Brian Brown

NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

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FedEx 400

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series returns to Dover International Speedway's concrete palace for the 13th race of the 2013 season, the FedEx 400.  We looked at past performances, season trends, and spoke to NASCAR contacts to shed a light on how the field will finish on Sunday.



When:  Sunday, June 2, 2013; 1:15 p.m./et.



Weather:  Isolated T-Storms with a high of 84; wind out of the SSW at 16 mph.  There is a 30 percent chance of precipitation on race day.



The Track: Dover InternationalSpeedway


Dover is a one mile concrete oval with 24 degree banking in the turns and nine degree banking on the straight-aways. 





Dover International Speedway is the "Monster Mile".  The high-banked concrete track lets drivers run nearly wide-open the entire way around.  Getting the proper car setup is very tricky, so multiple-car teams have an even bigger advantage than normal.  Look for Hendrick Motorsports, Roush-Fenway Racing and Joe Gibbs Racing to lock up a majority of the top 10.



Qualifying Procedures:


43 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. 



Fantasy Cheat Sheet:


Top 5



No. 48 Jimmie Johnson:  Johnson dominated Dover in six of the last eight races.  He has eight career wins and 15 top 10 finishes in 22 starts at the Monster Mile.

No. 2 Brad Keselowski:  Keselowski won last fall’s race at Dover.  He will be a top five finisher this visit to the track.

No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has four career wins at Dover and he has cracked the top 12 in 11 of his last 14 starts at the track.  He is a great pick.

No. 29 Kevin Harvick:  Harvick has led just 11 laps at Dover since 2003, but finished strong last year.  He should have the No. 29 sled back inside the top five.

No. 99 Carl Edwards:  Edwards won the September 2007 race at Dover and has finished in the top five in seven of the last 12 races at the track.  He is a great pick to crack the top 10 again this weekend. 



6 to 10


No. 20 Matt Kenseth:  Kenseth won the 2011 spring race and the 2006 spring race at the Monster Mile, additionally he has had one of the best cars on the track three of the last six fall races.  He will be very fast again this weekend.

No. 5 Kasey Kahne:  Kahne has cracked the top 10 five times in 18 career starts at Dover.  He is worth rolling the dice on this weekend.

No. 18 Kyle Busch:  Rowdy won Dover's spring races in 2008 and in 2010.  This is the perfect track for his aggressive driving style.

No. 16 Greg Biffle:  Biffle won the September 2008 race at Dover and has led laps in eight of the past 16 races at the track.  He will be in the lead group all day.  

No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.:  Truex Jr. won the spring 2007 race at Dover and has been great at the place he considers his home-track.  He is a terrific sleeper pick this weekend.



11 to 20


No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.:  Junior has cracked the top 20 seven times in the past 16 races at Dover.  He will be good this weekend.

No. 11 Denny Hamlin:  Hamlin has had his fair share of struggles at the Monster.  He should finish just outside the top 10 this weekend.

No. 39 Ryan Newman:  Newman has been excellent atDoverduring his career.  In 19 Cup starts he has three wins and is always a contender to take the pole.  We like his chance this weekend.

No. 15 Clint Bowyer:  Bowyer has finished between fifth and 17th in all but two of his career starts at Dover.  He should finish in the teens again this weekend.

No. 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.:  Slick Rick finished 12th his first visit to Dover.  He is worth using in most leagues.

No. 31 Jeff Burton:  Burton has cracked the top 16 in 18 of the past 22 Dover races.  He is a solid third or fourth driver on all fantasy squads this weekend.

No. 14 Tony Stewart:  Stewart has cracked the top 15 just five times in his last 16 races at Dover.  If it becomes a fuel mileage race Mr. Smoke is your man, but Dover races don’t usually turn into conservative races.

No. 55 Mark Martin:  Dover is one of Mark Martin's favorite tracks.  He has been one of the best drivers at the Monster Mile the past three years.

No. 22 Joey Logano:  Logano is familiar with Dover from racing there many times in the Modified and Camping World East Series.  He will finish inside the top 20.

No. 51 Kurt Busch:  Busch has always qualified very well at Dover and was strong in two of the past four races at the track.  He should crack the top 25 this visit to the Monster Mile.



21 to 30


No. 9 Marcos Ambrose:  Ambrose was awesome last year at Dover.  He will notch another top 20 finish.

No. 43 Aric Almirola:  Almirola finished sixth at Dover last June.  He is worth using in most leagues.

No. 27 Paul Menard:  Menard has averaged a 20th place finish at Dover during his career.  He is a nice fifth driver in most fantasy leagues.

No. 47 Bobby Labonte:  Labonte has finished in the top 20 in seven of the past 14 races at Dover.  He is a decent value pick on Sunday. 

No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya:  Montoya has looked great in half of the last 10 races at Dover.  He won't crack the top 10 again, but a top 25 finish is expected.

No. 1 Jamie McMurray:  McMurray has had success at Dover during his career.  This is a great weekend to sneak the No. 1 driver into your lineup.

No. 51 Austin Dillon:  Dillion is always an option when he runs.  Take a chance on the youngster.

No. 10 Danica Patrick:  Don’t be tempted.

No. 78 Regan Smith:  Smith should reward with another top 30 finish. 

No. 13 Casey Mears:  Mears should sneak the No. 13 car into the top 30 with a little luck.



Field Fillers:


No. 83 David Reutimann

No. 34 David Ragan

No. 87 Joe Nemechek

No. 19 Mike Bliss

No. 93 Travis Kvapil

No. 44 Scott Riggs

No. 7 Dave Blaney

No. 98 Michael McDowell

No. 38 David Gilliland

No. 35 Josh Wise

No. 30 David Stremme

No. 33 Landon Cassill

No. 32 Timmy Hill



My Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Team for this Week:


A. Kevin Harvick

B. Carl Edwards

B. Martin Truex Jr.

C. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

Email :Brian Brown

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