News and Notes
Iman Shumpert (knee) pretty much ruled out a return in December and said January or February, which is more good news for owners of J.R. Smith. Even when Shumpert returns, I don’t know if he’ll be able to cut into Smith’s load. Andrew Bynum (knee) still doesn’t have a timetable for a return. Shocker. Chauncey Billups (Achilles) is targeting Thanksgiving for his return. Jamal Crawford owners shouldn’t panic but they also have a red-hot asset that can be turned into somebody that might not have the threat of a log-jam. Between Chris Paul, Eric Bledsoe, Crawford, and Billups, not to mention the other misfit pieces they have, something has to give at least a little bit right?
Wednesday Night Madness
PHO @ CHA: Gerald Henderson, who showed signs of versatility before succumbing to a foot sprain, will now be out 2-4 weeks. Ramon Sessions, Ben Gordon, and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist will be the primary beneficiaries along with Kemba Walker, who will get Sessions out of his hair a bit. MKG is in his own category as a defensive stat stuffer sitting on the periphery of 12-team value, with his minutes being tied to how he looks on a given night. But the remaining minutes will be more of a battle between Sessions and Gordon, and I like Sessions to hold more value in this Henderson-less segment. We’ll be watching Jared Dudley closely to see if he can break out of his funk, and conversely if Shannon Brown can get a bit more funky. I get a lot of Byron Mullens drop questions. This is the type of opponent he could have his coming out party against. I’m not in the drop Mullens camp, but if you are then you may want to wait and see how tonight goes.
BKY @ MIA: Gerald Wallace is out for at least a week by the look of things, but there has been no real clear beneficiary unless you want to count C.J. Watson and MarShon Brooks. I like Watson over Brooks in deeper formats. Kris Humphries was very low on my board coming into the year and we’re seeing why. He plays for a good team with plenty of talent instead of a bad team with a lot of guys missing. This isn’t rocket science. The Heat buzz-saw has been interesting to watch this year, as Mario Chalmers has flashed assist potential and Ray Allen has been a big producer. We’ll learn a lot about both players this week.
IND @ ATL: Lou Williams left Tuesday’s practice due to a migraine headache, but nobody seems too concerned about his status. Josh Smith (ankle) returned to a limited practice yesterday, but is still iffy to play. Our blurber said that Anthony Tolliver would have no value, but you can never rule that guy out when he’s getting minutes in a starting role. On the Pacers side, they have been awful. While George Hill has put up numbers recently, he has to do a better job of dictating the flow of the offense. Gerald Green is going to pop one of these days, but like a lot of his teammates he’s taking bad shots because of the confused environment. I still haven’t cut him anywhere, for what it’s worth.
WAS @ BOS: Jordan Crawford (ankle) is a game-time call and if he misses the game you can all but guarantee serviceable outings out of A.J. Price and Bradley Beal. I hope you didn’t sleep on Kevin Seraphin as he’s fittin to make his mark on the NBA. No, he’s not going to be a top-tier player, but he proved that he is a player against the Celtics and by virtue of that he is on an even faster track than I had him on a few weeks ago. The Celtics are a pretty easy team to figure out other than the Brandon Bass/Jared Sullinger thing, which hopefully you have avoided. Courtney Lee has yet to show up and Jason Terry will slowly improve and plane out right before Avery Bradley returns. From there, it’ll be a three-way position battle for 48-60 minutes. Also, calling Jeff Green…calling Jeff Green.
MEM @ MIL: John Henson (knee) practiced on Monday and might make his debut tonight, which could rain on the parade of Larry Sanders, Samuel Dalembert and Ekpe Udoh owners. Who knows, with the slow start of Ersan Ilyasova it might impact him, too, though I think we should wait in general before discussing any demotions or doomsday scenarios with Ilyasova. If he doesn’t pick it up this week, though, then the sky might be falling a little bit. Beno Udrih (quad) is out, so look for Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis to get all the run they can handle. The Grizzlies are one of the league’s most consistent fantasy units, and will also be a common thread on championship rosters.
