Brian Brown

NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

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The AAA 400

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series returns to Dover International Speedway's concrete palace for the 29th race of the 2013 season, the AAA 400.  We looked at past performances, season trends, and spoke to NASCAR contacts to shed a light on how the field will finish on Sunday.



When:  Sunday, September 29, 2013; 2:15 p.m./et.



Weather:  Partly cloudy with a high of 72; wind out of the SSW at 16 mph.  There is a 20 percent chance of precipitation on race day.



The Track: Dover InternationalSpeedway


Dover is a one mile concrete oval with 24 degree banking in the turns and nine degree banking on the straight-aways. 





Dover International Speedway is the "Monster Mile".  The high-banked concrete track lets drivers run nearly wide-open the entire way around.  Getting the proper car setup is very tricky, so multiple-car teams have an even bigger advantage than normal.  Look for Hendrick Motorsports, Roush-Fenway Racing and Joe Gibbs Racing to lock up a majority of the top 10.



Qualifying Procedures:


43 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. 



Fantasy Cheat Sheet:


Top 5



No. 48 Jimmie Johnson:  Johnson dominated at Dover in six of the last nine races.  He has eight career wins and 15 top 10 finishes in 23 starts at the Monster Mile.

No. 20 Matt Kenseth:  Is there anyone having a hotter streak than Kenseth right now?  He has brought one of the best cars to the Dover in three of the last six fall races.  He will be very fast again this weekend.

No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has four career wins at Dover and he has cracked the top 12 in 12 of his last 15 starts at the track.  He is a great pick.

No. 29 Kevin Harvick:  Harvick has led just 12 laps at Dover since 2003, but finished strong the fast few visits.  He should have the No. 29 sled back inside the top five.

No. 2 Brad Keselowski:  Keselowski won last fall’s race at Dover.  He will be a top five finisher this visit to the track.



6 to 10


No. 18 Kyle Busch:  Rowdy won Dover's spring races in 2008 and in 2010.  This is the perfect track for his aggressive driving style.

No. 99 Carl Edwards:  Edwards won the September 2007 race at Dover and has finished in the top five in seven of the last 13 races at the track.  He is a great pick to crack the top 10 again this weekend. 

No. 5 Kasey Kahne:  What exactly happened to Kahne at New Hampshire last weekend?  Did anyone catch his weird interview following the race?  He has cracked the top 10 five times in 19 career starts at Dover and is worth rolling the dice on this weekend.

No. 16 Greg Biffle:  Biffle won the September 2008 race at Dover and has led laps in eight of the past 17 races at the track.  He will be in the lead group all day.  

No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.:  Truex Jr. won the spring 2007 race at Dover and has been great at the place he considers his home-track.  He is a good pick this weekend.



11 to 20


No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.:  Junior has cracked the top 20 eight times in the past 17 races at Dover.  He will be good again this weekend.

No. 15 Clint Bowyer:  Bowyer has finished between fifth and 17th in all but two of his career starts at Dover.  He should finish in the teens again this weekend.

No. 11 Denny Hamlin:  Hamlin has had his fair share of struggles at the Monster.  He should finish just outside the top 10 this weekend.

No. 39 Ryan Newman:  Newman has been excellent atDoverduring his career.  In 20 Cup starts he has three wins and is always a contender to take the pole.  We like him this weekend.

No. 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.:  Slick Rick finished 12th and 13th his first two Cup visits to Dover.  He is worth using in most leagues.

No. 31 Jeff Burton:  Burton has cracked the top 16 in 19 of the past 23 Dover races.  He is a solid third driver on all fantasy squads this weekend.

No. 14 Mark Martin:  Dover is one of Mark Martin's favorite tracks and he has been one of the best drivers at the Monster Mile the past three years.

No. 22 Joey Logano:  Logano is familiar with Dover from racing there many times in the Modified and Camping World East Series.  He will finish inside the top 20.

No. 78 Kurt Busch:  Busch has always qualified very well at Dover and was strong in three of the past five races at the track.  He should easily crack the top 20 this visit to the Monster Mile.

No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya:  Montoya finished second at Dover earlier this year.  This is a good time to have No. 42 active on your roster.



21 to 30


No. 55 Brian Vickers:  Vickers has done well in the No. 55 car and he has experience some past success at Dover.  This is a good time to use him. 

No. 9 Marcos Ambrose:  Ambrose was awesome last year at Dover.  He will notch another top 25 finish.

No. 43 Aric Almirola:  Almirola finished sixth at Dover in the June 2012.  He is worth using in most leagues.

No. 27 Paul Menard:  Menard has averaged a 20th place finish at Dover during his career.  He is a nice fourth driver in most fantasy leagues.

No. 13 Casey Mears:  Mears should sneak the No. 13 car into the top 30 with a little luck.

No. 1 Jamie McMurray:  McMurray has been decent at Dover during his career.  This is a decent weekend to sneak the No. 1 driver into your lineup.

No. 10 Danica Patrick:  Don’t be tempted to use her on the Monster Mile.

No. 51 Ryan Truex:  Little Truex takes the wheel of the No. 51 car this weekend in Dover.  He has talent, but this is not a great weekend to take a chance on him.

No. 47 A.J. Allmendinger:  Dinger has averaged a 23rd place finish at Dover during his career.  He is safe to use for those of you in the deepest leagues.

No. 83 David Reutimann:  Reutimann has driven well at Dover in the past.  If his team can put him in a fast enough car he could break the top 25.



Field Fillers:


No. 33 Tony Raines

No. 38 David Gilliland

No. 34 David Ragan

No. 93 Travis Kvapil

No. 87 Joe Nemechek

No. 7 Dave Blaney

No. 30 Cole Whitt

No. 98 Michael McDowell

No. 36 J.J. Yeley

No. 95 Reed Sorenson

No. 40 Landon Cassill

No. 35 Josh Wise

No. 32 Timmy Hill



My Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Team for this Week:


A. Jimmie Johnson

B. Greg Biffle

B. Carl Edwards

C. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

Email :Brian Brown

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