NEW YORKPG
Toney DouglasSG
Landry FieldsSF
Carmelo AnthonyPF
Amare StoudemireC
Jared JeffriesCoach Mike D'Antoni has announced that
Jared Jeffries will be his starting center even when
Ronny Turiaf (knee) returns Yawn. In three starts for the Knicks, Jeffries has played 25.1 minutes per game but somehow averaged 0.3 points. Is that even possible?
Meanwhile,
Chauncey Billups' (thigh) absence should be looked at as a good thing. For a player as old as him, a minor muscle injury like this serves as a break. He should be locked and loaded for a big final push.
Landry Fields has adjusted to the trade just fine. He is averaging 31.9 minutes per game over his last five, but most nights he will push for 34. The rookie's status has held as a low-end three-point specialist.
ORLANDOPG
Jameer NelsonSG
Jason Richardson
SF
Hedo TurkogluPF
Ryan AndersonC
Brandon BassDwight Howard was suspended Monday. He will be back out there Wednesday, returning
Ryan Anderson to his bench role.
Anderson is what he is at this point -- he will play 22-24 minutes off the bench and average two treys per game. Anything else you get is a bonus.
The rest of this rotation is set. If you have seen
Gilbert Arenas hobble around on the court, you know he is no real threat to
Jameer Nelson.
PHILADELPHIAPG
Jrue HolidaySG
Jodie MeeksSF
Andre IguodalaPF
Elton BrandC
Spencer HawesAs the Sixers continue to get off to slow starts almost nightly, they are relying more and more on their NBA-best bench. After hovering around 26 minutes all season
Thaddeus Young is playing 32.6 minutes a night over the last three games. He is guaranteed at least 26 minutes nightly and is well worth owning in almost all formats.
Lou Williams' role is not quite as secure. When
Jodie Meeks gets hot, coach Doug Collins likes to ride the Kentucky product as the better defensive player. And
Evan Turner's role is even less secure. Yes, the No. 2 overall pick is playing better, but his jump shot remains abysmal. He will play 16 minutes and struggle much more than he will play 30 minutes.
I'd rank these bench options Young>>Williams>>>Turner.
TORONTOPG
Jose CalderonSG
DeMar DeRozanSF
James JohnsonPF
Amir JohnsonC
Andrea BargnaniThe power forward spot here keeps getting more and more interesting.
Amir Johnson has surprisingly been able to combine his enormous upside with consistency, making him one of the more valuable players in fantasy over the last couple months. Meanwhile rookie
Ed Davis is proving to be a gem. Check out these per-36 minute stats on Davis: 10.8 points, 10.9 rebounds, 1.8 blocks, 61.2 percent shooting. And
Reggie Evans (foot) seems to be close.
So what gives? Well, at this point, Johnson can't lose his starting gig. He is just playing too well. And as a building block for the Raptors' future, Davis must get minutes. Evans is one of the more beloved guys in every locker room and will get some time too. Look for 29-31 minutes out of Johnson, 23-26 minutes for Davis and eventually 18-20 from Evans.
James Johnson is a nice little story, but relying on him is a desperate move. Johnson will struggle for minutes often thanks to
Jerryd Bayless/
Leandro Barbosa/
Sonny Weems and the ex-Bull just is not a scorer. His current block rate (10 in last six games) is unsustainable.
WASHINGTONPG
John WallSG
Nick YoungSF
Maurice EvansPF
Andray BlatcheC
JaVale McGeeAt some point,
Rashard Lewis has to just give it up. His knee is simply too sore and while it's admirable that he wants to keep playing for a 16-46 team, it does not make much sense. Look for him to shut it down soon. Theoretically, that would open up time for
Josh Howard. But he continues to struggle with his knee along with hamstring woes, so this small forward spot is a fantasy wasteland. It's just not worth the headache.
With those early-season knee problems behind him,
John Wall is racking up huge minutes. Over the last 10 games, Wall is averaging 19.5 points, 8.5 assists while playing 39.0 minutes. However, his lack of treys and awful field-goal percentage makes me wary. I think Wall will be overvalued in drafts next year.
