Spencer Limbach

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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Wednesday

Wednesday, June 13, 2018


Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Mike Trout with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

Editor's Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Marcell Ozuna – OF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 7.9)

Tommy Pham – OF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 8.9)

Jose Martinez – IF – St. Louis (DRAFT Projection: 8.2)

 

Yesterday’s DRAFT MLB Strategy article began with this trio. They actually have lower projections despite a better matchup tonight. These capable St. Louis right-handed sluggers will step in against San Diego LHP Eric Lauer, who holds a 6.64 ERA and .409 wOBA split vs RHB on the season. The Cardinals check in with the highest run-scoring projection of the night, which is enough for me to boost these guys in the top ten overall hitters. Here are the new projections: Pham at 10.4 FP, Ozuna at 10.1 FP, and Martinez at 9.9 FP.

 

 

Zack Greinke – P – Arizona (DRAFT Projection: 11.2)

 

I’m looking at Greinke as the top options of Tier 2, settling in behind the top tier of Sale, Cole, Bauer, and deGrom. Take note that Greinke is playing in the afternoon slate (along with Sale and deGrom), so he won’t be available to those drafting this evening. No matter how you slice it, Greinke has been a confident fantasy option this season. It helps that his offense is piping hot at the moment, looking to give him plenty of run support to boost the fantasy numbers with a victory. The Vegas oddsmakers have faith in Greinke by assigning Pittsburgh with a very low run-scoring projection.

 

 

Didi Gregorius – IF – NY Yankees (DRAFT Projection: 8.1)

 

Gregorius made an appearance in the MLB GPP Plays column yesterday, and he didn’t disappoint with two solo homers vs Washington. Didi is such a force at home, flexing fantastic power upside with the ability to pull flyballs towards the short porch of right field in Yankee Stadium. Washington RHP Erick Fedde has a bright future ahead of him, but he has allowed 19 earned runs, 31 hits, and five homers through 21 innings over four major league starts in his career. There’s a chance Gregorius and company will get to him in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. I’m raising Didi’s projection closer to 9.7 FP.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Kenta Maeda – P – LA Dodgers (DRAFT Projection: 10.4)

 

There’s a chance Maeda could post a solid performance tonight. After all, he was fantastic with 14.2 scoreless innings and 20 strikeouts in two starts before succumbing to a hip injury that left him sidelined for nearly two weeks. The Dodgers’ pitcher is making his first appearance since coming off the disabled list, and we aren’t exactly sure what to expect. That uncertainty has me downgrading him in the grand scheme of things. He’s still draft-able, especially when looking towards the evening slate with less options, but I believe similarly projected pitchers like Happ, Berrios, Greinke, and Richards are safer bets.

 

 

Rhys Hoskins – OF – Philadelphia (DRAFT Projection: 10.0)

 

Hoskins has fallen into a rut after starting the season very strong. Frankly, I’m surprised to see his projection in the double digits, regardless of who he will be facing. As it turns out, he’s facing one of Colorado’s most consistent pitchers in left-hander Tyler Anderson. I believe there are better outfield options before looking towards Hoskins. These prospects include Pham, Ozuna, Springer, Blackmon, Peralta, Cain, Upton, and Braun – to name a few.

 

 

Francisco Lindor – IF – Cleveland (DRAFT Projection: 10.4)

Jose Ramirez – IF – Cleveland (DRAFT Projection: 10.3)

Edwin Encarnacion – IF – Cleveland (DRAFT Projection: 9.8)

Michael Brantley – OF – Cleveland (DRAFT Projection: 9.2)

 

This isn’t exactly a firm downgrade for the Cleveland offense, but I’m looking to drop each of them by at least half a fantasy point. White Sox RHP Dylan Covey has some pretty good stuff as it turns out, which is something he showed by tossing 11 scoreless innings with 14 strikeouts against the top-notch offenses of Milwaukee and Boston over his past two starts. There’s still a chance these Cleveland hitters could feast on CWS’ bullpen, but I’m hesitant to burn my high draft picks on them or stack several of them on my five-man DRAFT roster.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Pitcher rankings. The pitching pool is pretty deep tonight, as the second tier runs all the way through the top ten of these rankings. Things get a little more constricted when focusing on the evening slate, as Sale, deGrom, Happ, Greinke, Richards, and Gonzales will be crossed off the list. In that situation, greater emphasis is placed on Cole, Bauer, and Berrios.

 

  1. Chris Sale – Tier 1
  2. Gerrit Cole – Tier 1
  3. Trevor Bauer – Tier 1
  4. Jacob deGrom – Tier 1
  5. Zack Greinke – Tier 2
  6. J.A. Happ – Tier 2
  7. Jose Berrios – Tier 2
  8. Garrett Richards – Tier 2
  9. Luke Weaver – Tier 2
  10. Kenta Maeda – Tier 3
  11. Marco Gonzales – Tier 3
  12. Matt Boyd – Tier 3
  13. Dylan Covey – Tier 3

 

 

Mike Trout is the top overall hitter. Make no mistake about it. The DRAFT projections have him tied at seven, but he should probably be the first hitter selected in all leagues. He is on fire at the moment while looking at a confident righty/lefty matchup against Marco Gonzales of Seattle.  

 

 

Jake Lamb & Paul Goldschmidt are somewhat overrated. I wouldn’t scorn anyone who selects Goldy or Lamb in the first few rounds, but I personally believe they are overrated as top three hitters on this slate. They have both been swinging the bat very well, but Pittsburgh RHP Jameson Taillon is no slouch. I’m looking to downgrade both of these D-Back sluggers by about 0.5 to 0.7 fantasy points.



Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for Rotoworld. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.
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