Dan Beaver

Statistically Speaking

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25. Kasey Kahne

Saturday, January 6, 2018


Often, change is good for everyone involved. Kasey Kahne leaves his long time home at Hendrick Motorsports to make room for Young Gun William Byron—and given how he ran for much of 2017, it is likely that not much will change with his new ride.

Kahne has been on a downward trajectory for some time, while the Leavine Family No. 95 has been on an upward tick—and the two are going to meet in the middle in a positive way.

Last year, Michael McDowell was the greatest fantasy value on several occasions in large part because he was undervalued at the start of the season. There were signs of improvement at the end of 2016, but no one really expected this team to remain on their upward trajectory. By the end of the year, McDowell was no longer a surprise, but his valuation never really caught up to him.

Kahne is going to be worth much less in 2018 that he was in 2017 and while it will not be to the same degree as what McDowell experienced, he has much more experience that will come to bear.

Last year, Kahne scored only six top-10s. One of these was a shocking win at Indianapolis Motor Speedway in the Brickyard 400 that put him in the playoffs. Three of the remaining five came on the wild card, restrictor-plate, superspeedways that typically rewards underdogs.

It is the other two top-10s that bear the most weight, however; Kahne finished fourth at Atlanta Motor Speedway in the spring and was ninth in the Fall Bank of America 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Specifically, that last speedway is critical because it is the venue where the No. 95 started their Cinderella story in 2016. The similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks are the courses that tend to make or break teams.

Kahne might also have fared better if not for a string of bad luck in the middle of the year. From May’s Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte through July’s Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway, Kahne failed to finish five of seven races because of accidents. Some of those were not of his making, but some might also have been because he was pushing just a bit too hard. He will not experience the same kind of pressure at Leavine as he did with Hendrick.

Kahne will bring consistency to the team in 2018 and that is going to be worth its weight in fantasy gold.

Victories: Indianapolis
Top-fives: 3 (.083)
Top-10s: 6 (.167)
Top-15s: 14 (.389)

Track

3-Yr
Avg.
Fin

Career
Avg.
Fin

Career
Attempts

Career
Top-5s

Career
Top-10s

Race 1

Race 2

Dover Downs International

9.50

18.46

28

3

8

17

14

Richmond International Raceway

11.33

16.36

28

5

10

22

12

Kansas Speedway

12.83

13.52

21

5

9

15

15

Las Vegas Motor Speedway

13.00

13.36

14

3

7

12

 

Atlanta Motor Speedway

13.67

17.86

21

8

10

4

 

Sonoma Raceway

13.67

17.93

14

2

6

24

 

Martinsville Speedway

13.83

19.57

28

3

5

14

16

Indianapolis Motor Speedway

14.33

13.64

14

4

7

1

 

Darlington Raceway

14.33

15.73

15

3

5

24

 

Texas Motor Speedway

15.50

17.93

27

5

9

38

11

Chicagoland Speedway

17.33

17.71

14

2

4

21

 

Phoenix International Raceway

17.33

17.81

27

5

8

20

19

Daytona International Speedway

18.17

19.50

28

2

9

7

18

Michigan International Speedway

19.33

16.61

28

8

10

21

38

Pocono Raceway

20.50

18.39

28

5

9

35

11

Charlotte Motor Speedway

20.67

13.39

28

10

15

35

9

New Hampshire Motor Speedway

20.83

17.79

28

3

10

28

35

Bristol Motor Speedway

21.17

18.50

28

5

10

20

24

Auto Club Speedway

21.67

16.81

21

4

10

20

 

Talladega SuperSpeedway *

23.33

21.57

28

4

7

5

8

Watkins Glen International

26.00

20.71

14

0

0

16

 

Kentucky Speedway

26.33

16.14

7

1

2

38

 

Homestead - Miami Speedway

29.67

18.07

14

1

4

33

 

 

++ Swept Victory Lane
+ Top-five sweeps
* Top-10 sweeps

2017 Profile: Kasey Kahne



Dan Beaver has been covering fantasy NASCAR for more than 12 years with a little help from his >500,000 record database. He can be found on Twitter @FantasyRace.
Email :Dan Beaver



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