Ryan Knaus

The Step-back 3

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Trade Deadline Stashes

Monday, February 18, 2013


Derrick Favors

 

Per-36-minutes: 15.3 points on 47.6 percent FGs and 68.4 percent FTs, 10.3 rebounds (3.6 offensive), 1.4 assists, 1.4 steals and 2.3 blocks.

 

Favors has been one of the premier stashes all season, thanks to his enormous upside and Utah's obvious desire to clear more minutes for him (he was the true prize in the Deron Williams trade, along with two first-round picks). Over 75 percent of Favors' shot attempts this season have come from within 10 feet of the basket, and he is neither a willing nor proficient passer, which suggests that he'd be a better fit alongside Paul Millsap, who is both more mobile and a better passer than Al Jefferson. Be forewarned, however, that Favors also averages 5.0 personal fouls per 36 minutes, so the availability of playing time isn't a guarantee that he'll average 35+ minutes.

 

Enes Kanter

 

Per-36-minutes: 16.0 points on 54.1 percent FGs and 75.0 percent FTs, 10.2 rebounds (4.7 offensive), 1.0 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.4 blocks.

 

Assuming the Jazz trade Al Jefferson or Paul Millsap and promote Derrick Favors to the starting lineup, Kanter would suddenly have far more elbow room with the second unit. His microscopic assist totals are even uglier when you add in his 3.7 turnovers per 36 minutes, but there's no denying his double-double potential with upside for blocks, steals, and stellar FG percentage (50.7 percent of his attempts this season have come within three feet of the hoop, but he's also shooting 47.2 percent from 16 feet and beyond). He may not be worth stashing in average leagues, but deep-league owners shouldn't be sleeping on Big Turkey.

 

Jonas Valanciunas

 

Per-36-minutes: 12.1 points on 52.6 percent FGs and 73.0 percent FTs, 8.9 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 0.5 steals, 1.9 blocks and 2.2 turnovers.

Valanciunas has ascended to the starting lineup for Toronto and he's unlikely to be benched regardless of whether or not the Raptors find a suitable trade for Andrea Bargnani (the most recent reports suggest Bargs will stick around until the summer). The bad news is that Valanciunas, like Derrick Favors and most other young big men, struggles to avoid foul trouble in extended minutes. He averages 5.0 fouls per 36 minutes, to be exact, and he racked up four fouls in only 13 minutes last Wednesday (to be fair, his teammates' defensive lapses were partly to blame). The Raptors won four straight before the break, moving them within six games of the eighth seed, so we're unlikely to see full-blown player development for at least a few more weeks, but JV has copious upside and should be owned in all leagues. Fellow big man Amir Johnson is even better situated to thrive down the stretch, regardless of Bargnani's whereabouts, but he should already be owned and therefore doesn't qualify as a 'stash' candidate.

 

Kris Humphries

 

Rather than extrapolate Humphries' stats this season into per-36-minute data, let's just examine his numbers in 35 minutes per game last season: 13.8 points on 48.1 percent FGs and 75.2 percent FTs, 11.0 rebounds (3.8 offensive), 1.5 assists, 0.8 steals, 1.2 blocks and 1.9 turnovers.

 

Hump has been lousy in a limited role this season, but presumably any team that would trade for him this week would have a real need for a starting-caliber PF (a deal with the Bobcats for Ben Gordon has been mentioned, as has a deal with the Hawks for Josh Smith, but there hasn't been much movement on either front). His numbers last year were good enough for fifth-round value in eight- and nine-cat leagues, and he's a fine stash until Thursday's deadline passes.

 

Eric Bledsoe

 

Rather than extrapolate his bench numbers, let's just look at Bledsoe's averages in 12 starts for the Clippers this season: 14.2 points on 40.5 percent FGs and 79.6 percent FTs, 0.6 threes, 4.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists, 2.5 steals and 1.3 blocks, in 34 minutes per game.

 

Bledsoe only takes 1.0 threes per game, but he's knocking down 42.9 percent of those attempts, which gives him tantalizing upside (three-quarters of his 3-point makes are assisted spot-up shots, which helps explain why he's so efficient from deep yet makes only 36.3 percent of his jump shots overall). His steals and blocks also leap off the page, and simply put he'd be dominant if handed the reins to a team like the Jazz or Celtics. This is where the bad news comes, however, as the Clippers are reportedly "unlikely" to trade Bledsoe this week, preferring to keep him for a playoff run and then see what happens as he heads toward restricted free agency in 2014.

