CHICAGOPG
Derrick RoseSG
Keith BogansSF
Luol DengPF
Carlos BoozerC
Joakim NoahNow completely healthy again as of Monday, the Bulls continue to trot out one of the most stable rotations in the game. The big four of
Derrick Rose,
Joakim Noah,
Luol Deng and
Carlos Boozer will all play 32-plus minutes nightly.
Ronnie Brewer and
Keith Bogans will cancel each other out and
Taj Gibson projects as the primary big man off the bench going forward.
With a 50-19 record, this team is humming along.
CLEVELANDPG
Ramon SessionsSG
Anthony ParkerSF
Alonzo GeePF
Samardo SamuelsC
J.J. HicksonRamon Sessions' declining play combined with his recently revealed sports hernia injury makes the point guard situation less cloudy than it seems.
Baron Davis will be the starter once his back heals up and he gets his legs under him. Within a week, look for 31-33 minutes for Davis and 24-27 for Sessions.
J.J. Hickson has settled in reasonably well to the center spot, showing significant improvement as a rebounded. Although he does not play huge minutes, Hickson is proving to be productive in the 29-31 minute range. In the 12 games since the All-Star break before Monday, Hickson was averaging 14.3 points, 9.4 rebounds and 0.9 blocks. It is a sustainable pace.
Samardo Samuels is losing some juice. After playing 30 or more minutes in his first five starts, he has played fewer than 30 minutes in four of his last five starts. Considering his meager block/steal upside and horrid free-throw shooting, owners in medium sized leagues can likely move on.
DETROITPG
Tracy McGradySG
Richard HamiltonSF
Tayshaun PrincePF
Greg MonroeC
Ben WallaceCoach John Kuester has made it very clear that he does not believe in defined roles or preparation. If you are active for a game, Kuester expects you to be ready to do whatever he asks. He does not care what the players or the media think. So we should all just stop complaining about him and accept it.
Lately, Kuester has decided that he prefers
Rodney Stuckey in a bench role. Fine. Over the last three games, Stuckey is averaging 12.3 points, 8.0 assists and 1.6 steals while playing 30.3 minutes a night. Even when Stuckey was starting, he was only playing 31.5 minutes per night. In other words, we can comfortably use the combo guard right now for low-end value.
One player that has stayed above the fray is
Greg Monroe. He has started 33 straight games and is averaging 14.1 points, 8.7 rebounds, 1.7 steals and 0.8 blocks over the last nine games while playing 32.3 minutes per night. Not even Kuester can stunt this kid's growth.
I would not mess with the
Richard Hamilton/
Tracy McGrady/
Ben Gordon mess unless I really had to. All are on a short leash and subject to random minutes swings based on effectiveness. I would rather roll the dice with
Tayshaun Prince, who has logged 32 minutes or more in six of his last seven games.
INDIANAPG
Darren CollisonSG
Paul GeorgeSF
Danny GrangerPF
Tyler HansbroughC
Roy HibbertTyler Hansbrough is proving to be a much better NBA scorer than anyone outside of Larry Bird could have imagined. Since being promoted to the starting lineup eight games ago, he has scored 20 or more points five times. It's not a fluke -- this kid knows how to score on the NBA level and is a plus contributor in steals and free-throw percentage. Ride him.
Roy Hibbert is really frustrating to own due to some wild inconsistency. But the point is that the Pacers are intent on developing Hibbert and want to feature him on offense. Owners are best served to close their eyes and check out the stats on a week-to-week basis. Over his last 13 games, Hibbert is averaging 10.6 blocks, 6.9 rebounds and 1.9 blocks. It is nothing great, but it is certainly usable in most formats.
With the Pacers hanging on to the No. 8 seed in the East,
Danny Granger is showing some fight. We know the field-goal percentage is going to be tough to swallow, but he is playing hard again and getting to the line. It's obvious Granger has no plans to shut anything down.
MILWAUKEEPG
Brandon JenningsSG
John SalmonsSF
Carlos DelfinoPF
Luc Richard Mbah a MouteC
Andrew BogutA rotation that was once one of the most volatile in the league has finally gained some stability.
Corey Maggette has completely fallen out of the mix, locking
Carlos Delfino and
John Salmons into major minutes. Both starting wingmen are turning into high-end plays as the Bucks push for a playoff berth.