ORL @ MIN: There were Dante Cunningham and Chase Budinger sightings on Monday, and those were the originally intended beneficiaries of the Kevin Love injury, along with the team’s other producers in general. Derrick Williams has been a massive disappointment and probably needs a change of scenery, and Nikola Pekovic needs to show his owners a few more rebounds. Andrei Kirilenko is on fire and should be in all lineups. The Wolves’ backcourt is a bit of a mess, with Luke Ridnour, Brandon Roy, and J.J. Barea all inconsistent to start the year and Alexey Shved joining the party.
DEN @ HOU: The Rockets are beasting right now behind James Harden and Jeremy Lin’s playmaking ability, with Chandler Parsons, Omer Asik, Patrick Patterson, and Carlos Delfino all holding some sort of late round value in 8-cat formats. Everybody in that last group but Delfino has slid a bit in 9-cat leagues but it’s too early to make any sort of blanket statement about any of them. Parsons is playing heavy minutes, Asik is a rebounding machine, Patterson has started to shoot threes, and Delfino is a boom-or-bust guy coming off the Rockets’ bench.
PHI @ NO: Anthony Davis is doubtful with a concussion and this is yet another notch on Monty’s injury confusion belt. Williams went on the offensive about the league’s handling of Davis’ concussion and the policy in general, essentially saying the policy is too rigid. But now Davis is missing an additional game, which necessarily weakens Williams' position on the matter. If he’s hurt and at risk then he shouldn’t play, if he’s not at risk then he should. It should be pretty simple, right? None of this is a surprise after Williams said last year he doesn’t talk to his players about injuries, and at one point last year he didn't have a clue what Emeka Okafor's injury situation was at all. Whatever the case may be, nothing is ever simple on the injury front in New Orleans. Ryan Anderson, Robin Lopez, and Al-Farouq Aminu will be well-positioned to continue producing. Jason Richardson (ankle) looks to be out for the Sixers, so Dorell Wright will be a solid bet for serviceable production. Kwame Brown (calf) is out indefinitely, and when he returns owners shouldn’t go overboard predicting an impact on the rotation.
TOR @ DAL: Jae Crowder seems to be being held back by Rick Carlisle, who if I had to guess doesn’t want to overwhelm the rookie so early in the year. To each their own I suppose. Now that Shawn Marion is out for a week or more, Crowder is set to start and it’s time to give him a hard look again. He has posted low-end value in 9-cat, 12-team leagues in his limited role, but in 8-cat leagues where his low turnover rate doesn’t help he has been just a top-180 play. I expect him to improve at least incrementally this week with a bit of upside, too. Roddy Beaubois (ankle) is still without an update, and if he doesn’t go expect another big-minute outing of the red-hot backcourt of O.J. Mayo and Darren Collison. Chris Kaman (calf) is still getting back to 100 percent but he’s producing and is worth consideration for your lineup. Brandan Wright has been posting mid-round value and I just added him to a loaded team in a 12-team format. I can take those kinds of risks on a loaded unit.
LAL @ UTA: Kobe Bryant (foot) says he’ll be at 90 percent, and probably replays Michael Jordan’s flu game every night as he goes to sleep. He’ll probably put up 40 (kidding, sort of). If you’re playing Steve Blake you’re desperate, and you don’t need me to tell you that even if I just did. I’ll personally be watching to see if Gordon Hayward continues his ascent after a slow start, as I had him ranked much higher than anywhere else I saw (including our general rankings). Derrick Favors will tell us a lot about his standalone value this week, as he is posting 14-16 team value thus far and any slippage there will make him much harder to hold as a lottery ticket. Al Jefferson is making me look good for having him low on my board so far, but I expect him to improve and be a top-tier center regardless. Mo Williams is beasting right now and I don’t really see any reason why he should stop. I know we were on top of him as a site but even my bullish No. 79 8-cat ranking seems woefully off base.
DET @ SAC: The Kings are a total mess. Their offense is awful and their defense has been terrible, no matter how many times Keith Smart says the latter has been intact. And sure, the Kings have seen opponents shoot a very bad percentage, but the hometown fans and writers are so jaded by years of nuclear disaster level defense that their eyes mislead them. And aside from that eye test, each team they’ve faced this season (Bulls, Wolves, Pacers, Warriors) has seen its writers go on the offensive about how awful their team’s offense has been for some or all of the year. Unforced errors and lack of effort has been the culprit for the Kings’ opponents, but Smart gets no flak for owning a largely empty achievement.
