Steve Alexander

Offseason Beat

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Point Guard Depth

Thursday, September 13, 2012


I participated in my first of many industry league basketball drafts on Wednesday night and came away with some thoughts on point guard depth in fantasy hoops this season. It feels like the position is extremely deep and the days of having starting point guards who produce almost nothing in fantasy (think Eric Snow, Derek Fisher, etc.) might be behind us. That means, in theory, there are potentially 30 solid point guard options out there, meaning you don’t necessarily need to spend a Top 10 pick on Chris Paul, Russell Westbrook, Kyrie Irving or Deron Williams. But I’m not going to lie, either. If I pick outside of the Top 2 in my drafts, there’s a very good chance I will take Russell Westbrook in Round 1 – and that might even include taking him at No. 3 overall.  He doesn’t miss games, is a triple-double threat every time out and scores a ton of points.  Yes, the turnovers and lack of threes are annoying, but he’s only going to get better, which is a scary thought.

 

On a side note, if you’re drafting on CBS this year, somehow Eric Gordon and Marcus Thornton qualify at point guard. I’m not sure if this will still be the case a month from now, but if it doesn’t change, you can add at least two more studs to the point guard mix.

 

I went into this draft (Roto, 12 teams, start 1 PG, 2 C) planning on waiting until the last possible second to draft a point guard, until I accidentally landed Gordon in Round 5.  My first four picks were Kevin Durant, Rudy Gay, Paul Pierce and Marcin Gortat (2 center league). This entire draft is being recapped in detail for the Rotoworld NBA Draft Guide, which will be available soon.  I ended up with Raymond Felton in Round 6, whom I think is in for a nice bounce-back season in New York, and Mo Williams, who is now starting for the Jazz, in Round 9. Not great, but two starters with plenty of potential this season.

 

Here is a list of point guards and what pick they were taken with in each round, along with my quick two cents.  Monta Ellis, Gordon, Thornton, Tyreke Evans, O.J. Mayo and Lou Williams all qualify at PG on CBSW, but I didn’t include them because that won’t be the case in all leagues.  On the flip side, Austin Rivers and Evan Turner only qualified at SG, even though they’re both expected to see time at the point this season. Including the aforementioned qualifiers at PG in this draft, it appears to me that there are at least 40 decent options available at point guard this year. However, Jason Kidd and Devin Harris don't make the final cut for me. 

 

In short, there were still some pretty solid options available in Rounds 11 and 12, and if you choose to avoid point guards for the first four rounds of your draft, you will still be able to get a couple of very solid starters in the middle. While point guard appears to be the deepest position in fantasy this season, if you want a stud, including Rookie of the Year Irving, you better plan on taking him in the first round of your draft.

 

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Round 1

 

3. Chris Paul Clippers– Like Old Faithful, as long as he’s healthy, he’s the man.

5. Russell Westbrook Thunder – I love, love, love this guy, despite obvious flaws.

6. Deron Williams Nets – Scoring has to drop with new weapons in Brooklyn.

8. Kyrie Irving Cavs – If you want Irving this season, be prepared to pay handsomely.

11. John Wall Wizards (autopick) – Wall shouldn’t go first round in most leagues.

 

Round 2

 

3. Rajon Rondo Celtics – Lack of scoring and 3-pointers a pain, but assists/steals galore.

12. Ty Lawson Nuggets – Andre who?

 

Round 3

 1. Stephen Curry Warriors – If he can stay healthy, a steal (this is a recording).

 4. Steve Nash Lakers – Now dishing to Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard.

 11. Brandon Jennings Bucks – My pick for most underrated PG in the game, FG% be damned.

 12. Goran Dragic Suns – I would be surprised to see Dragic go later than Round 3 this year.

 

Round 4

 

2. Tony Parker Spurs – Very solid PG despite lack of threes and poor FT%.

4. Mike Conley Grizzlies – Consistent, won’t hurt you anywhere, solid Round 4 pick.

6. Jrue Holiday Sixers – With Iguodala out of the way, should have chance to run offense.

8. Kyle Lowry Raptors – May timeshare with Jose Calderon some, but will start for Toronto.

 

Round 5

 

1. Darren Collison Mavericks – Now starting for Dallas and should bounce back.

4. Damian Lillard Blazers – Plenty of groans from other owners when Blazers’ rookie was taken.

11. Kemba Walker Bobcats – Has to compete with Ramon Sessions, but numbers should be there.

 

Round 6

 

5. Jeremy Lin Rockets – Still the man in Houston, as long as he stays on Kevin McHale’s good side.

10. Jeff Teague Hawks – Devin Harris was brought in to be his back up.  

11. Raymond Felton Knicks – Not a guarantee, but should be significantly better in NY.

 

Round 7

 

6. Greivis Vasquez Hornets - Austin Rivers may challenge him, but Vasquez looks like the guy to draft, for now. 

12. Isaiah Thomas Kings – He’s got some comp for minutes, but still a fun player.

 

Round 8

 

9. Brandon Knight Pistons – Eventually is going to break out in Detroit.

 

Round 9

 

2. Mo Williams Jazz – The new starting PG in Utah and a very serviceable fantasy starter.

8. Rodney Stuckey Pistons – Playing SG, but will also see minutes at PG. Gets to the line more than you think.

4. George Hill Pacers – D.J. Augustin and Hill will timeshare in Indy. I prefer DJA for now.

9. Ricky Rubio Timberwolves – Out until December-ish after knee surgery, but value this late.

 

Round 10

 

1. Jameer Nelson Magic – Orlando is going to struggle, but should get most of the PG minutes.

 

Round 11

 

1. Jose Calderon Raptors – A trade out of Toronto could do wonders for his fantasy value.

5. Derrick Rose Bulls – Don’t expect him until after the All-Star Break.

7. D.J. Augustin Pacers – New starter in Indy, but has to compete with George Hill.

10. Andre Miller Nuggets – Second fiddle to Lawson, but doesn’t miss games, still dimes.

11. Luke Ridnour Timberwolves – Should start plenty of games with Rubio still hurting.

12. Kirk Hinrich Bulls – Will help fill in for Rose, along with Nate Robinson, who wasn’t drafted.

 

Round 12

 

2. Ramon Sessions Bobcats – Hoping to beat out Kemba Walker for starting gig in Charlotte.

 

Round 13

 

1. Mario Chalmers Heat – Quietly became solid starting PG in Miami last season.

3. Chauncey Billups Clippers – Now a shooting guard coming off major Achilles injury, but value this late.

6. C.J. Watson Nets – Will back up Deron Williams in Brooklyn, not crazy about him.

9. Jason Kidd Knicks – On his last legs and Felton is the starter in New York.

11. Jerryd Bayless Grizzlies – Will back up Conley in Memphis.

 

Round 14

 

2. Devin Harris Hawks – Will back up Teague in Atlanta.

6. Alexey Shved Timberwolves – Looked great at Olympics and should play both guard spots for Wolves. 



Steve "Dr. A" Alexander is the senior editor for the NBA for Rotoworld.com and a contributor to NBCSports.com. The 2014-15 NBA season marks his 13th year of covering fantasy hoops for Rotoworld. Follow him on Twitter - @Docktora.
Email :Steve Alexander



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