Ersan Ilyasova (concussion) is back doing some light on-court work, but is still not going full throttle. Considering he has been out over a month, the ship may have sailed on him returning to a major role. Over the last nine games,
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is averaging 10.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 0.7 blocks per game. The defensive stopped has established himself as the starting power forward and deep leaguers could do worse at the bottom of their roster.
No, I do not believe that
Michael Redd can really have a positive impact on the Bucks. It's a great story and all, but 31-year-olds with no knees left just do not get the job done. Remember that Redd averaged just 11.9 points on 35.2 percent shooting in 18 games before ripping up his knee again during the 1009-10 season. If I owned Salmons or Delfino, I would not feel threatened.
NEW JERSEYPG
Jordan FarmarSG
Anthony MorrowSF
Stephen GrahamPF
Kris HumphriesC
Brook LopezThe point guard situation here is getting messy.
Deron Williams (wrist) says he is not shutting it down and hopes to play Friday, but common sense says he will hang it up. He is a must hold until his reevaluation. Meanwhile, starting-caliber backup
Jordan Farmar lost minutes Monday night to journeyman
Sundiata Gaines.
I would not expect the Gaines experiment to stick. Consider Monday's performance a "hot hand" case, something that he is unlikely to duplicate. Meanwhile, Farmar came into Monday averaging 15.0 points, 8.8 assists, 1.6 treys and 1.3 steals as a starter this season. He is a legit NBA starter and is a good bet for 31-34 minutes nightly. Farmar is a hold through the rest of the season.
Coach
Avery Johnson is intent on bringing
Sasha Vujacic off the bench now, even when
Damion James is hurt. Monday night's 14 points in 16 minutes was extremely fluky.
Anthony Morrow is the one locked in to 33-35 minutes and is useful as a 3-point specialist.
Mike Bibby was headed for a starting gig even before
Mario Chalmers went down. His ability to knock down open jumpers is sure to open up the floor for the Heat's big three and his veteran presence should help their crunch time woes. But can Bibby help fantasy owners as much as he can help the Miami?
Coaches are constantly tinkering, toying and yanking around with rotations. Sometimes it has to do with injuries. In other instances, it's a result of ineffective play from a certain player. The effect this has on minutes played and thus statistical production is where we come in.
Each week in this space, I'll explore the rotations of half the league's teams while attempting to get inside coaches' heads. The idea is not to tell you what
Kevin Durant and
LeBron James are going to do --- it's to decipher how much production we can get out of fringe players.
Last week, I hit the West and hit a home run with
C.J. Miles. This week, we explore the East and start in Miami:
* Note that the lineups listed reflect the starters in the team's previous game. Stats are through Monday's games unless otherwise noted.MIAMIPG
Mario ChalmersSG
Dwyane WadeSF
LeBron JamesPF
Chris BoshC
Erick DampierMario Chalmers is expected to miss about two weeks with a right knee sprain. Enter
Mike Bibby, who now projects to hover around 30 minutes nightly and start the rest of the regular season plus the playoffs.
Before going any further, owners must understand that Bibby is a shell of the player we all remember from Sacramento. He turns 33 next month, is one of the worst perimeter defenders in all of basketball and can no longer get his own shot off. Bibby was playing nearly 30 minutes a game for the Hawks earlier this season, but averaged just 9.4 points and 3.6 assists.
Bibby has played just 10 games with the Heat so far, and here are his per-36 minute stats in those games: 10.0 points, 3.4 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 0.2 steals. Yep, that bad.
But the stat I left out is 3-pointers made and attempted per game. Out of the 47 field goals Bibby has attempted with the Heat, 35 have been treys. He is jacking up 5.7 3-point attempts per-36 minutes in Miami and that is a sustainable number.
Now starting at about six wide open treys per game, Bibby is a good bet for two-plus 3-pointers made the rest of the way. He is the definition of a strict specialist, but a potentially difference-making one for those category hunting.
ATLANTAPG
Kirk HinrichSG
Joe JohnsonSF
Marvin WilliamsPF
Josh SmithC
Al HorfordI repeatedly warned owners not to buy into Jeff Teague's 24-point outburst and subsequent promotion last week. This kid has had plenty of opportunities before and flubbed virtually all of them. In 10 career starts, Teague is averaging just 9.7 points and 4.5 assists while shooting 39.4 percent from the field. And that includes the fluky 24-point game last Saturday. Teague picked up a DNP-CD on Sunday and the Hawks should have legit concerns that he will never be an average NBA starter.
