Brian Brown

NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

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The FedEx 400

Thursday, May 29, 2014


The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series marches-on to Dover International Speedway's concrete palace for the 13th race of the season, the FedEx 400.  We looked at past performances, season trends, and spoke to NASCAR contacts to shed a light on how the field will finish on Sunday.

 

 

When:  Sunday, June 1; 1:15 p.m./et.

 

 

Weather:  Partly cloudy with a high of 72; wind out of the East at 9 mph.  There is a 10 percent chance of precipitation on race day.

 

 

The Track: Dover InternationalSpeedway

 

Dover is a one mile concrete oval with 24 degree banking in the turns and nine degree banking on the straight-aways. 

 

 

Key to Race:  THE MONSTER MILE

 

Dover International Speedway is the "Monster Mile".  The high-banked concrete track lets drivers run nearly wide-open the entire way around.  Getting the proper car setup is very tricky, so multiple-car teams have an even bigger advantage than normal.  Look for Hendrick Motorsports and Jimmie Johnson to bring hot rods on Sunday.

 

 

Qualifying Procedures:

 

43 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. 

 

 

Fantasy Cheat Sheet:

 

Top 5

 

 

No. 48 Jimmie Johnson:  Johnson has dominated at Dover.  He has eight career wins and 17 top 10 finishes in 24 starts at the Monster Mile.

No. 20 Matt Kenseth:  Kenseth has brought one of the best cars to the Dover lately.  He will be very fast again this weekend.

No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has four career wins at Dover and he has cracked the top 12 in 13 of his last 16 starts at the track.  He is a great pick.

No. 4 Kevin Harvick:  Harvick has led just 12 laps at Dover since 2003, but he always finishes near the front.  He should have the No. 4 sled back inside the top five.

No. 2 Brad Keselowski:  Keselowski won the 2012 fall race at Dover.  He will be a top 10 finisher once again this visit to the track.

 

 

6 to 10

 

No. 18 Kyle Busch:  Rowdy won Dover's spring races in 2008 and in 2010.  This is the perfect track for his aggressive driving style.

No. 99 Carl Edwards:  Edwards won the September 2007 race at Dover and has finished in the top five in seven of the last 14 races at the track.  He is a great pick to crack the top 10 again this weekend. 

No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.:  Junior has cracked the top 20 nine times in the past 18 races at Dover.  He will be good again this weekend.

No. 14 Tony Stewart:  “Smoke” has 11 career top five finishes at Dover.  This is a good week for him to end his good run of bad luck. 

No. 22 Joey Logano:  Logano is familiar with Dover from racing there many times in the Modified and Camping World East Series.  He will finish inside the top 15.

 

 

11 to 20

 

No. 31 Ryan Newman:  Newman has been excellent at Dover during his career.  In 21 Cup starts he has three wins.  We like him a lot this weekend.

No. 5 Kasey Kahne:  Kahne has cracked the top 10 five times in 20 career starts at Dover.  He is worth rolling the dice on this weekend.

No. 16 Greg Biffle:  Biffle won the September 2008 race at Dover and has been one of the top cars the past 18 trips to the track.  He will be in the lead group all day.  

No. 41 Kurt Busch:  Busch has finished well in three of the past six races at Dover.  He should easily crack the top 15 this visit to the Monster Mile.

No. 78 Martin Truex Jr.:  Truex Jr. won the spring 2007 race at Dover and has been great at the place he considers his home-track.  He is a good pick this weekend.

No. 15 Clint Bowyer:  Bowyer has finished between fifth and 17th in all but two of his career starts at Dover.  He should finish in the teens again this weekend.

No. 11 Denny Hamlin:  Hamlin has had his fair share of struggles at the Monster.  He should finish outside the top 10 this weekend.

No. 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.:  Slick Rick finished 17th, 12th and 13th his first three Cup visits to Dover.  He is worth using in most leagues.

No. 42 Kyle Larson:  We expect Larson will struggle in his first visit to the Monster Mile.  He isn’t a strong play this weekend.

No. 55 Brian Vickers:  Vickers has had plenty of past success at Dover.  This is a good time to use him. 

 

 

21 to 30

 

No. 3 Austin Dillon:  Dillon finished 27th in his Dover debut.  He will finish a little better this visit.

 No. 47 A.J. Allmendinger:  Dinger has averaged a 23rd place finish at Dover during his career.  He is safe to use for those of you in the deepest leagues.

No. 9 Marcos Ambrose:  Ambrose was awesome at Dover in 2012.  He will notch another top 25 finish.

No. 43 Aric Almirola:  Almirola finished sixth at Dover in the June 2012.  He is worth using in most leagues.

No. 27 Paul Menard:  Menard has averaged a 20th place finish at Dover during his career.  He is a nice fourth driver in most fantasy leagues.

No. 13 Casey Mears:  Mears should sneak the No. 13 car into the top 30 with a little luck.

No. 1 Jamie McMurray:  McMurray has been decent at Dover during his career.  This is a good weekend to sneak the No. 1 driver into your lineup.

No. 10 Danica Patrick:  Don’t be tempted to use her on the Monster Mile.

No. 34 David Ragan:  Ragan has averaged a 24th place finish at Dover.  But we still can’t recommend him.

No. 40 Landon Cassill:  Cassill will be doing well to crack the top 30.

 

 

Field Fillers:

 

No. 51 Justin Allgaier

No. 7 Michael Annett

No. 23 Alex Bowman

No. 26 Cole Whitt

No. 36 Reed Sorenson

No. 38 David Gilliland

No. 98 Josh Wise

No. 83 Ryan Truex

No. 32 Blake Koch

No. 33 David Stremme

No. 44 J.J. Yeley

No. 66 Brian Moffitt

No. 77 Dave Blaney

 

 

My Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Team for this Week:

 

A. Jimmie Johnson

B. Joey Logano

B. Carl Edwards

C. Austin Dillon




Email :Brian Brown



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