Brian Brown

NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet

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The Irwin Tools Night Race

Wednesday, August 20, 2014


The NASCAR Sprint Cup makes its next stop at Bristol Motor Speedway's half-mile coliseum for the Irwin Tools Night Race   We looked at past performances, season trends, and spoke to team contacts to give the internet’s best prediction of how the field should finish.

 

 

When:  Saturday, August 23; 7:43 p.m./et.

 

 

Weather:  Scattered T-Storms with a high around 87; wind out of the W at 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

 

 

The Track:  Bristol Motor Speedway

 

Bristol Motor Speedway is a half-mile oval with high-banking the entire way around.  The corners are banked 36 degrees with 16 degree banking on the straight-aways.  This is a track where very few drivers have been able to dominate.  Matt Kenseth, Kasey Kahne, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Kurt Busch, and Jeff Gordon have all had decent success at the track, but that status can change with one nudge to the left-rear bumper.

 

 

Key to Race:  DON'T BRING YOUR BEST CAR

 

The Bullring inBristolhas been described a flying an airplane in a gymnasium.  There will be no cars that escape Saturday's race without at least a little sheet metal damage.  Saturday’s race is one of the most entertaining races on the circuit for fans and most frustrating for drivers.  Expect tempers to flare as the cars bump and bang.  The driver that wins the race will be the one with the best set of pit stops and the most luck. 

 

 

Qualifying:

 

43 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. 

 

 

Fantasy Cheat Sheet:

 

Top 5

 

No. 2 Brad Keselowski:  Keselowski has won two of the past six races at Bristol.  There is no reason to think he can’t make it three-out-of-seven.

No. 20 Matt Kenseth:  Kenseth has 18 top 10 finishes and led the most laps at the track earlier this year.  He is a great option on Saturday.

No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards has won three of the last 15 races at Bristol, including this spring. He is a great pick.

No. 5 Kasey Kahne:  Kahne won at Bristol last spring.  He is a great choice again this weekend.

No. 48 Jimmie Johnson:  Johnson had one of the fastest cars in the past 10 Bristol races and won the 2010 spring race.  He will be fast again.

 

 

6 to 10

 

No. 18 Kyle Busch:  Rowdy has had one of the top cars in 17 of the past 19 races at Bristol.  There is a good chance he can take the checkers again on Saturday.

No. 11 Denny Hamlin:  Hamlin won the 2012 Night Race at Bristol and has led nearly 550 laps in the past 15 races at the track.  He should have the No. 11 inside the top 10 when the dust settles.

No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has five wins and has led nearly 2,500 laps at Bristol during his career.  He should be in the top 10 once again on Saturday.

No. 4 Kevin Harvick:  Harvick has 12 top 10 finishes in 27 career races at Bristol.  He is once again a driver to consider.

No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.:  Junior has been decent at Bristol in his career.  In his last 25 starts at the track he has finished 17th or better in 23 of them.  Look for him to finish just inside the top 10.

 

 

11 to 20

 

No. 41 Kurt Busch:  Busch has won five races at Bristol during his career.  He is a very nice option.

No. 16 Greg Biffle:  Biffle has 12 top 10 finishes in 23 career starts at Bristol.  He is a very good fantasy option.

No. 15 Clint Bowyer:  Bowyer has cracked the top 10 in eight of his last 15 starts at Bristol.  He should notch another decent finish on Saturday.

No. 17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.:  Stenhouse struggled as a rookie at Bristol, but was fantastic earlier this season.  He is worth using in most leagues.

No. 78 Martin Truex Jr.:  The success Truex Jr. had at Bristol while in the Nationwide Series has finally carried over with four top 12 finishes in the past six races.  He should flirt with the top 15 again this visit to the track.

No. 42 Kyle Larson:  Larson ran great at Bristol this spring.  He could crack the top 15 again with a little luck.

No. 31 Ryan Newman:  Newman’s lack of consistency at Bristol bumps him out of our top 15.

No. 55 Brian Vickers:   Vickers has awesome at Bristol the past two races.  He is worth sneaking onto your roster.

No. 14 Jeff Burton:  Burton is in the No. 14 car for Tony Stewart again this weekend.  He is a decent sleeper pick.

No. 9 Marcos Ambrose:  Ambrose has averaged a 15th place finish at Bristol during his career.  The Terrific Tasmanian is worth using in all leagues this visit to the Volunteer State. 

 

 

21 to 30

 

No. 22 Joey Logano:  Logano finally appeared to solve Bristol’s riddle his last August, but then he struggled earlier this year.  He is just a fair choice.

No. 27 Paul Menard:  Menard has cracked the top 25 in 12 of the last 14 Bristol races.  He should do it again this weekend.

No. 3 Austin Dillon:  Rookies usually struggle at Bristol, but Dillon drove great this spring.  He should be fast again.

No. 43 Aric Almirola: Almirola didn’t lead a lap at Bristol this spring, but he managed a third place finish.  We don’t think he has enough speed to replicate another top 20 finish.

No. 1 Jamie McMurray:  McMurray has finished outside the top 20 in 10 of the last 19 races at Bristol.  We don't recommend using him as much more than a fourth or fifth fantasy driver this weekend.

No. 13 Casey Mears:  Mears won’t do enough in the No. 13 car to warrant using in most fantasy leagues. 

No. 10 Danica Patrick:  We have very little faith in Danica at this difficult track.

No. 34 David Ragan:  Ragan was great at Bristol during last year’s Night Race, but he is only a deep fantasy option this weekend.

No. 51 Justin Allgaier:  Allgaier finished 17th at Bristol this spring.  There are worse options.

No. 38 David Gilliland:  Gilliland ran terrific at Bristol earlier this spring.

 

 

Field Fillers:

 

No. 98 Josh Wise

No. 7 Michael Annett

No. 36 Reed Sorenson

No. 40 Landon Cassill

No. 23 Alex Bowman

No. 26 Cole Whitt

No. 27 Paul Menard

No. 32 J.J. Yeley

No. 33 David Stremme

No. 95 Michael McDowell

No. 37 Dave Blaney

No. 66 Brian Moffit

No. 83 Ryan Truex

 

 

My Yahoo! Fantasy NASCAR Team for this Week:

 

A. Matt Kenseth

B. Carl Edwards

B. Denny Hamlin

C. Kyle Larson




Email :Brian Brown



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