Ryan Knaus

Saturday Dose

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Knicks and Bruises

Saturday, March 09, 2013


 

Volatile Values

 

To succeed over the course of a fantasy basketball season, owners must constantly react to injuries, trades, demotions, slumps, bad schedules, and much more. Sometimes an injured player can be stashed away in a calculated gamble based upon expected returns, but the most pertinent question is often, "What have you done for me lately?"

 

Below you will find lists of players who have improved in the nine most popular statistical categories, as measured over the past two weeks. In some cases I’ve listed the top 10 players for a category, but sometimes there are more or less. This information can be invaluable for roto owners hoping to make up ground in a particular category, and it should also be very useful in head-to-head leagues, where owners can shape their roster/lineup to exploit individual opponent's weaknesses.

 

Two weeks is a small sample, and players' numbers will be inordinately influenced by things like fluke games, injuries, and schedule strength, so use your judgment when interpreting these numbers…Jeremy Evans would have topped nearly every list, for instance, but only because of one game in which the thrived with Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap both sidelined (a game sandwiched between six DNP-CDs). Evans was easily the most extreme ‘random’ guy to appear on these lists, which by and large do a good job of capturing recent trends. Please also keep in mind that this is merely a guide to changing values...the fact that Kenneth Faried has improved dramatically as a source of FT percentage value over the past two weeks does not mean that he will help you in that category – he's just a lousy FT shooter who has been mediocre for the past 6-8 games. But before examining individual categories, let's first consider the players whose playing time has increased the most in the past two weeks:

 

Minutes

  1. Derrick Williams (40 minutes per game in the past two weeks)
  2. Wesley Johnson (26 mpg)
  3. Donatas Motiejunas (22 mpg)
  4. Tobias Harris (28 mpg)
  5. Alec Burks (28 mpg)
  6. Moe Harkless (33 mpg)
  7. Eric Maynor (22 mpg)
  8. Cory Joseph (20 mpg)
  9.  

Points

  1. Derrick Williams (+9.3 points in the past two weeks, compared to his season average)
  2. Chandler Parsons (+8.9)
  3. Marcus Thornton (+8.8)
  4. Deron Williams (+8.4)
  5. Tobias Harris (+8.3)
  6. Kobe Bryant (+7.5)
  7. Steph Curry (+6.4)
  8. Enes Kanter (+6.2)
  9. Donatas Motiejunas (+6.1)
  10. Brandon Knight (+5.9)
  11. Bradley Beal (+5.8)

 

3-pointers

  1. Chandler Parsons (+2.4 compared to season average)
  2. Deron Williams (+2.2)
  3. J.R. Smith (+1.7)
  4. John Salmons (+1.5)
  5. Marcus Thornton (+1.4)
  6. Anthony Tolliver (+1.3)
  7. Kobe Bryant (+1.2)
  8. Wes Johnson (+1.2)
  9. Dorell Wright (+1.2)
  10. Brandon Knight (+1.1)
  11. Wesley Matthews (+0.9)
  12. Kirk Hinrich (+0.9)
  13. Marco Belinelli (+0.9)

 

Rebounds

  1. Jermaine O'Neal (+4.3)
  2. Derrick Williams (+4.1)
  3. Reggie Evans (+3.9)
  4. Derrick Favors (+3.7)
  5. Larry Sanders (+3.6)
  6. Ricky Rubio (+3.5)
  7. Tobias Harris (+3.5)
  8. Enes Kanter (+3.0)
  9. Kyle O'Quinn (+2.6)

 

Assists

  1. Brandon Jennings (+4.2)
  2. Ricky Rubio (+3.1)
  3. Goran Dragic (+2.8)
  4. Andre Iguodala (+2.8)
  5. Eric Maynor (+2.7)
  6. Jose Calderon (+2.3)
  7. Eric Gordon (+2.2)
  8. Beno Udrih (+2.1)
  9. James Harden (+2.1)
  10. Monta Ellis (+1.9)
  11. Manu Ginobili (+1.9)
  12. Diante Garrett (+1.9)
  13. E'Twaun Moore (+1.8)

 

Steals

  1. Ricky Rubio (+1.9)
  2. Diante Garrett (+1.7)
  3. Rodrigue Beaubois (+1.6)
  4. Monta Ellis (+1.5)
  5. Cartier Martin (+1.3)
  6. Andrew Bogut (+1.3)
  7. Charles Jenkins (+1.1)
  8. Andre Iguodala (+1.0)
  9. Jameer Nelson (+1.0)

 

Blocks

  1. Al-Farouq Aminu (+1.4)
  2. Vladimir Radmanovic (+1.3)
  3. Joakim Noah (+1.3)
  4. JaVale McGee (+1.1)
  5. Roy Hibbert (+1.1)
  6. Derrick Favors (+1.0)
  7. Hamed Haddadi (+0.9)

 

FG percentage

NOTE: FG percentage must be weighted to accurately assess a player's fantasy impact, so the following are simple ranks tracking overall changes in values, not actual percentages.

 

Top Ten Improvers

  1. Monta Ellis
  2. Jamal Crawford
  3. Marcus Thornton
  4. Chandler Parsons
  5. Gerald Green
  6. Austin Rivers
  7. Paul Pierce
  8. Deron Williams
  9. Bradley Beal
  10. Damian Lillard

 

Bottom Ten Backsliders

  1. Taj Gibson
  2. Kevin Durant
  3. LeBron James
  4. Cartier Martin
  5. Tony Parker
  6. Jarrett Jack
  7. Chris Bosh
  8. Aaron Brooks
  9. Mo Williams
  10. Robin Lopez

 

FT percentage

NOTE: FT percentage must also be weighted by attempts, so I’m listing simple rankings based upon value changes in the past two weeks, not actual percentages.

 

Top Five FT% Improvers

  1. Taj Gibson
  2. Slava Kravtsov
  3. Lou Amundson
  4. Carmelo Anthony
  5. Kenneth Faried

 

Bottom Five FT% Backsliders

  1. Gustavo Ayon
  2. Al Jefferson
  3. Kris Humphries
  4. Kevin Durant
  5. Ed Davis

 

And finally, for no particular reason, here is an alphabetical farewell to all of the players who have appeared this season, but who didn’t even take the court in the past two weeks. You can probably guess half of them without looking. Many will be familiar to you from Rotoworld’s unfortunately expansive Injury Report, while others have simply had their roles eliminated. Leandro Barbosa, Kwame Brown, Shannon Brown, Chase Budinger, Omri Casspi, Jason Collins, Chris Copeland, Jared Cunningham, Glen Davis, Andre Drummond, Pau Gasol, Ben Hansbrough, Lazar Hayward, Jordan Hill, Tyler Honeycutt, Damion James, Chris Johnson (the other one), Terrence Jones, Linas Kleiza, Malcolm Lee, Kevin Love, Scott Machado, Corey Maggete, Fab Melo, Quincy Miller, Jannero Pargo, Sasha Pavlovic, Mickael Pietrus, Joel Przybilla, Jason Richardson, Rajon Rondo, Brandon Roy, Brandon Rush, Josh Selby, Donald Sloan, Ish Smith, Jerry Stackhouse, Julyan Stone, Jared Sullinger, Tyrus Thomas, Hedo Turkoglu, Anderson Varejao, Rasheed Wallace, Hakim Warrick, Maalik Wayns, and finally...Lou Williams. May better times lie ahead.



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Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.
Email :Ryan Knaus



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