Teague's struggles have put
Kirk Hinrich back on the fantasy map. He is most effective when playing point guard and should be locked into that role the rest of the way. Look for around 30 minutes of 3-point/steal/assist upside.
Here are
Marvin Williams' numbers in 42 starts this year: 10.3 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.5 assists. Yawn.
BOSTONPG
Rajon RondoSG
Ray AllenSF
Paul PiercePF
Kevin GarnettC
Nenad KrsticPerhaps
Rajon Rondo's injuries are overblown. At this point in the season, every NBA player is banged up with sprained joints and sore knees. His aggressive 42.5 minutes on Monday night should put to rest any major concerns.
Nenad Krstic was playing way over his head when he recorded back-to-back double-doubles last week. With Shaq close to a return and no blocks upside, Krstic is not a real fantasy option.
Jeff Green is settling in to his 22-26 minute role off the bench. In his last 10 games prior to Monday, he was averaging 12.6 points, 2.3 rebounds and 0.4 assists. Couple that with 0.7 blocks, 0.6 steals and 0.6 treys and we have an unappealing fantasy option.
Glen Davis, meanwhile, is much more attractive. With his knee back at full strength, Davis is a lock to hover around 30 minutes and give owners points/rebounds nightly.
Editor's Note: Draft a hoops team just for tonight and win real cash in SnapDraft!CHARLOTTEPG
D.J. AugustinSG
Gerald HendersonSF
Dante CunninghamPF
Boris DiawC
Kwame BrownChalk
Tyrus Thomas up as a swing and a miss. Since returning from that knee injury, he is averaging just 5.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 blocks in 18.7 minutes per night. Even those desperate for blocks can move on while keeping an eye on the situation. Should
Boris Diaw go back into his shell, Thomas would be worth an add.
Stephen Jackson's hamstring injury has become a major concern. He admits he is playing at 55 or 60 percent and the numbers show it. Captain Jack has missed four of the last eight games and is shooting 30.8 percent in his last six appearances. All owners can do is keep putting him out there when healthy, but be aware of the shutdown possibilities and likely ineffective play.
I am not a big
Gerald Henderson, but he is a lock for huge minutes on a team void of scorers. The problem is that he’s averaging 0.1 treys, 2.6 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 0.4 blocks over his last 10 games despite playing nearly 34 minutes. The Bobcats need him more than fantasy owners do.
Editor's Note: For weekly projections, daily pickup advice, exclusive columns and much more, check out Rotoworld's Season Pass!CHICAGOPG
Derrick RoseSG
Keith BogansSF
Luol DengPF
Carlos BoozerC
Joakim NoahNow completely healthy again as of Monday, the Bulls continue to trot out one of the most stable rotations in the game. The big four of
Derrick Rose,
Joakim Noah,
Luol Deng and
Carlos Boozer will all play 32-plus minutes nightly.
Ronnie Brewer and
Keith Bogans will cancel each other out and
Taj Gibson projects as the primary big man off the bench going forward.
With a 50-19 record, this team is humming along.
CLEVELANDPG
Ramon SessionsSG
Anthony ParkerSF
Alonzo GeePF
Samardo SamuelsC
J.J. HicksonRamon Sessions' declining play combined with his recently revealed sports hernia injury makes the point guard situation less cloudy than it seems.
Baron Davis will be the starter once his back heals up and he gets his legs under him. Within a week, look for 31-33 minutes for Davis and 24-27 for Sessions.
J.J. Hickson has settled in reasonably well to the center spot, showing significant improvement as a rebounded. Although he does not play huge minutes, Hickson is proving to be productive in the 29-31 minute range. In the 12 games since the All-Star break before Monday, Hickson was averaging 14.3 points, 9.4 rebounds and 0.9 blocks. It is a sustainable pace.
Samardo Samuels is losing some juice. After playing 30 or more minutes in his first five starts, he has played fewer than 30 minutes in four of his last five starts. Considering his meager block/steal upside and horrid free-throw shooting, owners in medium sized leagues can likely move on.