And that’s because he doesn’t get flak for anything. I won’t get into the details, but let’s just say Keith Smart owns the press room at Sleep Apnea Arena. Why does this matter? For fantasy purposes guys aren’t getting the job done. Isaiah Thomas needs to be given the car keys for there to be any cohesiveness on offense, Tyreke Evans needs to be told to play two-dribble basketball, DeMarcus Cousins needs to be told to plant his butt in the post and not move, and Jason Thompson needs more plays run for him. They all need to be told to shutup. Marcus Thornton – he’s cool. He can just keep doing what he’s doing. Aaron Brooks can come in and score like crazy for 20-25 mpg and everybody should theoretically be happy and winning (relatively).
But that doesn’t happen, because Smart is tinkering and he isn’t demanding specific performance, and the media is so cozy and unwilling to ask the hard questions that they just regurgitate what the team-sponsored channels say. Until you see pressure mount on Smart to stop doing what got him fired in Golden State, expect a bumpy ride for all of them.
CLE @ GSW: We don’t know how Tyler Zeller’s face evaluation went after he took an elbow in Monday’s game, but if he plays he’ll be an interesting desperation option in 12-14 team formats after a 15 and seven night the last time out. If he doesn’t go, then Tristan Thompson should be a good bet for a nice game against the marshmallow core of the David Lee show. Also, I hope Stephen Curry tapes his ankles real good, because they’re bound to be broken by the backcourt of Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters. I don’t know if I’m kidding when I say that this is a legitimate concern of mine. Alonzo Gee is getting serious pub as an elite defender in the league, and I think he is a must-own player right now as a result. Carl Landry was inexplicably ‘cooled’ by Mark Jackson in Sacramento on Monday, and Andrew Bogut is causing me ‘drop’ questions because he looks really, really hurt right now. The Warriors need to sit him and they may end up learning the hard way. Again. Speaking of that hard way, Curry is going to need a letdown from the Cavs after their big win because he can’t shake Cleveland’s athletes. He, David Lee, and Klay Thompson are must-start players, and look for Thompson to play angry after he missed the game-winner in Sac on Monday. Jarrett Jack was forgotten about in Monday’s loss, but I have a feeling he plays big minutes, if anything for defensive purposes tonight.
SA @ LAC: Blake Griffin added a neck strain to his right elbow bursa sac issue, but neither seems overly serious at least right now. Both squads are rolling along for the most part, and guys are who we thought they were. That is, except for the aforementioned Jamal Crawford. That dude is ballin. Manu Ginobili said his back felt better on Monday but owners should still be in wait-and-see mode until he proves he’s at 80-90 percent. Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, Kawhi Leonard and even Danny Green should all be in lineups, as should Chris Paul and Griffin. From there Caron Butler is worth a look for 3-point shooting and DeAndre Jordan is a boom-or-bust blocks and field goal percentage play.
It was a slow night for NBA basketball, but it was a big night for our country. Regardless of what side of the line you sit, I hope all of you avoid the divisive forces in our country and not grab the low-hanging fruit. There are good arguments on all sides of the line, but the political discussion in this country has been hijacked to the point where people just yell at each other. I don’t have the answers for how to improve all of this, other than to generally reject blasphemy when you see it and demand accountability when you can. Like yesterday. When you voted.
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Lowry Low Point
Kyle Lowry has been dominant in fantasy leagues prior to tonight, and the only thing that could stop fantasy’s No. 1 play so far was for him to inadvertently land on Serge Ibaka’s foot in the first half of last night’s game. Writhing in pain, screaming, and generally acting like Brandon Rush the other night, owners went into a frenzy only to learn a few hours later that he had only a sprain, was already receiving treatment, and left the arena in a walking boot.
