Dan Beaver

Statistically Speaking

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6. Joey Logano

Sunday, February 11, 2018


Joey Logano described his 2017 as a “nightmare” from which he could not awake. And to make it even more frustrating, his success came to a screeching halt immediately after getting his first and only win of the season.

Logano started the season as one of the best drivers in nearly every type of Fantasy NASCAR game. He advanced from 15th to sixth in the Daytona 500, backed that up with another sixth in the next race at Atlanta Motor Speedway, and then scored top-fives in six of the next seven races. That streak culminated in a victory in the Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond International Raceway.

His early success landed him high in the points.

What should have been a week of celebration turned sour and his season began to unravel when NASCAR deemed his win to be encumbered by a penalty. The body alignment was slightly askew. And while that probably had little to do with the win, the consequence of the infraction was that he could not use that as an automatic berth into the playoffs. That did not seem like a major concern given his standing in the points, but reality quickly set in.

Logano crash and failed to finish the next two races at Talladega SuperSpeedway and Kansas Speedway with 30-something results. His next three starts ended in the 20s while NASCAR kept accumulating new, unique drivers to shift the playoff bubble. A third-place finish at Michigan International Speedway arrested his freefall momentarily, but that was followed by two more finishes in the 30s in the next four races—and then three more 20-something efforts. Logano was going to need to win again in order to make the playoffs.

Unfortunately, the wind was fully out of the team’s sails at that point and the closest Logano would get would be in the regular season finale at none other than Richmond.

This was one of the top organizations in 2016, however. It seems highly unlikely that they will not rebound—especially when one considers that Logano has a better-than, 10th-place average finish on 12 of 21 during the past three years.

The addition of Ryan Blaney to the lineup gives them a new set of notes. The three drivers work well together as was recently seen in Sunday’s Advance Auto Parts Clash. Logano came in second to his teammate Brad Keselowski’s first. Blaney was fourth. And while it is dangerous to make long term assessments based on restrictor-plate, superspeedway results, this will renew the confidence that was stripped away last year.

Logano tends to be at his best on "cookie-cutter" courses with five of them landing in his top-10 in terms of career averages. Richmond also lands among the successful venues and it often behaves like one of the similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks.

2017 Victories: Richmond (spring) (encumbered)
Average Finish: 15.17
Top-fives: 10 (.278)
Top-10s: 17 (.472)
Top-15s: 21 (.583)

 

Track

3-Yr
Avg.
Fin

Career
Avg.
Fin

Career
Attempts

Career
Top-5s

Career
Top-10s

Race 1

Race 2

Indianapolis Motor Speedway

4.33

11.67

9

3

6

4

 

Homestead - Miami Speedway

4.67

14.89

9

2

4

6

 

Richmond International Raceway +

4.83

11.89

18

7

10

1

2

Chicagoland Speedway

5.00

12.89

9

2

5

7

 

Las Vegas Motor Speedway

5.33

10.00

9

3

5

4

 

Auto Club Speedway

5.33

14.82

11

4

5

5

 

Sonoma Raceway

6.67

12.78

9

2

4

12

 

Atlanta Motor Speedway

7.33

17.64

11

2

3

6

 

Michigan International Speedway

9.00

12.94

18

5

12

3

28

Watkins Glen International

9.00

14.00

9

3

5

24

 

Darlington Raceway

9.00

18.33

9

2

4

18

 

Texas Motor Speedway *

9.83

15.37

19

8

9

3

7

New Hampshire Motor Speedway

11.33

15.84

19

6

9

37

10

Phoenix International Raceway

12.17

14.11

18

4

9

31

12

Daytona International Speedway

12.33

17.28

18

4

7

6

35

Bristol Motor Speedway

13.17

16.61

18

4

7

5

13

Martinsville Speedway

14.67

14.22

18

5

7

4

24

Dover Downs International

14.83

14.17

18

3

10

25

15

Talladega SuperSpeedway

16.00

18.61

18

5

7

32

4

Kentucky Speedway

16.33

14.00

7

2

4

8

 

Kansas Speedway

17.50

19.00

17

6

6

37

21

Charlotte Motor Speedway

17.67

12.56

18

5

9

21

26

Pocono Raceway

19.33

17.50

18

4

6

23

27

 

+ Top-five sweeps
* Top-10 sweeps

2018 Top-25 Fantasy Values

7. Hamlin, Denny 
8. Keselowski, Brad 
9. Blaney, Ryan 
10. Jones, Erik 
11. Johnson, Jimmie 
12. McMurray, Jamie 
13. Bowyer, Clint 
14. Suarez, Daniel 
15. Newman, Ryan 
16. Busch, Kurt 
17. Almirola, Aric 
18. Dillon, Austin 
19. Stenhouse Jr., Ricky 
20. Menard, Paul 
21. Bayne, Trevor 
22. Dillon, Ty 
23. Buescher, Chris 
24. Allmendinger, AJ 
25. Kahne, Kasey 

Rookie Watch

Wallace Jr., Darrell 
Byron, William 

Previous Joey Logano Profiles
2016 
2015

 



Dan Beaver has been covering fantasy NASCAR for more than 12 years with a little help from his >500,000 record database. He can be found on Twitter @FantasyRace.
Email :Dan Beaver



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