DETROITPG
Tracy McGradySG
Richard HamiltonSF
Tayshaun PrincePF
Greg MonroeC
Ben WallaceCoach John Kuester has made it very clear that he does not believe in defined roles or preparation. If you are active for a game, Kuester expects you to be ready to do whatever he asks. He does not care what the players or the media think. So we should all just stop complaining about him and accept it.
Lately, Kuester has decided that he prefers
Rodney Stuckey in a bench role. Fine. Over the last three games, Stuckey is averaging 12.3 points, 8.0 assists and 1.6 steals while playing 30.3 minutes a night. Even when Stuckey was starting, he was only playing 31.5 minutes per night. In other words, we can comfortably use the combo guard right now for low-end value.
One player that has stayed above the fray is
Greg Monroe. He has started 33 straight games and is averaging 14.1 points, 8.7 rebounds, 1.7 steals and 0.8 blocks over the last nine games while playing 32.3 minutes per night. Not even Kuester can stunt this kid's growth.
I would not mess with the
Richard Hamilton/
Tracy McGrady/
Ben Gordon mess unless I really had to. All are on a short leash and subject to random minutes swings based on effectiveness. I would rather roll the dice with
Tayshaun Prince, who has logged 32 minutes or more in six of his last seven games.
INDIANAPG
Darren CollisonSG
Paul GeorgeSF
Danny GrangerPF
Tyler HansbroughC
Roy HibbertTyler Hansbrough is proving to be a much better NBA scorer than anyone outside of Larry Bird could have imagined. Since being promoted to the starting lineup eight games ago, he has scored 20 or more points five times. It's not a fluke -- this kid knows how to score on the NBA level and is a plus contributor in steals and free-throw percentage. Ride him.
Roy Hibbert is really frustrating to own due to some wild inconsistency. But the point is that the Pacers are intent on developing Hibbert and want to feature him on offense. Owners are best served to close their eyes and check out the stats on a week-to-week basis. Over his last 13 games, Hibbert is averaging 10.6 blocks, 6.9 rebounds and 1.9 blocks. It is nothing great, but it is certainly usable in most formats.
With the Pacers hanging on to the No. 8 seed in the East,
Danny Granger is showing some fight. We know the field-goal percentage is going to be tough to swallow, but he is playing hard again and getting to the line. It's obvious Granger has no plans to shut anything down.
MILWAUKEEPG
Brandon JenningsSG
John SalmonsSF
Carlos DelfinoPF
Luc Richard Mbah a MouteC
Andrew BogutA rotation that was once one of the most volatile in the league has finally gained some stability.
Corey Maggette has completely fallen out of the mix, locking
Carlos Delfino and
John Salmons into major minutes. Both starting wingmen are turning into high-end plays as the Bucks push for a playoff berth.
Ersan Ilyasova (concussion) is back doing some light on-court work, but is still not going full throttle. Considering he has been out over a month, the ship may have sailed on him returning to a major role. Over the last nine games,
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is averaging 10.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 0.7 blocks per game. The defensive stopped has established himself as the starting power forward and deep leaguers could do worse at the bottom of their roster.
No, I do not believe that
Michael Redd can really have a positive impact on the Bucks. It's a great story and all, but 31-year-olds with no knees left just do not get the job done. Remember that Redd averaged just 11.9 points on 35.2 percent shooting in 18 games before ripping up his knee again during the 1009-10 season. If I owned Salmons or Delfino, I would not feel threatened.
NEW JERSEYPG
Jordan FarmarSG
Anthony MorrowSF
Stephen GrahamPF
Kris HumphriesC
Brook LopezThe point guard situation here is getting messy.
Deron Williams (wrist) says he is not shutting it down and hopes to play Friday, but common sense says he will hang it up. He is a must hold until his reevaluation. Meanwhile, starting-caliber backup
Jordan Farmar lost minutes Monday night to journeyman
Sundiata Gaines.
I would not expect the Gaines experiment to stick. Consider Monday's performance a "hot hand" case, something that he is unlikely to duplicate. Meanwhile, Farmar came into Monday averaging 15.0 points, 8.8 assists, 1.6 treys and 1.3 steals as a starter this season. He is a legit NBA starter and is a good bet for 31-34 minutes nightly. Farmar is a hold through the rest of the season.