Follow Adam Levitan on Twitter for instant news and reaction to changes in NBA depth charts throughout the week.
The unknown is almost always more exciting than the recycled. If
Shawn Marion was suddenly the starting power forward for the Cavs, no one would give it much thought. But since
Samardo Samuels is such a mystery, it's riveting. I mean, the big clumps of hair on my neck/upper back are tingling as we speak.
So who is
Samardo Samuels? The Jamaican-born wide body was among the best high school players in the country in 2008. He was solid, but not spectacular, for two seasons at Louisville. Then he inexplicably went undrafted on draft day last April. Now, he is one of the hottest adds in fantasy basketball.
Coaches are constantly tinkering, toying and yanking around with rotations. Sometimes it has to do with injuries, like in Samuels' case. In other instances, it's a result of ineffective play from a certain player. The effect this has on minutes played and thus statistical production is where we come in.
Each week in this space, I'll explore the rotations of half the league's teams while attempting to get inside coaches' heads. The idea is not to tell you what
Kevin Durant and
LeBron James are going to do --- it's to decipher how much production we can get out of fringe players.
Last week, I hit rotations impacted by the trade deadline. This week, we explore the East and start in Cleveland:
* Note that the lineups listed reflect the starters in the team's previous game. Stats are through Monday's games.CLEVELANDPG
Ramon SessionsSG
Anthony ParkerSF
Alonzo GeePF
Samardo SamuelsC
J.J. HicksonThe first major story here is
Samardo Samuels, who will start at power forward for the rest of the year in place of
Antawn Jamison (finger). Considering he is a raw undrafted free agent, Samuels' first three starts can be viewed as nothing short of a major success: 16.3 points, 8.0 rebounds, 1.0 blocks, 52.8 percent from field.
Those rebound and block numbers are sustainable thanks to the 30-32 minutes Samuels will play nightly. I am skeptical about the points as teams get a scouting report on him, but a regression there is not my biggest concern. Free-throw shooting is. Samuels has taken 22 free throws in these three starts, and made just 11.
For a player that plays down low and goes to the line so often, that Shaq-like rate can kill a fantasy team. There is some hope as Samuels shot 66.7 percent from the line as a freshman at Louisville and 70.6 as a sophomore. Bottom line: He is worth an add in most formats if you can handle the free-throw shooting. With starter's minutes on a team devoid of talent, Samuels will produce. Think of him as an extremely poor man's
Paul Millsap.
The other big story out of Cleveland is the arrival of
Baron Davis. Coach Byron Scott is already on the record saying Davis will eventually start over
Ramon Sessions, but that it won't happen tonight. For now, there is still value in owning both as they both figure to play around 30 minutes. Eventually, Davis will become the preferred play by a significant margin.
ATLANTAPG
Kirk HinrichSG
Joe JohnsonSF
Marvin WilliamsPF
Josh SmithC
Al HorfordKirk Hinrich is a great fit in Atlanta. He is an excellent 3-point shooter just like
Mike Bibby, but can actually play defense. Hinrich will play 32-35 minutes a night the rest of the way as a very nice fantasy option. For his career, Hinrich makes 1.6 treys and gets 1.3 steals per 36 minutes. Buy up.
Marvin Williams is back in the starting five and doing his mediocre thing. Anyone expecting a breakout is not watching close enough -- his averages of 10.6 points and 5.1 boards while playing 31 minutes a night in 39 starts this season is what it is.
Jamal Crawford just can't seem to find that trademark tear that he almost always goes on. I still think it will come at some point. Crawford's minutes have been consistent, but he is shooting 38.2 percent from the field over his last 10 games. He'll balance that out with a 45 percent 10 game stretch at some point and be well worth starting.
BOSTONPG
Rajon RondoSG
Ray AllenSF
Paul PiercePF
Kevin GarnettC
Nenad KrsticEven with
Shaquille O'Neal, Jermaine O'Neal,
Glen Davis and
Delonte West all sidelined,
Jeff Green and
Troy Murphy are non-factors. That won't change unless one of the Big Four here suffer an injury and The reason is that coach Doc Rivers is not crazy enough to play
Kevin Garnett or Murphy at center for long stretches.
