Brian Brown

NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

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The Sylvania 300

Wednesday, September 18, 2013


The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series moves to New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the 28th race of the 2013 season, the Sylvania 300.   NASCAR expert Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke to NASCAR contacts to provide you the most accurate fantasy preview of Sunday’s race.

 

 

When:  Sunday, September 22, 2013; 2:15 p.m./et.

 

 

Weather:  Showers with high around 66; wind out of the W at 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

 

 

The Track: New Hampshire MotorSpeedway

 

NHMS is a 1.058 mile flat-oval.  It has 12 degree banking on the corners with 2 degree banking on the straight-aways.  Ryan Newman has been great at NHMS during his career.  He earned his first career Nextel Cup victory at the track and has won two additional races at NHMS.  Kasey Kahne, Newman, Tony Stewart, Jimmie Johnson, Mark Martin, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin (twice), Clint Bowyer, and Brian Vickers have won the past 10 races at the track. 

 

 

Key to Race:  THAT ISONE BIG PAPERCLIP

 

NHMS is basically a big version ofMartinsville.  It is a mile long paperclip configuration with two long straight-aways with tight corners at the ends.  This race is always hard on brakes and tires.  The team that can figure out a setup that allows them to keep the brakes and tires fresh will have a big advantage.  Look for Ryan Newman, Clint Bowyer, Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon and Kyle Busch to have strong runs in Sunday's race. 

 

 

Qualifying Procedures:

 

43 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. 

 

 

Fantasy Cheat Sheet:

 

Top 5

 

No. 48 Jimmie Johnson:  Johnson has finished in the top 15 in all but three of his 23 career Cup starts at NHMS.   He won at the track in June of 2010 and is a great pick on Sunday.

No. 2 Brad Keselowski:  Keselowski has finished in the top six the past three races at the Magic Mile.  He is a good shoe to gamble on this weekend.

No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.:  Junior has finished in the top 10 in 10 of the last 21 races at NHMS.  He tested at the track this summer and should notch a top five this weekend.

No. 29 Kevin Harvick:  Harvick has 12 top 10 finishes in 25 career starts at NHMS.  He won the September 2006 race at track and should crack the top 10 again on Sunday.

No. 18 Kyle Busch:  Rowdy has cracked the top 10 five times in the past 14 races at NHMS.  He will be back inside the top five this trip up Route 106.

 

 

6 to 10

 

No. 15 Clint Bowyer:  Bowyer has dominated four of the last 11 races at NHMS.  If he can bring a similar setup to the track this weekend he will be fast again.

No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Between 1997 and 2001 Gordon was easily the top driver at NHMS, but then the Rainbow Warrior went into a serious slump at the track.  He has worked hard at his race setups at the Magic Mile and is once again a great option to take the checkers.

No. 5 Kasey Kahne:  Kahne won the July 2012 race and has been fast the past few visits to NHMS.  He is a good option this weekend.

No. 99 Carl Edwards:  Carl has had one of the better cars at NHMS the past few years, but it hasn’t translated to a win.  He will flirt with another top 10 finish this weekend.

No. 20 Matt Kenseth:  Kenseth has been good in four of the past seven races at NHMS.  He should finish just barely inside the top 10 on Sunday.

 

 

11 to 20

 

No. 16 Greg Biffle:  Biffle was fast in five of the past 10 NHMS races.  He should be blazing again this weekend.

No. 31 JeffBurton: Burtonhas an impressive history at NHMS.  In 35 starts at the track he has won four races.  He is a safe pick to finish inside the top 15 on Sunday.

No. 39 Ryan Newman:  In 22 Cup starts at the Magic Mile, Newman has 14 top 10 finishes, including three wins.  He is a solid pick in most fantasy leagues.

No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.:  Truex has five top eight finishes in the last 13 races at NHMS.  This is the weekend to use the No. 56 driver.

No. 43 Aric Almirola:  Almirola has run plenty of laps at NHMS during his career.  He finished fifth this summer at the track and should have the No. 43 inside the top 15 when the checkers fly in the Granite State.

No. 11 Denny Hamlin:  Hamlin won last year’s September race at NHMS and has finished in the top 10 in 10 of his last 15 Cup races at the track.  He is a good pick on Sunday.

No. 22 Joey Logano:  Logano won his first career Cup race at NHMS.  This is his home track and he has a lot of speed at the Magic Mile.

No. 78 Kurt Busch:  Busch has three career wins at NHMS including the July 2008 rain-shortened race.  With his past success at the track he is worth taking a gamble on.

No. 55 Brian Vickers:  Vickers shocked the NASCAR world when he won at NHMS earlier this summer.  He won’t take back-to-back victories at the track, but he should be fast enough to finish inside the top 20. 

No. 14 Mark Martin:  Martin has averaged a 15th place finish at NHMS during his career.  He should finish around his average this weekend in New Hampshire.

 

 

21 to 30

 

No. 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.:  Stenhouse has driven decent on flat tracks so far this season.  He is always worth taking a chance on.

No. 1 Jamie McMurray:  McMurray appeared to finally figure out NHMS’s tricky configuration during the past few races race.  He is a decent option.

No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya:  Montoya has averaged a 20th place finish at NHMS during his career.  He will finish right around his track-average on Sunday.

No. 9 Marcos Ambrose:  Ambrose averages a 22nd place finish at NHMS.  Based on how he has run this season, he should cross the finish line just a little slower this visit.

No. 27 Paul Menard:  NHMS has never been very kind to Menard.  He isn't much of a fantasy option this weekend.

No. 47 Bobby Labonte:  Labonte cruised to a seventh place finish at NHMS during the June 2010 race.  He is just a sleeper pick.

No. 83 David Reutimann:  Reutimann cracked the top 20 in seven of the last 11 races at NHMS.  He will just finish inside the top 30 this weekend.

No. 13 Casey Mears:  Mears has had limited success at NHMS.  We don’t like his chances to help your fantasy team this weekend.

No. 10 Danica Patrick:  Patrick has past experience at NHMS in the Indy Series.  We doubt it will provide much help.

No. 34 David Ragan:  Ragan has been very inconsistent at NHMS.  He should just make the top 30 again this weekend.

 

 

Field Fillers:

 

No. 33 Tony Raines

No. 38 David Gilliland

No. 51 Michael McDowell

No. 93 Travis Kvapil

No. 83 Joe Nemechek

No. 30 Kevin Swindell

No. 7 Dave Blaney

No. 36 J.J. Yeley

No. 98 Johnny Sauter

No. 95 Scott Riggs

No. 40 Landon Cassill

No. 35 Josh Wise

No. 32 Timmy Hill

 

 

Brownie's Picks

 

My Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Team for this Week:

 

A. Clint Bowyer

B. Kurt Busch

B. Joey Logano

C. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.




Email :Brian Brown



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