the Twins and Mets.

* Chris Capuano has been the definition of boom or bust. In five of his last 10 starts, he hasn't allowed a run; in the other five, he has a 9.98 ERA. With match-ups against one bad lineup (Miami) and one good lineup (Boston) he seems likely to keep up the Jekyll and Hyde act.

Going Twice…

American League

Strong Plays

David Price: @BAL (Gonzalez), NYY (Hughes)
Ivan Nova: TOR (Rogers), @TB (Archer)
Ervin Santana: CWS (Danks), WAS (Haren)
Jered Weaver: CLE (Salazar), @SEA (Harang)

Decent Plays

Mark Buehrle: @NYY (Hughes), @HOU (Lyles)
Alexi Ogando: HOU (Lyles), @CWS (Danks)
Jarrod Parker: SEA (Harang), @BAL (Gonzalez)
Rick Porcello: MIN (Pelfrey), @NYM (Gee)
John Danks: @KC (Santana), TEX (Ogando)
Danny Salazar: @LAA (Weaver), MIN (Pelfrey)
Jon Lester: @SF (Lincecum), @LAD (Capuano)
Miguel Gonzalez: TB (Price), OAK (Parker)

At Your Own Risk

Esmil Rogers: @NYY (Nova), @HOU (Cosart)
Aaron Harang: @OAK (Parker), LAA (Weaver)
Phil Hughes: TOR (Buehrle), @TB (Price)
Kyle Gibson: NYM (Gee), @CLE (Kazmir)
Mike Pelfrey: @DET (Porcello), @CLE (Salazar)
Jordan Lyles: @TEX (Ogando), TOR (Buehrle)

National League

Strong Plays

Jose Fernandez: LAD (Ryu), COL (Manship)
Patrick Corbin: @CIN (Cingrani), @PHI
Randall Delgado: @CIN (Arroyo), @PHI (Martin)
Kris Medlen: @NYM (Wheeler), @STL (Lynn)
Bronson Arroyo: ARI (Delgado), MIL (Estrada)
Tony Cingrani: ARI (Corbin), MIL (Thornburg)
Jorge De La Rosa: @PHI, @MIA (Turner)
Hyun-Jin Ryu: @MIA (Fernandez), BOS (Dempster)
Jacob Turner: LAD (Capuano), COL (De La Rosa)
Dillon Gee: @MIN (Gibson), DET (Porcello)
Francisco Liriano: @SD (Cashner), @SF (Lincecum)
A.J. Burnett: @SD (Ross), @SF (Vogelsong)
Shelby Miller: @MIL (Thornburg), ATL (Teheran)
Lance Lynn: @MIL (Lohse), ATL (Medlen)
Jordan Zimmermann: @CHC (Samardzija), @KC (Chen)

Decent Plays

Jeff Samardzija: WAS (Zimmermann), @SD (Stults)
Chris Rusin: WAS (Haren), @SD (Cashner)
Chris Capuano: @MIA (Turner), BOS (Lester)
Tyler Thornburg: STL (Miller), @CIN (Cingrani)
Andrew Cashner: PIT (Liriano), CHC (Rusin)
Tim Lincecum: BOS (Lester), PIT (Liriano)
Dan Haren: @CHC (Rusin), @KC (Santana)

At Your Own Risk

Jeff Manship: @PHI (Martin), @MIA (Fernandez)
Ethan Martin: COL (Manship), ARI (Delgado)
Ryan Vogelsong: BOS (Peavy), PIT (Burnett)

Streamer City

The following pitchers are generally available in over 50 percent of fantasy leagues and have favorable match-ups this week:

American League

Wednesday, 8/21: Felix Doubront @ SF
Doubront hasn't allowed more than three runs in a start since June, while the free-falling Giants can't do much of anything offensively as of late.

Wednesday, 8/21: Jeremy Guthrie vs. CWS
While he hasn't been entirely consistent, Guthrie has been solid in recent weeks and can be trusted to handle a weak Sox lineup at home.

Friday, 8/23: Garrett Richards @ SEA
Since rejoining the Angels rotation in late July, Richards has been excellent, with a 2.42 ERA and 546 opponents' OPS.

National League

Tuesday, 8/20: Tyson Ross vs. PIT
It's awfully tough to bet against Ross right now as well as he's been pitching. He's 3-1 with a 1.33 ERA in his last four turns.

Wednesday, 8/21: Jake Arrieta vs. WAS
Added to the Cubs rotation after piling up 39 strikeouts in 30 innings at Triple-A, Arrieta is a highly appealing option in this favorable home match-up.

Friday, 8/23: Charlie Morton @ SF
Morton has been having a nice year since hopping into the Pittsburgh rotation in June. In 11 starts, the righty is 4-3 with a 3.79 ERA, and has allowed only five homers in 61 innings.

Total Games

American League

6: BAL, BOS, CLE, CWS, HOU, KC, LAA, OAK, SEA, TB, TEX
7: DET, LAA, MIN, NYY, TOR

National League

6: ATL, MIL, NYM, SD
7: ARI, CHC, CIN, COL, LAD, MIA, PHI, PIT, SF, STL, WAS

Lefty/Righty Breakdowns

American League

BAL: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
BOS: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
CLE: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
CWS: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
DET: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
HOU: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
KC: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
LAA: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
MIN: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
NYY: 3 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP
OAK: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
SEA: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
TB: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
TEX: 1 vs. RHP, 5 vs. LHP
TOR: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP

National League

ARI: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
ATL: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
CHC: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
CIN: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
COL: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
LAD: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
MIA: 3 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP
MIL: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
NYM: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
PHI: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
PIT: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
SD: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
SF: 3 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP
STL: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
WAS: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP

The Infirmary

You can get a full listing of injured players at Rotoworld's Injury Page but here's the latest on a few prominent players who have been out of action:

Howie Kendrick: Out until late August (knee)
Cody Ross: Out for the season (hip)
Dan Uggla: Out until late August (eye)
Alex Avila: Out indefinitely (concussion)
Jeremy Hefner: Out until late September (elbow)
John Lannan: Out indefinitely (knee)
Colby Rasmus: Out until late August (ribs)
Josh Johnson: Out indefinitely (arm)



Nick Nelson is a frequent contributor to Rotoworld's baseball coverage and regularly blogs about the Minnesota Twins at Twins Daily. Follow him on Twitter at nnelson9.
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