Damian 'ROY' LillardSaturday, January 12, 2013
Prowling for Points
The following lists show those players whose values change the most going from nine-cat leagues to points leagues, for better or worse. The rankings we use on Rotoworld almost always refer to eight- and nine-cat leagues, and can only strictly be applied to roto leagues, so this will hopefully reveal some overlooked pockets of value.
The points league I have chosen is representative of the genre. There are infinite ways to score these formats, so I simply copied the scoring system for an ESPN points league I am in with Dr. A, Aaron Bruski and Mike Gallagher. In this system, a typical player worthy of a roster spot will average just below 3.0 points per game. (If you want the particulars, email me.) Please note that I'm listing the movement of a player along two ordinal rankings (lists) so we're losing all of the complexity and nuance of the intervals between their previous and current rankings. That caveat aside, the lists highlight a few trends which I'll sum up below.
Players whose ranks increase the most in Points leagues
Players whose ranks decline the most in Points leagues
The conclusions are fairly obvious. In this league (and in the majority of points leagues) percentages aren’t nearly as important as they are in roto leagues. Dwight Howard can be a valuable option without the need to ‘punt’ anything, Dion Waiters’ abysmal shooting won’t drag you down as much, etc. As for declining values, points leagues tend to ruin the value of 3-point specialists, but Larry Sanders’ inclusion also suggests that blocks aren’t prized as highly as they are in roto leagues. I could be wrong, but I believe that if you click here you can view the data that led to those lists -- it's the simplified outcome of a spreadsheet which I've posted on Google docs with public access. It’s easy enough to create something like that, and if you play in an exotic format it’s almost necessary. Good luck, and don't forget to follow me on Twitter if you aren't already.