Brian Brown

NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

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The Heluva Good! at The Glen

Tuesday, August 09, 2011


The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series moves to Watkins Glen International's 2.45 mile road course for the 22nd race of the 2011 season, the Heluva Good! at The Glen. Fantasy Cheat Sheet took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke to NASCAR contacts to provide you with the most accurate fantasy preview of Sunday's race.


When: Sunday, August 14, 2011; 1:19 p.m./et.


Weather: Sunny with a scattered T-storms around 75; wind out of the NNE at 7 mph. There is a 50 percent chance of precipitation.


The Track: Watkins Glen International

The Glen is a 2.45 mile road course. It has 11 turns including some of the only right-hand turns NASCAR drivers will make all season.


Key to Race: STEWART, ROBBY GORDON, AND BORIS

Tony Stewart has won five of the last nine races at The Glen and Jeff Gordon has visited Victory Lane four times at the track. Road course specialists like Marcos Ambrose, Boris Said, Juan Pablo Montoya, and Robby Gordon are always tough when right-hand turns are required. This is the weekend to sneak some "budget" drivers onto your roster and save the starts of drivers like Jimmie Johnson and Carl Edwards for when the Series returns to ovals.


Qualifying Procedures:

46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2011 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by qualifying on Saturday, August 13 at 11:40 pm/et.


Fantasy Cheat Sheet:

Top 5

No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart has won five of the last nine races at The Glen. We like his chances to make it six out of the last 10.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya won last year's edition of The Glen and is always tough on road courses. This is the weekend to use the No. 42.
No. 9 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose has been spectacular in road course races so far in his career. This is a good chance for him to add some positive to what has been mostly a negative season for the Tasmanian.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards has finished in the top 10 in seven of his last eight road course starts. He should make it another on Sunday.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy has been great at Watkins Glen the past three seasons. We like his chances.


6 to 10

No. 22 Kurt Busch: Busch's average finish in seven starts at Watkins Glen is 15th. He won last year's edition of The Glen and finished second this year at Infineon. He is a terrific choice.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has cracked the top five in four of his nine career starts at The Glen. He is a solid pick once again.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Road courses are where Gordon shines. He is a good sleeper choice to make the top 10.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has four career wins at Watkins Glen. He has struggled a little lately at the track, but the No. 24 is always a threat to win on road courses.
No. 51 Boris Said: Said teaches driving school for other Cup drivers on how to manage The Glen. The "Said Head" is a great option on Sunday.


11 to 20

No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has cracked the top 15 in seven of his nine career starts at The Glen, including a win in the 2006 race. He is a good option this weekend.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin had cracked the top 10 in six of his nine career road course starts, but has slumped badly the past two races. He will miss the top 10 this week.
No. 43 AJ Allmendinger: Allmendinger has finished inside the top 15 the past six road course races. He isn't a bad fourth driver on most fantasy teams.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has finished in the top 10 in just three of his 11 career starts at The Glen. He will be doing well to crack the top 15 this weekend.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has averaged a 19th place finish in his five career starts at The Glen. We expect he will finish right around his track average on Sunday.
No. 4 Kasey Kahne: Kahne proved he has figured out road courses with his win at Infineon in June of 2010. He will finish better than his average 18th place finish at The Glen, but we don't think he will be quick enough to crack the top 10.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has averaged a 17th place finish at Watkins Glen during his career. He was fast last year at The Glen and should be fast again this visit.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has been successful at Watkins Glen in the past. He will be a top 20 driver on Sunday.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex Jr. has finished in the top 20 in six of his 10 career road course starts. He is a decent fifth driver on fantasy teams this weekend.
No. 2 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski has back-to-back top 20 finishes in road course races. He has learned to make right-hand turns very quickly.


21 to 30

No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has made the top 10 just four times in 17 career starts at The Glen. There are better options this weekend.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has cracked the top 30 just four times in eight career starts at The Glen. He is too risky of a pick for our taste.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has 12 top five finishes, including three wins at The Glen during his career, but he hasn't had a ton of success lately at the track.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has worked hard to improve his driving skills on road courses, but the results have yet to materialize at Watkins Glen. He isn't much of an option.
No. 13 Casey Mears: Mears hasn't shown a heck of a lot on road courses. He is worth using in only the deepest leagues.
No. 37 Scott Speed: Speed has been a consistent top 25 finisher in road courses so far in his career.
No. 77 P.J. Jones: Road course guru, Jones takes the wheel of the Robby Gordon Racing's No. 77 car on Sunday. He is an interesting sleeper pick, but there are better options.
No. 20 Joey Logano: "Sliced Bread" hasn't embarrassed himself in his first five road course starts, but there are much more established road course warriors that are less risky picks this weekend.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard has averaged a 23rd place finish at The Glen during his career. He isn't a terrible option.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers was terrible at Infineon earlier this year. He isn't an option.


Field Fillers

No. 00 David Reutimann
No. 6 David Ragan
No. 36 Ron Fellows
No. 47 Bobby Labonte
No. 46 Andy Pilgrim
No. 32 Andrew Ranger
No. 78 Regan Smith
No. 34 David Gilliland
No. 38 Terry Labonte
No. 71 Andy Lally
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 50 T.J. Bell
No. 55 J.J. Yeley
No. 35 Dave Blaney
No. 60 Mike Skinner
No. 66 Michael McDowell


Brownie's Picks

Top Four:

1. Tony Stewart
2. Juan Pablo Montoya
3. Marcos Ambrose
4. Carl Edwards

Sleepers:

1. Boris Said
2. Marcos Ambrose

Bust of the Week

Dale Earnhardt Jr.



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