Brian Brown

NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

print article archives RSS

The Camping World 301

Wednesday, July 09, 2014


The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series moves to New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the 19th race of the season, the Camping World RV Sales 301.   NASCAR expert Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke to NASCAR contacts to provide you the most accurate fantasy preview of Sunday’s race.

 

 

When:  Sunday, July 13; 1:15 p.m./et.

 

 

Weather:  Partly cloudy with high around 84; wind out of the SSW at 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 10%.

 

 

The Track: New Hampshire MotorSpeedway

 

NHMS is a 1.058 mile flat-oval.  It has 12 degree banking on the corners with 2 degree banking on the straight-aways.  Ryan Newman has been great at NHMS during his career.  He earned his first career Nextel Cup victory at the track and has won two additional races at NHMS.  Matt Kenseth, Kasey Kahne, Newman, Tony Stewart, Jimmie Johnson, Mark Martin, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin (twice), Clint Bowyer, and Brian Vickers have won the past 11 races at the track. 

 

 

Key to Race:  THAT ISONE BIG PAPERCLIP

 

NHMS is basically a big version ofMartinsville.  It is a mile long paperclip configuration with two long straight-aways with tight corners at the ends.  This race is always hard on brakes and tires.  The team that can figure out a setup that allows them to keep the brakes and tires fresh will have a big advantage.  Look for Ryan Newman, Clint Bowyer, Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon and Kyle Busch to have strong runs in Sunday's race. 

 

 

Qualifying Procedures:

 

43 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. 

 

 

Fantasy Cheat Sheet:

 

Top 5

 

No. 4 Kevin Harvick:  Harvick has 12 top 10 finishes in 26 career starts at NHMS.  He won the September 2006 race at track and dominated a similar track, Phoenix, this season.

No. 48 Jimmie Johnson:  Johnson has finished in the top 15 in all but three of his 24 career Cup starts at NHMS.   He won at the track in June of 2010 and is a great pick on Sunday.

No. 20 Matt Kenseth:  Kenseth won at NHMS last fall.  We love his chances to repeat this weekend.

No. 18 Kyle Busch:  Rowdy has cracked the top 10 six times in the past 15 races at NHMS.  He will be back inside the top five this trip up Route 106.

No. 22 Joey Logano:  Logano won his first career Cup race at NHMS.  This is his home track and he has a lot of speed at the Magic Mile.  Additionally, Joey was great at Richmond and Phoenix this year.  Both similar flat tracks like NHMS.

 

 

6 to 10

 

No. 14 Tony Stewart:  Stewart has the top driver rating at NHMS the past nine years.  He is a sneaky pick this weekend.

No. 2 Brad Keselowski:  Keselowski has finished in the top six in three of the last four races at the Magic Mile.  He is a good shoe to gamble on this weekend.

No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.:  Junior has finished in the top 10 in 11 of the last 22 races at NHMS. 

No. 15 Clint Bowyer:  Bowyer has dominated four of the last 12 races at NHMS.  If he can bring a similar setup to the track this weekend he will be fast again.

No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Between 1997 and 2001 Gordon was easily the top driver at NHMS, but then the Rainbow Warrior went into a serious slump at the track.  He has worked hard at his race setups at the Magic Mile and is once again a great option to take the checkers.

 

 

11 to 20

 

No. 5 Kasey Kahne:  Kahne won the July 2012 race and has been fast the past few visits to NHMS.  He is a good option this weekend.

No. 99 Carl Edwards:  Carl has had one of the better cars at NHMS the past few years, but it hasn’t translated to a win.  He will flirt with another top 10 finish this weekend.

No. 78 Martin Truex Jr.:  Truex has five top eight finishes in the last 14 races at NHMS.  This is the weekend to use the No. 78 driver.

No. 16 Greg Biffle:  Biffle was fast in six of the past 11 NHMS races.  He should be blazing again this weekend.

No. 31 Ryan Newman:  In 23 Cup starts at the Magic Mile, Newman has 14 top 10 finishes, including three wins.  He is a solid pick in most fantasy leagues.

No. 11 Denny Hamlin:  Hamlin won the 2012 September race at NHMS and has finished in the top 10 in 10 of his last 16 Cup races at the track.  He is a good pick on Sunday.

No. 41 Kurt Busch:  Busch has three career wins at NHMS including the July 2008 rain-shortened race.  With his past success at the track he is worth taking a gamble on.

No. 43 Aric Almirola:  Almirola has run plenty of laps at NHMS during his career.  He finished fifth last summer at the track and should have the No. 43 right around the top 15 when the checkers fly in the Granite State.

No. 55 Brian Vickers:  Vickers shocked the NASCAR world when he won at NHMS last summer.  He will be doing very well to notch a top 15 this visit to the track. 

No. 1 Jamie McMurray:  McMurray has appeared to finally figure out NHMS’s tricky configuration the past few races race.  He is a decent option.

 

 

21 to 30

 

No. 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.:  Stenhouse has driven decent on flat tracks during his career.  He is always worth taking a chance on.

No. 42 Kyle Larson:  Larson will have his issues at NHMS this year.

No. 3 Austin Dillon:  Dillon, like Larson, will need some season on the tricky flat paperclip before he is worth a fantasy choice.

No. 9 Marcos Ambrose:  Ambrose averages a 22nd place finish at NHMS.  Based on how he has run this season, he should cross the finish line just a little slower this visit.

No. 27 Paul Menard:  NHMS has never been very kind to Menard.  He isn't much of a fantasy option this weekend.

No. 47 A.J. Allmendinger:  NHMS is a track that Dinger would prefer to skip.  He isn’t an option.

No. 13 Casey Mears:  Mears has had limited success at NHMS.  We don’t like his chances to help your fantasy team this weekend.

No. 10 Danica Patrick:  Patrick hasn’t used her past Indy car experience at NHMS to her advantage in Cup.  Not an option.

No. 34 David Ragan:  Ragan has been very inconsistent at NHMS.  He should just make the top 30 again this weekend.

No. 32 Eddie MacDonald:  Fans of New England racing love Eddie MacDonald and Frankie Stoddard teaming up this weekend.

 

 

Field Fillers:

 

No. 66 Jeff Burton

No. 51 Justin Allgaier

No. 7 Michael Annett

No. 83 Ryan Truex

No. 40 Landon Cassill

No. 38 David Gilliland

No. 23 Alex Bowman

No. 26 Cole Whitt

No. 98 Josh Wise

No. 36 Reed Sorenson

No. 44 J.J. Yeley

No. 33 Morgan Shepherd

No. 87 Joe Nemechek

 

 

Brownie's Picks

 

My Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Team for this Week:

 

A. Kevin Harvick

B. Joey Logano

B. Tony Stewart

C. Jeff Burton




Email :Brian Brown



Highest Searched Drivers over the last 7 days



Video Center

  •  
    FFL: How to rank Julio Jones

    FFL: How to rank Julio Jones
  •  
    FFL: WR debates/rankings

    FFL: WR debates/rankings
  •  
    FFL: Bounceback for Wallace?

    FFL: Bounceback for Wallace?
  •  
    FFL: Terrance Williams love?

    FFL: Terrance Williams love?
  •  
    FFL: Westbrook

    FFL: Westbrook's surprise RBs
  •  
    FFL: 2014 potential busts

    FFL: 2014 potential busts
  •  
    FFL: Who should go No. 1?

    FFL: Who should go No. 1?
  •  
    FFL: Over/Under in 2014

    FFL: Over/Under in 2014