Dan Beaver

Cap Considerations

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Caps After Kentucky

Tuesday, July 11, 2017


For the two weeks before the Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway, the salary cap adjustments were primarily made in reference to how the drivers performed over the past 60 days on average and very little attention was paid to how recent momentum might affect their performance.

To a much lesser degree, the same might be true this week. NASCAR returned to an unrestricted, intermediate speedway, but it was a doglegged 1.5-mile oval. The next three races will all be contested on flat tracks. Drivers will get a chance to settle into a rhythm over the course of the next month at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, Indianapolis Motor Speedway, Pocono Raceway.

Some drivers who took a hit because of their recent struggles might be better than average values next week. Brad Keselowski has had a tough month and it has been impossible to keep him at his level. He dropped 50 cents this week to $26.50. He was one of only two drivers at the top of the order to experience a change largely because of the makeup of the recent schedule. He has eight top-fives in the past nine races on minimally-banked courses, but bad luck can be hard to shake.

Martin Truex Jr. was the other driver at the top of the order to experience a change and he was bumped 25 cents to $28.25. He was already the most expensive driver in the game and is now even more so, but after the butt-kicking he put on the field last week, he deserves the honor and might not be maxed out yet. Truex has not been nearly as dominant as Keselowski on this track type, but last week in Victory Lane his crew chief Cole Pearn made a point of saying how well prepared they would be for New Hampshire.

There were several drivers who had an even greater increase this week. In fact, four of them are 50 cents more expensive than they were entering the Kentucky race. All of them got their bump because of how strong they have been over the long duration. In the case of Jamie McMurray, it also because of consistency. Last week he finished seventh, which was the 15th top-15 in his last 17 races.

The rookies of Erik Jones and Daniel Suarez were two of the other high performers. They lack some of that same consistency that McMurray has, but then again they do not yet have the same deep set of notes that allow the veterans to roll off the hauler fast. This week, Jones completed the announcement started by Matt Kenseth at Kentucky and his future is secure for the moment with Joe Gibbs Racing. That will improve his results even more.

Jones is priced at $21.50; Suarez is a greater bargain at $20.50.

Clint Bowyer also took a 50 cent increase because he performed better in the first half of the year than expected.

Kasey Kahne continues to underperform. It really does not matter that most of his poor performances have been occasioned by crash damage or misfortune; it costs fantasy players just as much when he finishes behind the wall as it would if he had an engine problem or simply ran slowly at the back of the field. Until he improves his performance, he simply needs to be left in the garage until his fortune reverses. He has dropped to $18.25 and that is not going to be the basement.

 

Driver

Diff

 |

This Week’s Cap

Gainers

Jamie McMurray

 $     0.50

 |

 $     25.00

Clint Bowyer

 $     0.50

 |

 $     22.75

Erik Jones

 $     0.50

 |

 $     21.50

Daniel Suarez

 $     0.50

 |

 $     20.50

Martin Truex Jr.

 $     0.25

 |

 $     28.25

Austin Dillon

 $     0.25

 |

 $     21.50

Ryan Newman

 $     0.25

 |

 $     21.00

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

 $     0.25

 |

 $     17.75

Chris Buescher

 $     0.25

 |

 $     12.25

Michael McDowell

 $     0.25

 |

 $     10.75

Darrell Wallace Jr.

 $     0.25

 |

 $     10.25

Danica Patrick

 $     0.25

 |

 $       8.75

Losers

Jimmie Johnson

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $     26.00

Joey Logano

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $     25.50

Kurt Busch

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $     20.00

Trevor Bayne

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $     19.75

Ryan Blaney

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $     18.75

Ty Dillon

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $     15.50

Paul Menard

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $     13.25

AJ Allmendinger

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $     12.75

David Ragan

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $       7.75

Cole Whitt

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $       5.75

Landon Cassill

 $    (0.25)

 |

 $       5.50

Brad Keselowski

 $    (0.50)

 |

 $     26.50

Kasey Kahne

 $    (0.50)

 |

 $     18.25

 



Dan Beaver has been covering fantasy NASCAR for more than 12 years with a little help from his >500,000 record database. He can be found on Twitter @FantasyRace.
Email :Dan Beaver



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