Coach
Avery Johnson is intent on bringing
Sasha Vujacic off the bench now, even when
Damion James is hurt. Monday night's 14 points in 16 minutes was extremely fluky.
Anthony Morrow is the one locked in to 33-35 minutes and is useful as a 3-point specialist.
NEW YORKPG
Toney DouglasSG
Landry FieldsSF
Carmelo AnthonyPF
Amare StoudemireC
Jared JeffriesRonny Turiaf is starting again, but do not take the bait. He has started 16 games this season prior to Monday and averaged just 5.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.0 blocks in those games. Turiaf is also one of the best bets in the league for an in-game injury.
I certainly understand the appeal of
Shawne Williams. Not only is he one of the better 3-point shooters in the NBA, but he also rebounds at a high level and his length leads to some blocks. However, the torn ligament in his shooting hand that he is playing through is a major concern. As a borderline player to begin with, a wait-and-see approach is safer.
ORLANDOPG
Jameer NelsonSG
Jason Richardson
SF
Hedo TurkogluPF
Brandon BassC
Dwight HowardThere are no surprises here on a game-to-game basis.
Gilbert Arenas is proving that he will never return to serviceable form and Ryan Anderson continues to show that he is quite comfortable as a reserve.
In his last 10 games before Monday, Anderson was averaging 10.2 points, 6.3 rebounds, 2.0 treys and 1.0 blocks. Sneaky, solid value despite the 25-27 minutes nightly.
PHILADELPHIAPG
Jrue HolidaySG
Jodie MeeksSF
Evan TurnerPF
Elton BrandC
Spencer HawesAndre Iguodala took what amounted to a maintenance day on Saturday, giving rookie
Evan Turner the start. Although Iguodala has nagging knee and Achilles pain, I would not expect anything near a full shutdown. The concern is that the Sixers are essentially locked in to the sixth or seventh seed and that really does not make a difference in playoff positioning. Iguodala could take a game or two more off in the final week.
The nagging injuries certainly have not bothered Iguodala on the court. Over his last 10 games, the swingman is averaging 15.0 points, 8.1 assists, 6.6 rebounds, 1.8 steals and 1.4 treys. He also guards the opponent's best perimeter player nightly and plays 36 minutes. It's a level we have not previously seen from Iguodala.
Jodie Meeks' ability to defend and finish consistently on the fast break have yielded more minutes. Over the last 11 games, Meeks is averaging a staggering 35.7 minutes to go with 14.5 points, 2.8 treys and 1.3 steals. He has not played fewer than 30 minutes in any game over that span and the Sixers are 31-21 overall when he starts. Look no further for a 3-point specialist with upside.
TORONTOPG
Jose CalderonSG
DeMar DeRozanSF
James JohnsonPF
Amir JohnsonC
Andrea Bargnani Amir Johnson left Monday night's game with another ankle injury and
Reggie Evans started the second half at power forward. Since coming off the injured list seven games ago, Evans is averaging 12.1 boards a night. Category hunters should take notice.
As long as
Leandro Barbosa is coming off the bench, which he will likely do the rest of the season, he is going to be tough to trust. The Brazilian Blur has logged 18 or less minutes in three straight games as the Raptors refuse to kick
DeMar DeRozan to small forward.
WASHINGTONPG
John WallSG
Jordan CrawfordSF
Trevor BookerPF
Yi JianlianC
JaVale McGeeThe lack of information coming out of Washington regarding their litany of injuries speaks volumes. They seem to be mailing in the final part of their miserable season and did not even practice Monday even though they arrived in Portland Sunday night, two days ahead of Tuesday's game.
When teams like this give up, it turns into wild, defense-free street ball. See
JaVale McGee's triple-double from last week or
Jordan Crawford's 20.2 points per game over the last five. Even defensive-minded
Trevor Booker is giving owners viable production.
The point is that anyone starting in this kind of system deserves consideration.
Rashard Lewis is done,
Josh Howard is likely done and
Nick Young/
Andray Blatche are not showing much urgency to get back. All we can do is get the guys getting minutes into our lineups.
Andray Blatche is out at least two more games and
Nick Young is out at least one more. Get
Jordan Crawford and
Trevor Booker into lineups.
Follow Adam Levitan on Twitter for instant news and reaction to changes in NBA depth charts throughout the week.