I’m not a doctor, but I’ve blown both ankles up a million times and when it’s bad there is no treatment going on. Maybe some of y’all have had different experiences, but when I’ve had a severe sprain the ankle was immobile, iced, and elevated with little to no movement. A walking boot is a better sign than crutches, too, and though I expect him to miss some time – this could have been a lot worse.
Don’t be surprised if the Raptors use this time to showcase Jose Calderon for trade, and though Bryan Colangelo needs to win this season he’s probably smart enough to let Lowry heal properly before throwing him back on the court. If you want my totally speculative guess I’m going to say he returns on Sunday the 18th at home against the Magic. Until he returns, Calderon (eight points, two assists, four steals, 19 minutes) is well worth owning in any format as long as owners know that he may or may not have standalone value when Lowry comes back.
DeMar DeRozan showed his true colors again last night, hitting 2-of-10 shots for eight points and practically nothing else. Jonas Valanciunas went big with 18 points on 6-of-8 shooting with six boards, one assist, and a 6-of-6 mark from the foul line. Value-wise he’s just on the outside of 12-team leagues looking in for 8- and 9-cat formats, but owners should know that this will be the worst of things and those shooting percentage are going to buoy his value. I’m still holding him in a 10-team daily league where there’s not a whole lot of patience for a slow ride. And this just in – Landry Fields (three points, 1-of-6 FGs) still isn’t worth your time.
Further into the deep league realm, Alan Anderson hit just 1-of-6 shots for three points, but he has been playing very well and is the type of guy that could mop up minutes while Lowry is out. Look at him if you need a scorer/3-point shooter. In the stash department, Terrence Ross had a good Summer but tailed off during the preseason and eventually disappeared this year. He had 10 points on 4-of-7 shooting in 14 minutes and hit a pair of threes. It was a building block effort so keep an eye to see if he can string a few of those together.
‘Okay’ Corral
The Thunder rolled over the Raptors last night and left some pretty pedestrian fantasy numbers in its wake, but if you consider that no starter played more than 29 minutes last night things look a lot better. Serge Ibaka scored 17 points on 8-of-9 shooting with four boards, two assists, one steal, and two blocks in just 23 minutes, Kevin Durant scored 15 points with a tepid stat line, Russell Westbrook had 19 points on 5-of-12 shooting, eight assists, and two threes, and Kevin Martin rounded things out with 15 points and a nicely stocked line.
Owners of Ibaka, Durant, and Westbrook are likely disappointed to date, but this is going to be a fantasy machine all season long. I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t concerned about Ibaka’s minutes and Westy’s field goal percentage and turnovers, but those issues were already built into my projections this season. Buy them all up as they won’t sit on the rankings sheet where they are right now for very long.
As for Martin’s top-20 ranking, call me crazy, but I think he can stay in that ballpark all season while he’s healthy. The Thunder are going to want Martin to prove his worth to the NBA world this season, even if Scott Brooks ‘cooled’ him on Sunday while he was going nuts. It was a scene reminiscent of last year’s playoffs, when Brooks benched Harden in Game 1 of the Finals after he dismantled the Spurs the series before. If you read somebody that rips on Harden for those Finals, and they don’t mention Brooks playing him 22 minutes in Game 1 because he wanted to play Derek Fisher 25 minutes, they haven’t done their homework and they are the mark.
Panic Room
Remember when Kenneth Faried and JaVale McGee owners were breathing into a paper bag? Yeah, me neither. Owners can make a killing in the season’s first week whether it’s by trade, waiver wire acquisition, or by simply not panicking with their mid- and late-round talent (see Waiters, Dion). In the case of Faried and McGee you have two young players that are still earning their minutes in George Karl’s system. They have their weaknesses, and they make up for those weaknesses with jaw-dropping athleticism that will eventually win out.
Faried still isn’t playing a ton of minutes, but he’s producing with the minutes he’s getting now and put up another 15 points on 7-of-10 shooting with eight rebounds and a block over 23 minutes. McGee showed me some good stuff last night, playing with effort and making things happen on plays that he might have previously given up on. On one play, he lunged around a rebounder in an awkward fashion, poked the ball away, retrieved it, and scored in impressive fashion. I noted the hustle play as one that might earn him more minutes going forward. Last night he had 16 points on 7-of-11 shooting in just 18 minutes, with three rebounds and three blocks to boot.