Therefore,
Nenad Krstic is going to play more minutes than the more talented Green and Murphy. His 12.2 points and 4.8 rebounds in 25.5 minutes with no blocks or steals upside is a reasonable expectation until Shaq gets back.
Is
Rajon Rondo getting worn down? Maybe. In seven games since the All-Star break, Rondo is playing 39.2 minutes per night and the offense runs through him in every one of those minutes. Still, owners should not really be concerned. The Celtics are battling for home-court throughout the Eastern Conference playoffs and Rondo is just 25-years-old. No reason to worry.
Editor's Note: Draft a hoops team just for tonight and win real cash in SnapDraft!CHARLOTTEPG
D.J. AugustinSG
Gerald HendersonSF
Dominic McGuirePF
Boris DiawC
Kwame BrownTyrus Thomas (knee) will make his return Wednesday. Although coach Paul Silas said that
Boris Diaw could be removed from the starting lineup, it's hard to really see that happening. Diaw showed his upside Monday night and Thomas fits perfectly as an energy guy with the second unit.
I expect Thomas to ramp up to 25-27 minutes off the bench quickly, making him well worth an add. As I mentioned in Friday's Dose, Thomas blocks 2.7 shots per 36 minutes this season. With
Gerald Wallace gone and
Kwame Brown struggling, there is plenty of room in the rotation for Tyrus. As coach Paul Silas said: "He's very talented and that's what we need. We need talent."
Stephen Jackson (hamstring) is not going to shut it down no matter what the Bobcats say. He is simply too tough and proud. Look for a full complement of minutes out of Captain Jack Wednesday, sending
Dominic McGuire's unfriendly fantasy game back to the bench.
Gerald Henderson is locked in to 32-24 minutes nightly as a building block of the future. His inability to make treys is a real downer, but he is an ideal bottom of roster guy in fantasy. You know he is going to get minutes and shots.
Even though
Joel Przybilla started the second half two games ago,
Kwame Brown is still the starter. But he just is not playing well enough to be used. In his last 10 games: Brown is averaging 6.0 points, 6.2 rebounds and 0.5 blocks in 25.0 minutes.
Editor's Note: For weekly projections, daily pickup advice, exclusive columns and much more, check out Rotoworld's Season Pass!CHICAGOPG
Derrick RoseSG
Keith BogansSF
Luol DengPF
Carlos BoozerC
Joakim NoahThe Bulls wisely decided against a major trade that would have brought in an upgrade at shooting guard -- they are good enough to win it all as constructed. Therefore, this rotation is locked in.
The "Big Four" are all going to play 35+ minutes nightly and the shooting guard spot will be a three-headed monster/fantasy wasteland. Note that
Joakim Noah is still working his way back into form. In eight games since returning from that broken thumb: 9.1 points, 11.5 rebounds, 1.1 blocks. Those numbers are sure to rise.
DETROITPG
Rodney StuckeySG
Ben GordonSF
Tayshaun PrincePF
Chris WilcoxC
Greg MonroeThe failed mutiny on coach John Kuester has proven to be huge for
Rodney Stuckey and
Greg Monroe. Now that
Tracy McGrady has been banished to the doghouse with no sign of return, Stuckey is playing at a level we have not seen out of him. Over his last five games, Stuckey is averaging 20.8 points, 6.8 assists, 5.4 rebounds and 1.8 steals per game. Now looking like the Pistons' point guard of the future, he's locked into 36-38 minutes nightly while McGrady is probably done in Detroit -- this season and beyond.
Ben Wallace (personal) is coming back and will likely start over
Chris Wilcox, but
Greg Monroe's minutes won't be affected. The rookie wisely stayed above the fray in the anti-Kuester campaign and is proving to be a fantasy monster. Over the last 10 games, Monroe is averaging 9.0 rebounds, 1.1 blocks and 1.1 steals. The 13.6 points on 59.2 percent shooting are just a bonus.
The Pistons' treatment of
Austin Daye is frustrating, but somewhat understandable.
Tayshaun Prince has played well enough and has done enough in his career to be locked into the starting gig and 30-plus minutes anytime he is healthy. Owners can simply move on from Daye and add Prince as a low-end option.
