The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series makes its third ever visit to Kentucky Speedway for the 17th race of the 2013 season, the Quaker State 400. Rotoworld.com’s Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke with NASCAR contacts to predict how the field should finish on Saturday.
When: Saturday, June 29, 2012; 7:45 p.m./et.
Weather: Partly cloudy with a high of 82; wind out of the WNW at 7 mph. There is a 30% chance of precipitation on race day.
The Track: Kentucky Speedway
Kansasis a 1.5 mile quad-oval. It has 14 degree banking in the corners, 10 degree banking in the tri-oval and four degree banking on the straight-aways.
Key to Race: WHO CAN FIGURE OUT THE SPEEDWAY FIRST?
Kentucky is another 1.5 mile oval which favors teams like Roush Fenway, Joe Gibbs Racing, and Hendrick Motorsports. Kyle Busch dominated the inaugural race at the track and Brad Keselowski ran away with last year’s edition. With very little statistics to base our predictions on we compared tracks intermediate length tracks like Kansas and Las Vegas that have similar configurations to help give a glimpse of Saturday’s race.
43 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy dominated the inaugural race at Kentucky and led the most laps last year. He should be cranking again this visit to the Bluegrass State.
No. 2 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski won at Kentucky last year and is a great driver on intermediate tracks. Use him in all leagues.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson took the pole and led 21 laps at Kentucky last year. He will be in the lead pack all day.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has been great on intermediate tracks the past two seasons. Get him active this weekend.
No. 20 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth was one of the top five rated drivers in the first two Kentucky races. He is a terrific pick.
6 to 10
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has been awesome at Kentucky and is usually very quick on intermediate tracks. He is one of our picks.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards is always a good-shoe on 1.5 mile ovals. He is one of our picks to finish inside the top 10 in Kentucky.
No. 5 Kasey Kahne: Kahne cruised to a second place finish at Kentucky last year. He should be used in most leagues.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has cracked the top 10 in both Kentucky races. He is a great option.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman always qualifies well on intermediate tracks like Kentucky and he finished fourth in 2011. He is an interesting pick.
11 to 20
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has cracked the top 20 in both races at Kentucky. He should have the No. 29 back in the top 20 once again.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex Jr. has been awesome at mid-distance tracks this season. Get him on your team this week.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has struggled in both races at Kentucky, but he is usually a great pick on this type of track. He will just fail to crack the top 10 this weekend.
No. 22 Joey Logano: Logano has won three Nationwide Series races at Kentucky, but he has struggled a bit in the Cup races at the track. He is only a decent pick.
No. 15 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has yet to crack the top 15 at Kentucky. He isn’t a top option this week.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart is just a top 15 choice this weekend. He has struggled a bit in the first two Kentucky races.
No. 9 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose has driven very well in the first two races at Kentucky. He is a definite option.
No. 27 Paul Menard: Menard is a decent value choice. He is worth using in deep leagues.
No. 43 Aric Almirola: Double-A has averaged just a 26th place finish at Kentucky. He should improve on his average this weekend.
No. 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Ricky has averaged a 19th place finish on intermediate length tracks so far this season. He is a great choice as your third driver.
21 to 30
No. 78 Kurt Busch: Busch has two top 20 finishes on intermediate length tracks this season. He is a decent option.
No. 47 A.J. Allmendinger: Allmendinger takes the wheel of the No. 47 car this weekend. He finished ninth at Kentucky last year and is a decent sleeper pick.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya has been mediocre at best on medium length tracks this season. He isn’t much of an option.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been terrible on tracks with similar distance to Kentucky this season. We predict more of the same from him.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton hasn’t done much at Kentucky the past two years. He isn’t an option.
No. 10 Danica Patrick: Danica has averaged just a 25th place finish on intermediate tracks this season. We don’t like her chances.
No. 51 Austin Dillon: Dillon is behind the wheel of the No. 51 car this weekend. He has plenty of talent and is a decent option for a fourth or fifth driver.
No. 13 Casey Mears: Mears has been just okay this season on intermediate tracks. Avoid him.
No. 55 Brian Vickers: Vickers has struggled so far at Kentucky and he hasn’t done much on intermediate tracks this season. He isn’t a great choice.
No. 34 David Ragan: Ragan has averaged a 27th place finish on intermediate tracks this year. He should finish right around his average.
No. 83 David Reutimann
No. 32 Ken Schrader
No. 38 David Gilliland
No. 93 Travis Kvapil
No. 7 Dave Blaney
No. 19 Mike Bliss
No. 30 David Stremme
No. 33 Landon Cassill
No. 35 Josh Wise
No. 36 J.J. Yeley
No. 44 Scott Riggs
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 98 Michael McDowell
My Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Team for this Week:
A. Kasey Kahne
B. Ryan Newman
B. Marcos Ambrose
C. A.J. Allmendinger