Both guys are already putting up serviceable value in 10- and 12-team formats despite operating on the worst-case side of their spectrums, and owners would be wise to target them in trades and the like while there’s still some ambiguity about where their seasons are heading. And since we’re talking Nuggets assets that should be on the rise, Danilo Gallinari continued his shooting slump last night and is now 10-of-39 on the season. It’s probably linked to his ankle injury, and regardless that’s not going to continue and owners might be able to obtain him for 90 cents on the dollar. Nobody seems to be panicking about Ty Lawson and Andre Iguodala, but they are also struggling in relation to their ADP. They’re fine, too. Their numbers will come around.
Knight and Day
Brandon Knight played like a rookie last night, hitting 1-of-6 shots for two points with plenty of ‘why did he do that’ moments. He still managed four rebounds, nine assists, one steal, and one block, which is the mark of an improving fantasy player – getting numbers when things aren’t going well. I’m not exactly bullish on Knight because he struggles in defensive and shooting categories, but there’s a silver lining to last night’s result.
The fantasy story of the night coming out of the Pistons’ loss was the resurgence of Rodney Stuckey, who has been dealing with an apparent inner-ear issue and finally got back on the board last night. He hit only 5-of-17 shots and is a work in progress in that department, but the 17 points, four rebounds, four assists, two threes, and a block are a very good look. He really shouldn’t have been dropped in most cases, but if he was go run and pick him up. He has early mid-round upside and shouldn’t fall beneath a late-round value this year.
Greg Monroe finally had that breakout game everybody was waiting for, scoring 27 points on 10-of-20 shooting with 10 boards, two assists, a steal, three blocks, and a perfect mark on seven attempts from the line. The only surprise here was that it didn’t happen sooner.
Bullish on Orlando
The Bulls beat the Magic at home on Tuesday, and let’s get the boring Bulls chat out of the way first. Rip Hamilton (seven points, not much else) continues to be a mediocre low-end play with injury risk. Kirk Hinrich continues to alternate between Atlanta Hinrich and Old Chicago Hinrich and last night was the latter, as he put up eight points with five rebounds, five assists, two steals, and two threes. With Nate Robinson (11 points, six assists) around to provide punch, I suspect this is how Hinrich’s year will go. Both are worth owning in 12-team leagues, and personally I like Lil’ Him because of Hinrich’s injury risk.
Joakim Noah blocked what seemed to be 100 Big Baby shots last night, but in the end it was merely five blocks to go with 20 points, nine boards, and four assists. It’s something to think about when your big men are playing against Orlando – Baby might break the league record this year for blocks against. Luol Deng had a big night with 23 points, eight boards, and four assists, and Carlos Boozer hit just 6-of-18 shots to go for 12 and eight with a few minor goodies. The bottom line here is that beyond the main characters, this team is extremely shallow and while most of these guys carry some injury risk – they should ball out when healthy.
Where I find plenty more intrigue is on the Orlando side of the ball, mainly because people are acting like J.J. Redick all of a sudden improved this year. He has been playing this way for two years now, but it took a Dwight Howard trade and housecleaning to open up the opportunity. I am a proud owner almost everywhere, and yes I think he can keep up top-half of the draft value in standard formats.
Don’t be surprised if the Magic actually show signs of life and, gulp, perhaps improve over prior year’s campaigns. They have some nice pieces and more than anything they move the ball, with no Dwight Howard around to demand offensive touches he really shouldn’t be getting.
On the top of the card, there might be a slight battle between Arron Afflalo (28 points, five rebounds, five assists, three treys, one steal, one block) and Glen Davis (16 points, 7-of-22 FGs, 10 rebounds) to see who will be the team’s No. 1 player. Normally this type of egoism might be disastrous, but in Orlando where neither guy will be able to outdo the other this could end up pushing them both harder.
E’Twaun Moore filled in for Jameer Nelson, who entered the year as an injury risk and is already out with three different ailments. Moore continued to look good with 17 points, three treys, five boards, and two assists. The Magic aren’t shy to let him call his own number, and those looking for a short-term play might luck into something better if Nelson stammers through the year.