INDIANAPG
Darren CollisonSG
Brandon RushSF
Danny GrangerPF
Josh McRobertsC
Roy HibbertA few weeks back when I was recommending not to add
Paul George, I noted that I didn't think the rookie would start even if
Mike Dunleavy got hurt. A week later, Dunleavy did get hurt. Voo Doo powers.
Anyway,
Brandon Rush has started seven games but has not attempted more than nine shots in any of those games. The offense now runs through
Roy Hibbert, not the wings like it did under Jim O'Brien. So we can comfortably ignore the timeshare that is George/Rush.
The
Tyler Hansbrough vs.
Josh McRoberts battle is more interesting. Hansbrough's per-36 minute numbers are pretty striking: 17.3 points, 9.1 rebounds. The problem, however, is twofold. Hansbrough only plays 24-26 minutes per game as a reserve and he does not block, steal, pass or shoot a good percentage. Leave both him and McBob alone.
Perhaps it was not Jim O'Brien that was holding
Darren Collison back after all. Maybe he just is not that good. Over his last 10 games, Collison is averaging just 10.5 points and 4.4 assists while shooting 36.4 percent from the field. His playing time is getting slashed because he is not performing. I'd expect a small uptick over the final month, but nothing great.
MIAMIPG
Mario ChalmersSG
Dwyane WadeSF
LeBron JamesPF
Chris BoshC
Erick DampierMuch like an unaware fantasy owner, the Heat are finding out that the acquisition of
Mike Bibby is not all that exciting. As one of the worst defenders in the league, coaches have a hard time using him. And he can no longer beat anyone off the dribble. Bibby may eventually start over
Mario Chalmers and push for 25 minutes, but they will be empty. Move on.
MILWAUKEEPG
Brandon JenningsSG
John SalmonsSF
Carlos DelfinoPF
Jon BrockmanC
Larry SandersInjuries to both
Andrew Bogut (ribcage) and Ersan Ilysaova (concussion) have turned this front line into a mess. While Bogut will play Tuesday, Ilyasova's head injury is showing signs of being serious. Enter
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute.
Mbah a Moute is expected to start the Bucks' next game at power forward and could very well hold the job the rest of the year. As a starter this year, the defensive specialist is averaging just 6.2 points, 5.7 assists and 1.0 steals. But over the last five games, Mbah a Moute is at 10.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.8 steals. For extreme deep leaguers in search of guys that will play 30-plus minutes, Mbah a Moute is worth an add.
Larry Sanders had just four blocks in the three games
Andrew Bogut has missed. Dump him.
Meanwhile, the wing situation is gaining more clarity.
Corey Maggette was playing way behind
Carlos Delfino and
Chris Douglas-Roberts even before his latest knee tweak. Lock in Delfino and
John Salmons to 30-plus minutes the rest of the way.
NEW JERSEYPG
Deron WilliamsSG
Sasha VujacicSF
Damion JamesPF
Kris HumphriesC
Brook LopezCoach
Avery Johnson tried
Sasha Vujacic as his starting shooting guard for a couple games. Predictably, it was a failed experiment. Despite Saturday's 26-point outburst when
Anthony Morrow (concussion) was out, Vujacic is just not a a legit NBA starter. When Morrow is healthy, he will start and play about 31-33 minutes. Use his 13.6 points and 2.2 3-pointers made per game from February as an expectation.
The
Deron Williams' wrist situation is concerning, but he feels an obligation to play out the season. After all, the Nets gave up their franchise for him. So we can consider this wife pregnancy situation a good thing. Williams will fulfill his family obligations while resting his wrists. Then, he will come back strong. It's a win-win. In the meantime,
Jordan Farmar projects to play 35 minutes as a top-end fantasy player.
With
Derrick Favors gone,
Kris Humphries, is a beast. In 32 starts this year, Hump is averaging 9.6 points, 11.1 rebounds and 1.2 blocks on 50.6 percent shooting. Look for his points to rise with Williams at the controls.