 

Dorell Wright

 

Per-36-minutes: 12.3 points on 37.7 percent FGs and 83.6 percent FTs, 2.2 threes, 6.7 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.3 steals, 0.7 blocks and 1.4 turnovers.

 

Wright deserves an honorable mention due to Evan Turner's inclusion in trade rumors. The Sixers have supposedly offered him and Spencer Hawes to the Hawks for Josh Smith, for instance, though a report on Feb. 11 stated that the Sixers would "likely" keep Turner through the deadline. If he were to be dealt, D. Wright would become an instant asset for fantasy owners.  Jason Richardson (knee surgery) is done for the season and Nick Young is starting at SG, so Wright seems like the logical heir to the starting SF job (unless Doug Collins deployed an oversized starting unit).

 

MarShon Brooks

 

Per-36-minutes: 16.5 points on 46.4 percent FGs and 74.1 percent FTs, 0.5 threes, 3.7 rebounds, 2.9 assists, 1.5 steals, 0.5 blocks and 2.9 turnovers.

 

Those numbers are decent but not great for fantasy purposes. The high turnover rate makes him more appealing in eight-cat leagues, and his 22.6 percent shooting from beyond the arc doesn't inspire much confidence that even a bigger role with another team would boost his 3-point totals. He's been explicitly mentioned in Josh Smith trade rumors, but Atlanta would be among the last places owners want to see him considering the Hawks' depth of options at SG/SF. There are numerous warning flags, but MarShon is still an explosive scorer with just enough versatility to be stashed in deeper leagues.

 

Rodney Stuckey

 

Per-36-minutes: 14.5 points on 38.6 percent FGs and 79.1 percent FTs, 0.9 threes, 3.6 rebounds, 4.6 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.3 blocks, and 2.2 turnovers.

 

With Jose Calderon starting at PG and Brandon Knight at SG, Stuckey's 'tweener' role for the Pistons just got even more awkward. He's averaging 26 minutes per game in February and would have a better shot at an increased role with another team, but although teams continue to ask about Stuckey and Jonas Jerebko more than any other Pistons players, sources tell the Detroit Free Press that the Pistons "likely are done with major moves until the summer." Will Bynum's name has also been kicked around in trade rumors, but he'd likely be a backup PG no matter where he landed.

 

Austin Rivers

 

Per-36-minutes: 9.3 points on 35.0 percent FGs and 55.7 percent FTs, 2.8 rebounds, 3.3 assists, 0.7 steals, 0.3 blocks and 2.1 turnovers.

 

Owners in 12-team leagues needn't keep reading, because Rivers' horrible percentages and lousy peripheral stats make him a liability in most leagues. It's unfortunate, too, because of all the players on this list he's one of the most likely to stumble into a massive role down the stretch. Eric Gordon's knee isn't 100 percent healthy and he's still playing restricted minutes while sitting out the second of back-to-back games. Gordon also admitted that his conditioning isn't where it should be, he's weathered a few other minor injuries, and the Hornets are flirting with the worst record in the NBA this season. It all adds up to a glaring 'shutdown' warning for Gordon, and a potential starting SG job for Rivers. Deep league owners, take note.

 

Beno Udrih

 

Per-36-minutes: 13.4 points on 47.6 percent FGs and 72.7 percent FTs, 0.7 threes, 4.0 rebounds, 7.0 assists, 0.8 steals and 2.6 turnovers.

 

Beno has been unhappy with his limited role off the bench this season (18.8 minutes per game), but he could find himself with expanded responsibilities if the Bucks trade Brandon Jennings or Monta Ellis (and don't bring back another starting-caliber guard). It was just two years ago, after all, that Beno was returning fifth-round value in 34 minutes per game for the Kings.

 

Alexey Shved

 

Per-36-minutes: 13.6 points on 37.7 percent FGs and 72.6 percent FTs, 1.8 threes, 3.2 rebounds, 5.8 assists, 1.0 steals, 0.6 blocks and 3.0 turnovers.

 

Shved's rest-of-season outlook is bright, particularly with Luke Ridnour among the players most likely to be dealt before the deadline. His shooting percentages and turnovers are caveats well worth remembering, but he's a must-own player even if you're not punting any categories. On a related note, Shved's shooting woes are due partly to the fact that nearly half of his attempts come from beyond the arc, but he's also hitting just 28.2 percent of his shots between 16 feet and the 3-point line, 31.0 percent from 10-16 feet, and 34.9 percent from 3-10 feet. His jumper needs fixing, but the rest of his game is solid as-is. J.J. Barea also gets an honorable mention, as he would soak up extra minutes if Ridnour is traded.



Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.
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