Nikola Vucevic teased me throughout last year, but he never really panned out and didn’t do anything tremendously special this preseason until it was announced that he was the starter. Well don’t look now but he’s sporting mid-round value in this early season after last night’s 16-point, 10-rebound effort that included a steal and two blocks. John Denton of NBA.com wrote that the Magic changed their rotation to match up with the Bulls’ bigs, and I tend to think that Vucevic will need to stay red hot to keep anything above 30 minutes. Gustavo Ayon, Al Harrington, and eventually Jameer Nelson and Hedo Turkoglu are all going to see more minutes than they’re getting right now, which is 11 if you count Ayon’s two-assist, one-block effort last night.
Overall, though, this is going to be a fun team to watch, they have the look of a fantasy juggernaut, and they might just make the playoffs to spite Howard’s disciples.
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News and Notes
Iman Shumpert (knee) pretty much ruled out a return in December and said January or February, which is more good news for owners of J.R. Smith. Even when Shumpert returns, I don’t know if he’ll be able to cut into Smith’s load. Andrew Bynum (knee) still doesn’t have a timetable for a return. Shocker. Chauncey Billups (Achilles) is targeting Thanksgiving for his return. Jamal Crawford owners shouldn’t panic but they also have a red-hot asset that can be turned into somebody that might not have the threat of a log-jam. Between Chris Paul, Eric Bledsoe, Crawford, and Billups, not to mention the other misfit pieces they have, something has to give at least a little bit right?
Wednesday Night Madness
PHO @ CHA: Gerald Henderson, who showed signs of versatility before succumbing to a foot sprain, will now be out 2-4 weeks. Ramon Sessions, Ben Gordon, and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist will be the primary beneficiaries along with Kemba Walker, who will get Sessions out of his hair a bit. MKG is in his own category as a defensive stat stuffer sitting on the periphery of 12-team value, with his minutes being tied to how he looks on a given night. But the remaining minutes will be more of a battle between Sessions and Gordon, and I like Sessions to hold more value in this Henderson-less segment. We’ll be watching Jared Dudley closely to see if he can break out of his funk, and conversely if Shannon Brown can get a bit more funky. I get a lot of Byron Mullens drop questions. This is the type of opponent he could have his coming out party against. I’m not in the drop Mullens camp, but if you are then you may want to wait and see how tonight goes.
BKY @ MIA: Gerald Wallace is out for at least a week by the look of things, but there has been no real clear beneficiary unless you want to count C.J. Watson and MarShon Brooks. I like Watson over Brooks in deeper formats. Kris Humphries was very low on my board coming into the year and we’re seeing why. He plays for a good team with plenty of talent instead of a bad team with a lot of guys missing. This isn’t rocket science. The Heat buzz-saw has been interesting to watch this year, as Mario Chalmers has flashed assist potential and Ray Allen has been a big producer. We’ll learn a lot about both players this week.
IND @ ATL: Lou Williams left Tuesday’s practice due to a migraine headache, but nobody seems too concerned about his status. Josh Smith (ankle) returned to a limited practice yesterday, but is still iffy to play. Our blurber said that Anthony Tolliver would have no value, but you can never rule that guy out when he’s getting minutes in a starting role. On the Pacers side, they have been awful. While George Hill has put up numbers recently, he has to do a better job of dictating the flow of the offense. Gerald Green is going to pop one of these days, but like a lot of his teammates he’s taking bad shots because of the confused environment. I still haven’t cut him anywhere, for what it’s worth.
WAS @ BOS: Jordan Crawford (ankle) is a game-time call and if he misses the game you can all but guarantee serviceable outings out of A.J. Price and Bradley Beal. I hope you didn’t sleep on Kevin Seraphin as he’s fittin to make his mark on the NBA. No, he’s not going to be a top-tier player, but he proved that he is a player against the Celtics and by virtue of that he is on an even faster track than I had him on a few weeks ago. The Celtics are a pretty easy team to figure out other than the Brandon Bass/Jared Sullinger thing, which hopefully you have avoided. Courtney Lee has yet to show up and Jason Terry will slowly improve and plane out right before Avery Bradley returns. From there, it’ll be a three-way position battle for 48-60 minutes. Also, calling Jeff Green…calling Jeff Green.