NEW YORKPG
Toney DouglasSG
Landry FieldsSF
Carmelo AnthonyPF
Amare StoudemireC
Jared JeffriesCoach Mike D'Antoni has announced that
Jared Jeffries will be his starting center even when
Ronny Turiaf (knee) returns Yawn. In three starts for the Knicks, Jeffries has played 25.1 minutes per game but somehow averaged 0.3 points. Is that even possible?
Meanwhile,
Chauncey Billups' (thigh) absence should be looked at as a good thing. For a player as old as him, a minor muscle injury like this serves as a break. He should be locked and loaded for a big final push.
Landry Fields has adjusted to the trade just fine. He is averaging 31.9 minutes per game over his last five, but most nights he will push for 34. The rookie's status has held as a low-end three-point specialist.
ORLANDOPG
Jameer NelsonSG
Jason Richardson
SF
Hedo TurkogluPF
Ryan AndersonC
Brandon BassDwight Howard was suspended Monday. He will be back out there Wednesday, returning
Ryan Anderson to his bench role.
Anderson is what he is at this point -- he will play 22-24 minutes off the bench and average two treys per game. Anything else you get is a bonus.
The rest of this rotation is set. If you have seen
Gilbert Arenas hobble around on the court, you know he is no real threat to
Jameer Nelson.
PHILADELPHIAPG
Jrue HolidaySG
Jodie MeeksSF
Andre IguodalaPF
Elton BrandC
Spencer HawesAs the Sixers continue to get off to slow starts almost nightly, they are relying more and more on their NBA-best bench. After hovering around 26 minutes all season
Thaddeus Young is playing 32.6 minutes a night over the last three games. He is guaranteed at least 26 minutes nightly and is well worth owning in almost all formats.
Lou Williams' role is not quite as secure. When
Jodie Meeks gets hot, coach Doug Collins likes to ride the Kentucky product as the better defensive player. And
Evan Turner's role is even less secure. Yes, the No. 2 overall pick is playing better, but his jump shot remains abysmal. He will play 16 minutes and struggle much more than he will play 30 minutes.
I'd rank these bench options Young>>Williams>>>Turner.
TORONTOPG
Jose CalderonSG
DeMar DeRozanSF
James JohnsonPF
Amir JohnsonC
Andrea BargnaniThe power forward spot here keeps getting more and more interesting.
Amir Johnson has surprisingly been able to combine his enormous upside with consistency, making him one of the more valuable players in fantasy over the last couple months. Meanwhile rookie
Ed Davis is proving to be a gem. Check out these per-36 minute stats on Davis: 10.8 points, 10.9 rebounds, 1.8 blocks, 61.2 percent shooting. And
Reggie Evans (foot) seems to be close.
So what gives? Well, at this point, Johnson can't lose his starting gig. He is just playing too well. And as a building block for the Raptors' future, Davis must get minutes. Evans is one of the more beloved guys in every locker room and will get some time too. Look for 29-31 minutes out of Johnson, 23-26 minutes for Davis and eventually 18-20 from Evans.
James Johnson is a nice little story, but relying on him is a desperate move. Johnson will struggle for minutes often thanks to
Jerryd Bayless/
Leandro Barbosa/
Sonny Weems and the ex-Bull just is not a scorer. His current block rate (10 in last six games) is unsustainable.
WASHINGTONPG
John WallSG
Nick YoungSF
Maurice EvansPF
Andray BlatcheC
JaVale McGeeAt some point,
Rashard Lewis has to just give it up. His knee is simply too sore and while it's admirable that he wants to keep playing for a 16-46 team, it does not make much sense. Look for him to shut it down soon. Theoretically, that would open up time for
Josh Howard. But he continues to struggle with his knee along with hamstring woes, so this small forward spot is a fantasy wasteland. It's just not worth the headache.
With those early-season knee problems behind him,
John Wall is racking up huge minutes. Over the last 10 games, Wall is averaging 19.5 points, 8.5 assists while playing 39.0 minutes. However, his lack of treys and awful field-goal percentage makes me wary. I think Wall will be overvalued in drafts next year.
Follow Adam Levitan on Twitter for instant news and reaction to changes in NBA depth charts throughout the week.