MEM @ MIL: John Henson (knee) practiced on Monday and might make his debut tonight, which could rain on the parade of Larry Sanders, Samuel Dalembert and Ekpe Udoh owners. Who knows, with the slow start of Ersan Ilyasova it might impact him, too, though I think we should wait in general before discussing any demotions or doomsday scenarios with Ilyasova. If he doesn’t pick it up this week, though, then the sky might be falling a little bit. Beno Udrih (quad) is out, so look for Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis to get all the run they can handle. The Grizzlies are one of the league’s most consistent fantasy units, and will also be a common thread on championship rosters.
ORL @ MIN: There were Dante Cunningham and Chase Budinger sightings on Monday, and those were the originally intended beneficiaries of the Kevin Love injury, along with the team’s other producers in general. Derrick Williams has been a massive disappointment and probably needs a change of scenery, and Nikola Pekovic needs to show his owners a few more rebounds. Andrei Kirilenko is on fire and should be in all lineups. The Wolves’ backcourt is a bit of a mess, with Luke Ridnour, Brandon Roy, and J.J. Barea all inconsistent to start the year and Alexey Shved joining the party.
DEN @ HOU: The Rockets are beasting right now behind James Harden and Jeremy Lin’s playmaking ability, with Chandler Parsons, Omer Asik, Patrick Patterson, and Carlos Delfino all holding some sort of late round value in 8-cat formats. Everybody in that last group but Delfino has slid a bit in 9-cat leagues but it’s too early to make any sort of blanket statement about any of them. Parsons is playing heavy minutes, Asik is a rebounding machine, Patterson has started to shoot threes, and Delfino is a boom-or-bust guy coming off the Rockets’ bench.
PHI @ NO: Anthony Davis is doubtful with a concussion and this is yet another notch on Monty’s injury confusion belt. Williams went on the offensive about the league’s handling of Davis’ concussion and the policy in general, essentially saying the policy is too rigid. But now Davis is missing an additional game, which necessarily weakens Williams' position on the matter. If he’s hurt and at risk then he shouldn’t play, if he’s not at risk then he should. It should be pretty simple, right? None of this is a surprise after Williams said last year he doesn’t talk to his players about injuries, and at one point last year he didn't have a clue what Emeka Okafor's injury situation was at all. Whatever the case may be, nothing is ever simple on the injury front in New Orleans. Ryan Anderson, Robin Lopez, and Al-Farouq Aminu will be well-positioned to continue producing. Jason Richardson (ankle) looks to be out for the Sixers, so Dorell Wright will be a solid bet for serviceable production. Kwame Brown (calf) is out indefinitely, and when he returns owners shouldn’t go overboard predicting an impact on the rotation.
TOR @ DAL: Jae Crowder seems to be being held back by Rick Carlisle, who if I had to guess doesn’t want to overwhelm the rookie so early in the year. To each their own I suppose. Now that Shawn Marion is out for a week or more, Crowder is set to start and it’s time to give him a hard look again. He has posted low-end value in 9-cat, 12-team leagues in his limited role, but in 8-cat leagues where his low turnover rate doesn’t help he has been just a top-180 play. I expect him to improve at least incrementally this week with a bit of upside, too. Roddy Beaubois (ankle) is still without an update, and if he doesn’t go expect another big-minute outing of the red-hot backcourt of O.J. Mayo and Darren Collison. Chris Kaman (calf) is still getting back to 100 percent but he’s producing and is worth consideration for your lineup. Brandan Wright has been posting mid-round value and I just added him to a loaded team in a 12-team format. I can take those kinds of risks on a loaded unit.
LAL @ UTA: Kobe Bryant (foot) says he’ll be at 90 percent, and probably replays Michael Jordan’s flu game every night as he goes to sleep. He’ll probably put up 40 (kidding, sort of). If you’re playing Steve Blake you’re desperate, and you don’t need me to tell you that even if I just did. I’ll personally be watching to see if Gordon Hayward continues his ascent after a slow start, as I had him ranked much higher than anywhere else I saw (including our general rankings). Derrick Favors will tell us a lot about his standalone value this week, as he is posting 14-16 team value thus far and any slippage there will make him much harder to hold as a lottery ticket. Al Jefferson is making me look good for having him low on my board so far, but I expect him to improve and be a top-tier center regardless. Mo Williams is beasting right now and I don’t really see any reason why he should stop. I know we were on top of him as a site but even my bullish No. 79 8-cat ranking seems woefully off base.
DET @ SAC: The Kings are a total mess. Their offense is awful and their defense has been terrible, no matter how many times Keith Smart says the latter has been intact. And sure, the Kings have seen opponents shoot a very bad percentage, but the hometown fans and writers are so jaded by years of nuclear disaster level defense that their eyes mislead them. And aside from that eye test, each team they’ve faced this season (Bulls, Wolves, Pacers, Warriors) has seen its writers go on the offensive about how awful their team’s offense has been for some or all of the year. Unforced errors and lack of effort has been the culprit for the Kings’ opponents, but Smart gets no flak for owning a largely empty achievement.
And that’s because he doesn’t get flak for anything. I won’t get into the details, but let’s just say Keith Smart owns the press room at Sleep Apnea Arena. Why does this matter? For fantasy purposes guys aren’t getting the job done. Isaiah Thomas needs to be given the car keys for there to be any cohesiveness on offense, Tyreke Evans needs to be told to play two-dribble basketball, DeMarcus Cousins needs to be told to plant his butt in the post and not move, and Jason Thompson needs more plays run for him. They all need to be told to shutup. Marcus Thornton – he’s cool. He can just keep doing what he’s doing. Aaron Brooks can come in and score like crazy for 20-25 mpg and everybody should theoretically be happy and winning (relatively).
But that doesn’t happen, because Smart is tinkering and he isn’t demanding specific performance, and the media is so cozy and unwilling to ask the hard questions that they just regurgitate what the team-sponsored channels say. Until you see pressure mount on Smart to stop doing what got him fired in Golden State, expect a bumpy ride for all of them.
CLE @ GSW: We don’t know how Tyler Zeller’s face evaluation went after he took an elbow in Monday’s game, but if he plays he’ll be an interesting desperation option in 12-14 team formats after a 15 and seven night the last time out. If he doesn’t go, then Tristan Thompson should be a good bet for a nice game against the marshmallow core of the David Lee show. Also, I hope Stephen Curry tapes his ankles real good, because they’re bound to be broken by the backcourt of Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters. I don’t know if I’m kidding when I say that this is a legitimate concern of mine. Alonzo Gee is getting serious pub as an elite defender in the league, and I think he is a must-own player right now as a result. Carl Landry was inexplicably ‘cooled’ by Mark Jackson in Sacramento on Monday, and Andrew Bogut is causing me ‘drop’ questions because he looks really, really hurt right now. The Warriors need to sit him and they may end up learning the hard way. Again. Speaking of that hard way, Curry is going to need a letdown from the Cavs after their big win because he can’t shake Cleveland’s athletes. He, David Lee, and Klay Thompson are must-start players, and look for Thompson to play angry after he missed the game-winner in Sac on Monday. Jarrett Jack was forgotten about in Monday’s loss, but I have a feeling he plays big minutes, if anything for defensive purposes tonight.
SA @ LAC: Blake Griffin added a neck strain to his right elbow bursa sac issue, but neither seems overly serious at least right now. Both squads are rolling along for the most part, and guys are who we thought they were. That is, except for the aforementioned Jamal Crawford. That dude is ballin. Manu Ginobili said his back felt better on Monday but owners should still be in wait-and-see mode until he proves he’s at 80-90 percent. Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, Kawhi Leonard and even Danny Green should all be in lineups, as should Chris Paul and Griffin. From there Caron Butler is worth a look for 3-point shooting and DeAndre Jordan is a boom-or-bust blocks and field goal percentage play.